⚽ La Liga
Osasuna vs Athletic Club Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Osasuna vs Athletic Club in the La Liga. Kick-off Saturday 07 November 2026, 17:30 UTC.
Osasuna face Athletic Club in the La Liga, kicking off Saturday 07 November 2026, 17:30 UTC. Recent form: Osasuna have 1 win from their last 5, while Athletic Club have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Athletic Club won 2, 3 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Athletic Club win the most likely result at 36%, projecting a 1.2-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Osasuna vs Athletic Club with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.0% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 9.6% | 12.7% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| 2 | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| 3 | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Osasuna vs Athletic Club comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 75% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Athletic Club win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 36%. Goals lean under 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (52%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Osasuna and Athletic Club. Wins shown from Osasuna’s perspective: 3 drawn · Athletic Club 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-21 | Athletic Club | 1 – 0 | Osasuna | L |
| 2026-01-03 | Osasuna | 1 – 1 | Athletic Club | D |
| 2025-03-30 | Athletic Club | 0 – 0 | Osasuna | D |
| 2024-12-21 | Osasuna | 1 – 2 | Athletic Club | L |
| 2024-05-11 | Athletic Club | 2 – 2 | Osasuna | D |
📈 Recent form
Osasuna come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 6-0 at Atletico Calatayud. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Deportivo La Coruña.
- LDeportivo La Coruña 2-1 OsasunaLa Liga
- WAtletico Calatayud 0-6 OsasunaCopa del Rey
- LSevilla 2-0 OsasunaLa Liga
- WOsasuna 2-0 Racing SantanderLa Liga
- LReal Betis 5-2 OsasunaLa Liga
Athletic Club come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 6-1 at Prat.
- WAthletic Club 2-1 Real SociedadLa Liga
- WPrat 1-6 Athletic ClubCopa del Rey
- WAthletic Club 4-0 GetafeLa Liga
- DValencia 0-0 Athletic ClubLa Liga
- DAthletic Club 0-0 AlavésLa Liga
🧩 Likely line-ups & team news
Athletic Club
Unavailable: No reported absences
Coach: E. Terzić
Osasuna
Unavailable: No reported absences
Coach: Arrasate
Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Osasuna at 32% to win and Athletic Club at 36%, with the draw at 32%. Our model makes an Athletic Club win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club Win | 36% | 46% | @ 2.05 |
| Osasuna Win | 32% | 26% | @ 3.60 |
| Draw | 32% | 27% | @ 3.50 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Athletic Club or Draw at 1.28 (65% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club or Draw | 65% | 74% | @ 1.28 |
| Osasuna or Draw | 61% | 54% | @ 1.73 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-1.3 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 54% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 75% | 76% | @ 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 | 72% | 70% | @ 1.36 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 55% | @ 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 45% | @ 2.10 |
| Under 1.5 | 28% | 30% | @ 3.20 |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 24% | @ 4.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 52%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 48% | @ 1.95 |
| BTTS No | 48% | 52% | @ 1.80 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Osasuna vs Athletic Club?
Our model's pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 75% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 76%.
Who is the favourite for Osasuna vs Athletic Club?
Our model makes an Athletic Club win the most likely result at 36%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.3 scoreline for Osasuna vs Athletic Club.
What is the predicted score for Osasuna vs Athletic Club?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.20 for Osasuna and 1.33 for Athletic Club. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Osasuna and Athletic Club play?
Kick-off is Saturday 07 November 2026, 17:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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