⚽ Major League Soccer
Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United FC Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United FC in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 20 September 2026, 02:30 UTC.
Result: Portland Timbers 0-1 Atlanta United FC
Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United FC finished 0-1. Atlanta United FC won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, over 2.5 goals at 1.44, did not land.
Portland Timbers face Atlanta United FC in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Sunday 20 September 2026, 02:30 UTC. Recent form: Portland Timbers have 1 win from their last 5, while Atlanta United FC have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Atlanta United FC won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Portland Timbers win the most likely result at 41%, projecting a 1.9-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United FC with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 6.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| 2 | 5.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| 3 | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| 4 | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United FC comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Atlanta United FC with a +1.75 start at odds 1.25, the selection our model is most confident in at 82%. On the match result, the model rates a Portland Timbers win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 41%. Goals lean over 2.5 (67%), both teams to score points yes (67%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between Portland Timbers and Atlanta United FC. Wins shown from Portland Timbers’s perspective: Atlanta United FC 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Portland Timbers | 0 – 1 | Atlanta United FC | L |
| 2023-03-18 | Atlanta United FC | 5 – 1 | Portland Timbers | L |
📈 Recent form
Portland Timbers come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 5-4 at home to Minnesota United FC. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Atlanta United FC.
- LPortland Timbers 0-1 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
- LFC Dallas 2-1 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
- DPortland Timbers 2-2 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
- WPortland Timbers 5-4 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
- LPortland Timbers 1-2 AustinMajor League Soccer
Atlanta United FC come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Portland Timbers. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to Orlando City SC.
- WPortland Timbers 0-1 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
- DDC United 0-0 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
- LAtlanta United FC 2-3 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
- DInter Miami 2-2 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
- LAtlanta United FC 0-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- A. AravenaHip Injury
- B. ByeLeg Injury
- J. CaicedoThigh Injury
- Z. McGrawNot in squad
- J. MosqueraFoot Injury
- T. MuseWrist Injury
- S. AlzateIllness
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Portland Timbers at 41% to win and Atlanta United FC at 28%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a Portland Timbers win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Timbers Win | 41% | 50% | @ 1.90 |
| Draw | 30% | 24% | @ 4.00 |
| Atlanta United FC Win | 28% | 26% | @ 3.60 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Portland Timbers or Draw at 1.28 (70% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Timbers or Draw | 70% | 74% | @ 1.28 |
| Atlanta United FC or Draw | 57% | 50% | @ 1.83 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 67% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 84% | @ 1.12 |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 65% | @ 1.44 |
| Under 3.5 | 54% | 54% | @ 1.73 |
| Over 3.5 | 46% | 46% | @ 2.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 33% | 35% | @ 2.70 |
| Under 1.5 | 14% | 16% | @ 6.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 67%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 67% | 65% | @ 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 33% | 35% | @ 2.62 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Portland Timbers or Atlanta United FC is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Timbers +1.5 | 88% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Atlanta United FC +2 | 86% | 82% | 1.16 |
| Portland Timbers +1.25 | 83% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Atlanta United FC +1.75 | 82% | 75% | @ 1.25 |
| Atlanta United FC +1.5 | 79% | 70% | @ 1.36 |
| Portland Timbers +1 | 78% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Portland Timbers +0.75 | 74% | – | 1.24 |
| Atlanta United FC +1.25 | 73% | 66% | @ 1.43 |
| Portland Timbers +0.5 | 70% | 73% | 1.30 |
| Atlanta United FC +1 | 68% | 62% | @ 1.53 |
| Portland Timbers +0.25 | 63% | 70% | 1.36 |
| Atlanta United FC +0.75 | 62% | 55% | @ 1.73 |
| Atlanta United FC +0.5 | 57% | 50% | @ 1.93 |
| Portland Timbers 0 | 56% | 65% | 1.47 |
| Atlanta United FC +0.25 | 50% | 43% | @ 2.23 |
| Portland Timbers -0.25 | 50% | 57% | 1.68 |
| Atlanta United FC 0 | 44% | 35% | @ 2.75 |
| Portland Timbers -0.5 | 43% | 50% | 1.93 |
| Portland Timbers -0.75 | 38% | 45% | 2.15 |
| Atlanta United FC -0.25 | 37% | 30% | @ 3.17 |
| Portland Timbers -1 | 32% | 38% | 2.52 |
| Atlanta United FC -0.5 | 30% | 27% | @ 3.55 |
| Portland Timbers -1.25 | 27% | 34% | 2.83 |
| Atlanta United FC -1 | 22% | 15% | @ 6.25 |
| Portland Timbers -1.5 | 21% | 30% | 3.17 |
| Portland Timbers -1.75 | 18% | 25% | 3.80 |
| Atlanta United FC -1.25 | 17% | 14% | @ 6.80 |
| Portland Timbers -2 | 14% | 18% | 5.25 |
| Atlanta United FC -1.5 | 12% | 14% | 7.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United FC?
Our model's main pick is Atlanta United FC with a +1.75 start at odds 1.25, with a 82% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.
Who is the favourite for Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United FC?
Our model makes a Portland Timbers win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 1.9-1.5 scoreline for Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United FC.
What is the predicted score for Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United FC?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.94 for Portland Timbers and 1.53 for Atlanta United FC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Portland Timbers and Atlanta United FC play?
Kick-off is Sunday 20 September 2026, 02:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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