⚽ Major League Soccer
Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 08 November 2026, 00:00 UTC.
Minnesota United FC face San Jose Earthquakes in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Sunday 08 November 2026, 00:00 UTC. Recent form: Minnesota United FC have 3 wins from their last 5, while San Jose Earthquakes have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Minnesota United FC won 3, San Jose Earthquakes won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Minnesota United FC win the most likely result at 50%, projecting a 2.0-1.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 4.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| 2 | 4.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| 3 | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| 4 | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is Minnesota United FC or Draw at odds 1.25, with a 75% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Minnesota United FC win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 50%. Goals lean over 2.5 (72%), both teams to score points yes (70%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Minnesota United FC and San Jose Earthquakes. Wins shown from Minnesota United FC’s perspective: Minnesota United FC 3 · 1 drawn · San Jose Earthquakes 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | San Jose Earthquakes | 1 – 5 | Minnesota United FC | W |
| 2026-04-29 | San Jose Earthquakes | 4 – 2 | Minnesota United FC | L |
| 2024-09-01 | San Jose Earthquakes | 1 – 2 | Minnesota United FC | W |
| 2024-07-21 | Minnesota United FC | 2 – 0 | San Jose Earthquakes | W |
| 2023-10-01 | Minnesota United FC | 1 – 1 | San Jose Earthquakes | D |
📈 Recent form
Minnesota United FC come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Los Angeles FC.
- WLos Angeles FC 1-3 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
- WMinnesota United FC 3-1 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
- DHouston Dynamo 0-0 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
- WMinnesota United FC 3-2 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
- DColorado Rapids 2-2 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
San Jose Earthquakes come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Real Salt Lake. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at FC Dallas.
- WSan Jose Earthquakes 2-1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- DSan Jose Earthquakes 2-2 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
- LFC Dallas 3-0 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
- DSan Jose Earthquakes 1-1 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
- DReal Salt Lake 1-1 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
🧩 Likely line-ups & team news
San Jose Earthquakes
Unavailable: No reported absences
Coach: B. Arena
Minnesota United FC
Unavailable: No reported absences
Coach: C. Knowles
Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Minnesota United FC at 50% to win and San Jose Earthquakes at 26%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a Minnesota United FC win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota United FC Win | 50% | 53% | @ 1.73 |
| San Jose Earthquakes Win | 26% | 24% | @ 3.90 |
| Draw | 24% | 24% | @ 3.90 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Minnesota United FC or Draw at 1.25 (75% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota United FC or Draw | 75% | 76% | @ 1.25 |
| San Jose Earthquakes or Draw | 50% | 47% | @ 2.05 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-1.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 72% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 84% | @ 1.12 |
| Over 2.5 | 72% | 65% | @ 1.44 |
| Over 3.5 | 51% | 46% | @ 2.00 |
| Under 3.5 | 49% | 54% | @ 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 | 28% | 35% | @ 2.70 |
| Under 1.5 | 11% | 16% | @ 6.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 70%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 70% | 65% | @ 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 30% | 35% | @ 2.62 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Our model's pick is Minnesota United FC or Draw at odds 1.25, with a 75% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 76%.
Who is the favourite for Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Our model makes a Minnesota United FC win the most likely result at 50%. It projects an expected 2.0-1.7 scoreline for Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes.
What is the predicted score for Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.99 for Minnesota United FC and 1.73 for San Jose Earthquakes. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Minnesota United FC and San Jose Earthquakes play?
Kick-off is Sunday 08 November 2026, 00:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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RodezAnalytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.