⚽ Ligue 1
Lyon vs Angers Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Lyon vs Angers in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Sunday 01 November 2026, 16:15 UTC.
Lyon face Angers in the Ligue 1, kicking off Sunday 01 November 2026, 16:15 UTC. Recent form: Lyon have 3 wins from their last 5, while Angers have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Lyon won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Lyon win the most likely result at 68%, projecting a 1.9-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Lyon vs Angers with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.4% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 11.1% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 7.2% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Lyon vs Angers comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.57, with a 68% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Lyon win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 68%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (50%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 4 meetings between Lyon and Angers. Wins shown from Lyon’s perspective: Lyon 3 · 1 drawn.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Angers | 0 – 0 | Lyon | D |
| 2025-09-19 | Lyon | 1 – 0 | Angers | W |
| 2025-05-17 | Lyon | 2 – 0 | Angers | W |
| 2024-12-07 | Angers | 0 – 3 | Lyon | W |
📈 Recent form
Lyon come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Nice. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Paris Saint-Germain.
- LParis Saint-Germain 2-0 LyonLigue 1
- LHoffenheim 3-0 LyonUEFA Europa League
- WLyon 2-1 NiceLigue 1
- WLyon 3-2 Crystal PalaceUEFA Europa League
- LLens 2-1 LyonLigue 1
Angers come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Estac Troyes. Their most recent defeat was 2-5 at home to Marseille.
- DAngers 0-0 LorientLigue 1
- LAngers 2-5 MarseilleLigue 1
- LBrest 5-1 AngersLigue 1
- WAngers 2-0 Estac TroyesLigue 1
- DLe Havre 0-0 AngersLigue 1
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- S. KangoConcussion
- T. MortonGroin Injury
- L. OpendaLeg Injury
- M. OuedraogoKnee Injury
- P. SulcKnee Injury
- A. El OuazzaniGroin Injury
🧩 Line-ups
Angers
Coach: S. Gilli
Lyon
Coach: Paulo Fonseca
Official line-ups as announced by the clubs before kick-off.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Lyon at 68% to win and Angers at 11%, with the draw at 21%. Our model makes a Lyon win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon Win | 68% | 68% | @ 1.40 |
| Draw | 21% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
| Angers Win | 11% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Lyon or Draw at 1.10 (88% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon or Draw | 88% | 86% | @ 1.10 |
| Angers or Draw | 31% | 32% | @ 2.75 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-0.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 81% | @ 1.17 |
| Under 3.5 | 68% | 60% | @ 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 62% | @ 1.53 |
| Under 2.5 | 46% | 38% | @ 2.50 |
| Over 3.5 | 32% | 40% | @ 2.38 |
| Under 1.5 | 22% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 50%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 53% | @ 1.75 |
| BTTS No | 50% | 47% | @ 2.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Lyon vs Angers?
Our model's pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.57, with a 68% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 60%.
Who is the favourite for Lyon vs Angers?
Our model makes a Lyon win the most likely result at 68%. It projects an expected 1.9-0.9 scoreline for Lyon vs Angers.
What is the predicted score for Lyon vs Angers?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.95 for Lyon and 0.89 for Angers. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Lyon and Angers play?
Kick-off is Sunday 01 November 2026, 16:15 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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RodezAnalytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.