Sat 19 Sep2-1Finished

⚽ Ligue 1

Paris FC vs Strasbourg Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Paris FC vs Strasbourg in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Saturday 19 September 2026, 15:15 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Paris FC 2-1 Strasbourg

Paris FC vs Strasbourg finished 2-1. Paris FC won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Our pre-match best bet, Paris FC Asian Handicap to win or draw at 1.30, landed.

Paris FC face Strasbourg in the upcoming Ligue 1 tips, kicking off Saturday 19 September 2026, 15:15 UTC. Recent form: Paris FC have 2 wins from their last 4, while Strasbourg have 2 wins from their last 4. In their last 3 meetings, Paris FC won 1, Strasbourg won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Paris FC win the most likely result at 42%, projecting a 1.8-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Paris FC vs Strasbourg with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Market pick

Paris FC Asian Handicap +0.5 @ 1.30

73%Bookmaker odds imply 77%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.82 – 1.57 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.4%	5.3%	4.2%	2.2%	0.9%
1	6.1%	9.6%	7.6%	4.0%	1.6%
2	5.6%	8.8%	6.9%	3.6%	1.4%
3	3.4%	5.3%	4.2%	2.2%	0.9%
4	1.5%	2.4%	1.9%	1.0%	0.4%

Projected score: 1-1

Paris FC winDrawStrasbourg win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Paris FC vs Strasbourg comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Paris FC Asian Handicap to win or draw at odds 1.30, the selection our model is most confident in at 73%. On the match result, the model rates a Paris FC win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 42%. Goals lean over 2.5 (66%), both teams to score points yes (66%).

📊 Key numbers

Paris FC 42%Draw 26%Strasbourg 33%

42%26%33%

42%

Paris FC Win

66%

Over 2.5 goals

66%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 3 meetings between Paris FC and Strasbourg. Wins shown from Paris FC’s perspective: Paris FC 1 · 1 drawn · Strasbourg 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-19	Paris FC	2 – 1	Strasbourg	W
2026-03-15	Strasbourg	0 – 0	Paris FC	D
2025-09-21	Paris FC	2 – 3	Strasbourg	L

📈 Recent form

Paris FC

Paris FC come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Nice.

WParis FC 2-1 StrasbourgLigue 1
DParis FC 0-0 LyonLigue 1
WMarseille 2-3 Paris FCLigue 1
WParis FC 3-0 NiceLigue 1
DEstac Troyes 0-0 Paris FCLigue 1

Strasbourg

Strasbourg come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 6-2 at Estac Troyes. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Paris FC.

LParis FC 2-1 StrasbourgLigue 1
DStrasbourg 1-1 MonacoLigue 1
WEstac Troyes 2-6 StrasbourgLigue 1
WStrasbourg 2-1 LensLigue 1
LMarseille 4-0 StrasbourgLigue 1

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Paris FC

E. MbembaNot in squad
OtavioInjury
N. SanguiInjury
T. De SmetNot in squad

Strasbourg

M. GodoMuscle Injury
J. PanichelliKnee Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Paris FC at 42% to win and Strasbourg at 33%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Paris FC win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Paris FC Win	42%	49%	@ 1.95
Strasbourg Win	33%	26%	@ 3.60
Draw	26%	25%	@ 3.75

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Paris FC or Draw at 1.28 (68% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Paris FC or Draw	68%	74%	@ 1.28
Strasbourg or Draw	59%	51%	@ 1.80

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 66% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	85%	79%	@ 1.20
Over 2.5	66%	59%	@ 1.62
Under 3.5	56%	62%	@ 1.53
Over 3.5	44%	38%	@ 2.50
Under 2.5	34%	41%	@ 2.30
Under 1.5	15%	21%	@ 4.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 66%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	66%	59%	@ 1.57
BTTS No	34%	41%	@ 2.25

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Paris FC or Strasbourg is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Strasbourg +2	87%	85%	1.12
Strasbourg +1.75	84%	78%	@ 1.21
Paris FC +1.25	82%	86%	1.10
Strasbourg +1.5	81%	73%	@ 1.31
Paris FC +1	77%	85%	1.12
Strasbourg +1.25	75%	70%	@ 1.36
Paris FC +0.75	72%	78%	1.22
Strasbourg +1	70%	65%	@ 1.46
Paris FC +0.5	68%	73%	1.30
Strasbourg +0.75	64%	58%	@ 1.65
Paris FC +0.25	61%	69%	1.38
Strasbourg +0.5	59%	52%	@ 1.87
Paris FC 0	54%	64%	1.49
Strasbourg +0.25	52%	45%	@ 2.13
Paris FC -0.25	48%	55%	1.74
Strasbourg 0	46%	36%	@ 2.69
Paris FC -0.5	41%	48%	2.00
Strasbourg -0.25	39%	31%	@ 3.12
Paris FC -0.75	36%	42%	2.28
Strasbourg -0.5	32%	27%	@ 3.58
Paris FC -1	30%	35%	2.77
Strasbourg -0.75	28%	22%	@ 4.38
Paris FC -1.25	25%	30%	3.17
Strasbourg -1	23%	15%	@ 6.40
Paris FC -1.5	19%	27%	3.54
Strasbourg -1.25	18%	14%	@ 6.80
Paris FC -1.75	16%	22%	4.25
Paris FC -2	13%	15%	6.25

📈 How the market moved

Paris FC 48%Draw 26%Strasbourg 26%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Paris FC vs Strasbourg?

Our model's main pick is Paris FC Asian Handicap to win or draw at odds 1.30, with a 73% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 77%.

Who is the favourite for Paris FC vs Strasbourg?

Our model makes a Paris FC win the most likely result at 42%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.6 scoreline for Paris FC vs Strasbourg.

What is the predicted score for Paris FC vs Strasbourg?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.82 for Paris FC and 1.57 for Strasbourg. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Paris FC and Strasbourg play?

Kick-off is Saturday 19 September 2026, 15:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.