⚽ Major League Soccer
Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United FC Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United FC in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Monday 02 November 2026, 01:30 UTC.
Result: Los Angeles FC 1-3 Minnesota United FC
Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United FC finished 1-3. Minnesota United FC won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, over 2.5 goals at 1.50, landed.
Los Angeles FC face Minnesota United FC in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Monday 02 November 2026, 01:30 UTC. Recent form: Los Angeles FC have 1 win from their last 5, while Minnesota United FC have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Los Angeles FC won 3, Minnesota United FC won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Los Angeles FC win the most likely result at 46%, projecting a 1.9-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United FC with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 5.9% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| 2 | 5.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| 3 | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| 4 | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United FC comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.50, with a 68% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Los Angeles FC win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean over 2.5 (67%), both teams to score points yes (67%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Los Angeles FC and Minnesota United FC. Wins shown from Los Angeles FC’s perspective: Los Angeles FC 3 · Minnesota United FC 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Los Angeles FC | 1 – 3 | Minnesota United FC | L |
| 2026-04-25 | Minnesota United FC | 0 – 1 | Los Angeles FC | W |
| 2024-05-30 | Los Angeles FC | 2 – 0 | Minnesota United FC | W |
| 2024-03-17 | Minnesota United FC | 2 – 0 | Los Angeles FC | L |
| 2023-10-05 | Los Angeles FC | 5 – 1 | Minnesota United FC | W |
📈 Recent form
Los Angeles FC come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Austin. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at home to Minnesota United FC.
- LLos Angeles FC 1-3 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
- DLos Angeles FC 2-2 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
- DNew York City FC 1-1 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- WLos Angeles FC 3-1 AustinMajor League Soccer
- DLos Angeles FC 1-1 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
Minnesota United FC come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Los Angeles FC.
- WLos Angeles FC 1-3 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
- WMinnesota United FC 3-1 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
- DHouston Dynamo 0-0 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
- WMinnesota United FC 3-2 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
- DColorado Rapids 2-2 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 4 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- C. CarterArm Injury
- T. TillmanPelvis Injury
- K. RizvanovichConcussion
- W. TrappConcussion
🧩 Line-ups
Minnesota United FC
Coach: C. Knowles
Los Angeles FC
Coach: Xavi Tamarit
Official line-ups as announced by the clubs before kick-off.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Los Angeles FC at 46% to win and Minnesota United FC at 30%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a Los Angeles FC win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles FC Win | 46% | 58% | @ 1.62 |
| Minnesota United FC Win | 30% | 21% | @ 4.50 |
| Draw | 24% | 21% | @ 4.50 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Los Angeles FC or Draw at 1.18 (71% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles FC or Draw | 71% | 79% | @ 1.18 |
| Minnesota United FC or Draw | 55% | 42% | @ 2.25 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 67% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 84% | @ 1.12 |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 65% | @ 1.44 |
| Under 3.5 | 55% | 56% | @ 1.67 |
| Over 3.5 | 45% | 44% | @ 2.10 |
| Under 2.5 | 33% | 35% | @ 2.70 |
| Under 1.5 | 14% | 16% | @ 6.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 67%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 67% | 62% | @ 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 33% | 38% | @ 2.50 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Los Angeles FC or Minnesota United FC is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota United FC +2 | 85% | – | @ 1.25 |
| Minnesota United FC +1.75 | 81% | 69% | @ 1.38 |
| Minnesota United FC +1.5 | 78% | 63% | @ 1.51 |
| Los Angeles FC +0.75 | 75% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Minnesota United FC +1.25 | 72% | 59% | @ 1.63 |
| Los Angeles FC +0.5 | 71% | 79% | 1.20 |
| Minnesota United FC +1 | 66% | 53% | @ 1.82 |
| Los Angeles FC +0.25 | 64% | 76% | 1.25 |
| Minnesota United FC +0.75 | 61% | 46% | @ 2.08 |
| Los Angeles FC 0 | 58% | 74% | 1.28 |
| Minnesota United FC +0.5 | 55% | 41% | @ 2.34 |
| Los Angeles FC -0.25 | 51% | 66% | 1.45 |
| Minnesota United FC +0.25 | 49% | 34% | @ 2.77 |
| Los Angeles FC -0.5 | 45% | 59% | 1.61 |
| Minnesota United FC 0 | 42% | 26% | @ 3.68 |
| Los Angeles FC -0.75 | 39% | 54% | 1.76 |
| Minnesota United FC -0.25 | 36% | 24% | @ 4.04 |
| Los Angeles FC -1 | 34% | 47% | 2.02 |
| Minnesota United FC -0.5 | 29% | 21% | @ 4.40 |
| Los Angeles FC -1.25 | 28% | 41% | 2.30 |
| Minnesota United FC -0.75 | 25% | 17% | @ 5.75 |
| Los Angeles FC -1.5 | 22% | 37% | 2.58 |
| Los Angeles FC -1.75 | 19% | 31% | 3.08 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United FC?
Our model's pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.50, with a 68% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 65%.
Who is the favourite for Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United FC?
Our model makes a Los Angeles FC win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 1.9-1.6 scoreline for Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United FC.
What is the predicted score for Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United FC?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.86 for Los Angeles FC and 1.59 for Minnesota United FC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Los Angeles FC and Minnesota United FC play?
Kick-off is Monday 02 November 2026, 01:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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