⚽ Major League Soccer
New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 19 September 2026, 23:30 UTC.
Result: New England Revolution 4-2 Orlando City SC
New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC finished 4-2. New England Revolution won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, Orlando City SC or Draw at 1.91, did not land.
New England Revolution face Orlando City SC in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Saturday 19 September 2026, 23:30 UTC. Recent form: New England Revolution have 3 wins from their last 5, while Orlando City SC have 4 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, New England Revolution won 1, Orlando City SC won 4. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a New England Revolution win the most likely result at 38%, projecting a 1.8-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| 2 | 5.9% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| 3 | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| 4 | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Orlando City SC with a +1.75 start at odds 1.27, the selection our model is most confident in at 85%. On the match result, the model rates a New England Revolution win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 38%. Goals lean over 2.5 (64%), both teams to score points yes (66%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between New England Revolution and Orlando City SC. Wins shown from New England Revolution’s perspective: New England Revolution 1 · Orlando City SC 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | New England Revolution | 4 – 2 | Orlando City SC | W |
| 2026-04-29 | New England Revolution | 3 – 4 | Orlando City SC | L |
| 2024-09-14 | Orlando City SC | 3 – 0 | New England Revolution | L |
| 2024-07-13 | New England Revolution | 1 – 3 | Orlando City SC | L |
| 2023-10-07 | Orlando City SC | 3 – 2 | New England Revolution | L |
📈 Recent form
New England Revolution come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 4-2 at home to Orlando City SC. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Los Angeles Galaxy.
- WNew England Revolution 4-2 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
- WChicago Fire 1-2 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- WNew York City FC 1-2 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- LLos Angeles Galaxy 2-1 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- WColumbus Crew 1-3 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
Orlando City SC come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Toronto FC. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 2-4 at New England Revolution.
- LNew England Revolution 4-2 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
- LColumbus Crew 2-1 Orlando City SCUS Open Cup
- WOrlando City SC 3-0 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
- WAtlanta United FC 2-3 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
- WOrlando City SC 1-0 San DiegoMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- L. CampanaHamstring Injury
- J. HarrisonLower-Body Injury
- L. LangoniThigh Injury
- A. YusufInjury
- G. DorseyBack Injury
- A. GriezmannThigh Injury
- Iago TeodoroSuspended
- A. MarinThigh Injury
- B. OjedaFoot Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices New England Revolution at 38% to win and Orlando City SC at 34%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a New England Revolution win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution Win | 38% | 50% | @ 1.91 |
| Orlando City SC Win | 34% | 27% | @ 3.50 |
| Draw | 28% | 23% | @ 4.10 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is New England Revolution or Draw at 1.25 (65% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution or Draw | 65% | 73% | @ 1.25 |
| Orlando City SC or Draw | 61% | 50% | @ 1.95 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 64% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 84% | @ 1.12 |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 65% | @ 1.44 |
| Under 3.5 | 58% | 54% | @ 1.73 |
| Over 3.5 | 42% | 46% | @ 2.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 36% | 35% | @ 2.70 |
| Under 1.5 | 16% | 16% | @ 6.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 66%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 65% | @ 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 34% | 35% | @ 2.62 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when New England Revolution or Orlando City SC is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando City SC +2 | 88% | 80% | @ 1.18 |
| Orlando City SC +1.75 | 85% | 74% | @ 1.27 |
| New England Revolution +1.5 | 85% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Orlando City SC +1.5 | 82% | 69% | @ 1.38 |
| New England Revolution +1.25 | 80% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Orlando City SC +1.25 | 77% | 66% | @ 1.45 |
| New England Revolution +1 | 75% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Orlando City SC +1 | 72% | 61% | @ 1.56 |
| New England Revolution +0.75 | 70% | 79% | 1.20 |
| Orlando City SC +0.75 | 66% | 54% | @ 1.76 |
| New England Revolution +0.5 | 65% | 74% | 1.28 |
| Orlando City SC +0.5 | 61% | 48% | @ 1.99 |
| New England Revolution +0.25 | 59% | 70% | 1.35 |
| Orlando City SC +0.25 | 54% | 42% | @ 2.27 |
| New England Revolution 0 | 52% | 66% | 1.44 |
| Orlando City SC 0 | 48% | 34% | @ 2.81 |
| New England Revolution -0.25 | 46% | 58% | 1.65 |
| Orlando City SC -0.25 | 41% | 30% | @ 3.17 |
| New England Revolution -0.5 | 39% | 52% | 1.85 |
| Orlando City SC -0.5 | 35% | 26% | @ 3.60 |
| New England Revolution -0.75 | 34% | 46% | 2.08 |
| Orlando City SC -0.75 | 30% | 21% | @ 4.40 |
| New England Revolution -1 | 28% | 39% | 2.44 |
| Orlando City SC -1 | 25% | 15% | @ 6.40 |
| New England Revolution -1.25 | 23% | 34% | 2.75 |
| Orlando City SC -1.25 | 20% | 14% | @ 6.80 |
| New England Revolution -1.5 | 18% | 31% | 3.08 |
| New England Revolution -1.75 | 15% | 26% | 3.58 |
| Orlando City SC -1.5 | 15% | 14% | @ 6.80 |
| New England Revolution -2 | 12% | 20% | 4.80 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC?
Our model's main pick is Orlando City SC with a +1.75 start at odds 1.27, with a 85% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.
Who is the favourite for New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC?
Our model makes a New England Revolution win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.5 scoreline for New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC.
What is the predicted score for New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.80 for New England Revolution and 1.52 for Orlando City SC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do New England Revolution and Orlando City SC play?
Kick-off is Saturday 19 September 2026, 23:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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