⚽ Major League Soccer
Los Angeles Galaxy vs Austin Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Austin in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 31 October 2026, 21:00 UTC.
Result: Los Angeles Galaxy 4-1 Austin
Los Angeles Galaxy vs Austin finished 4-1. Los Angeles Galaxy won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, over 2.5 goals at 1.40, landed.
Los Angeles Galaxy face Austin in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Saturday 31 October 2026, 21:00 UTC. Recent form: Los Angeles Galaxy have 3 wins from their last 5, while Austin have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Los Angeles Galaxy won 3, Austin won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Los Angeles Galaxy win the most likely result at 64%, projecting a 2.0-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Austin with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 6.0% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| 2 | 6.2% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| 3 | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| 4 | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Austin comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.40, with a 68% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Los Angeles Galaxy win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 64%. Goals lean over 2.5 (68%), both teams to score points yes (67%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Los Angeles Galaxy and Austin. Wins shown from Los Angeles Galaxy’s perspective: Los Angeles Galaxy 3 · 1 drawn · Austin 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-31 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 4 – 1 | Austin | W |
| 2026-04-11 | Austin | 1 – 2 | Los Angeles Galaxy | W |
| 2024-10-06 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 2 – 1 | Austin | W |
| 2024-04-27 | Austin | 2 – 0 | Los Angeles Galaxy | L |
| 2023-09-25 | Austin | 3 – 3 | Los Angeles Galaxy | D |
📈 Recent form
Los Angeles Galaxy come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 11. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Austin. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-6 at St. Louis City.
- WLos Angeles Galaxy 4-1 AustinMajor League Soccer
- DLos Angeles FC 2-2 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
- DLos Angeles Galaxy 2-2 San DiegoMajor League Soccer
- WLos Angeles Galaxy 2-0 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
- LSt. Louis City 6-2 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
Austin come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Sporting Kansas City. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at Los Angeles Galaxy.
- LLos Angeles Galaxy 4-1 AustinMajor League Soccer
- LAustin 1-2 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- WSporting Kansas City 1-2 AustinMajor League Soccer
- LAustin 1-2 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
- LLos Angeles FC 3-1 AustinMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 4 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- I. ParenteAnkle Injury
- R. PuigKnee Injury
- M. YoshidaLeg Injury
- C. ApplewhiteMuscle Injury
🧩 Line-ups
Austin
Coach: D. Arnaud
Los Angeles Galaxy
Coach: Greg Vanney
Official line-ups as announced by the clubs before kick-off.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Los Angeles Galaxy at 64% to win and Austin at 17%, with the draw at 19%. Our model makes a Los Angeles Galaxy win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Galaxy Win | 64% | 65% | @ 1.45 |
| Draw | 19% | 18% | @ 5.25 |
| Austin Win | 17% | 16% | @ 5.75 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Los Angeles Galaxy or Draw at 1.14 (84% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Galaxy or Draw | 84% | 84% | @ 1.14 |
| Austin or Draw | 37% | 35% | @ 2.62 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 68% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 87% | 85% | @ 1.11 |
| Over 2.5 | 68% | 67% | @ 1.40 |
| Under 3.5 | 53% | 51% | @ 1.80 |
| Over 3.5 | 47% | 49% | @ 1.91 |
| Under 2.5 | 32% | 33% | @ 2.88 |
| Under 1.5 | 13% | 15% | @ 6.50 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 67%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 67% | 61% | @ 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 33% | 39% | @ 2.38 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Los Angeles Galaxy or Austin is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Galaxy +0.75 | 87% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy +0.5 | 84% | 83% | 1.15 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy +0.25 | 79% | 81% | 1.17 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy 0 | 74% | 78% | 1.21 |
| Austin +2 | 71% | 69% | 1.38 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy -0.25 | 68% | 72% | 1.32 |
| Austin +1.75 | 66% | 62% | @ 1.53 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy -0.5 | 63% | 65% | 1.45 |
| Austin +1.5 | 62% | 56% | @ 1.71 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy -0.75 | 57% | 62% | 1.53 |
| Austin +1.25 | 55% | 51% | @ 1.90 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy -1 | 51% | 56% | 1.69 |
| Austin +1 | 49% | 44% | @ 2.18 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy -1.25 | 45% | 49% | 1.94 |
| Austin +0.75 | 43% | 38% | @ 2.47 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy -1.5 | 38% | 44% | 2.15 |
| Austin +0.5 | 37% | 35% | @ 2.75 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy -1.75 | 34% | 38% | 2.48 |
| Austin +0.25 | 32% | 28% | @ 3.38 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy -2 | 29% | 31% | 3.06 |
| Austin 0 | 26% | 22% | @ 4.39 |
| Austin -0.25 | 21% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
| Austin -0.5 | 16% | 17% | 5.50 |
| Austin -0.75 | 13% | 14% | 7.00 |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Austin?
Our model's pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.40, with a 68% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 67%.
Who is the favourite for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Austin?
Our model makes a Los Angeles Galaxy win the most likely result at 64%. It projects an expected 2.0-1.5 scoreline for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Austin.
What is the predicted score for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Austin?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.04 for Los Angeles Galaxy and 1.48 for Austin. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Los Angeles Galaxy and Austin play?
Kick-off is Saturday 31 October 2026, 21:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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