⚽ Major League Soccer
New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 07 November 2026, 21:00 UTC.
New York Red Bulls face Atlanta United FC in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Saturday 07 November 2026, 21:00 UTC. Recent form: New York Red Bulls have 1 win from their last 5, while Atlanta United FC have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, New York Red Bulls won 1, Atlanta United FC won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a New York Red Bulls win the most likely result at 45%, projecting a 1.6-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 8.1% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| 2 | 6.3% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| 3 | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is New York Red Bulls or Draw at odds 1.28, with a 73% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a New York Red Bulls win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 45%. Goals lean over 2.5 (57%), both teams to score points yes (60%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between New York Red Bulls and Atlanta United FC. Wins shown from New York Red Bulls’s perspective: New York Red Bulls 1 · 1 drawn · Atlanta United FC 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Atlanta United FC | 2 – 1 | New York Red Bulls | L |
| 2024-10-05 | Atlanta United FC | 2 – 1 | New York Red Bulls | L |
| 2024-09-21 | New York Red Bulls | 2 – 2 | Atlanta United FC | D |
| 2023-06-24 | New York Red Bulls | 4 – 0 | Atlanta United FC | W |
| 2023-04-01 | Atlanta United FC | 1 – 0 | New York Red Bulls | L |
📈 Recent form
New York Red Bulls come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Inter Miami. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at Nashville SC.
- LNashville SC 3-2 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
- LNew England Revolution 3-2 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
- WNew York Red Bulls 2-0 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
- LNew York Red Bulls 0-2 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
- LDC United 2-1 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
Atlanta United FC come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at CF Montreal. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at New York City FC.
- WAtlanta United FC 3-1 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
- LNew York City FC 2-1 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
- LAtlanta United FC 2-3 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
- LAtlanta United FC 1-3 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
- WCF Montreal 0-3 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
🧩 Likely line-ups & team news
Atlanta United FC
Unavailable: No reported absences
Coach: G. Martino
New York Red Bulls
Unavailable: No reported absences
Coach: Michael Bradley
Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices New York Red Bulls at 45% to win and Atlanta United FC at 24%, with the draw at 31%. Our model makes a New York Red Bulls win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Red Bulls Win | 45% | 51% | @ 1.85 |
| Draw | 31% | 22% | @ 4.20 |
| Atlanta United FC Win | 24% | 27% | @ 3.50 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is New York Red Bulls or Draw at 1.28 (73% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Red Bulls or Draw | 73% | 73% | @ 1.28 |
| Atlanta United FC or Draw | 52% | 49% | @ 1.91 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 57% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 86% | @ 1.10 |
| Under 3.5 | 66% | 50% | @ 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 70% | @ 1.36 |
| Under 2.5 | 43% | 30% | @ 3.10 |
| Over 3.5 | 34% | 50% | @ 1.83 |
| Under 1.5 | 20% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 60%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 69% | @ 1.36 |
| BTTS No | 40% | 31% | @ 3.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC?
Our model's pick is New York Red Bulls or Draw at odds 1.28, with a 73% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 73%.
Who is the favourite for New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC?
Our model makes a New York Red Bulls win the most likely result at 45%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.4 scoreline for New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC.
What is the predicted score for New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.56 for New York Red Bulls and 1.40 for Atlanta United FC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do New York Red Bulls and Atlanta United FC play?
Kick-off is Saturday 07 November 2026, 21:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
Get free tips, every day
Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.
18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
More predictions
Obolon'-Brovar
Livyi Bereh
Polessya
Veres Rivne
Cruzeiro
Bahia
Eintracht Braunschweig
Energie Cottbus
Montpellier
Metz
Clermont Foot
RodezAnalytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.