⚽ Major League Soccer
Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Monday 02 November 2026, 02:30 UTC.
Result: Portland Timbers 3-1 Houston Dynamo
Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo finished 3-1. Portland Timbers won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.53, did not land.
Portland Timbers face Houston Dynamo in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Monday 02 November 2026, 02:30 UTC. Recent form: Portland Timbers have 1 win from their last 5, while Houston Dynamo have no wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Portland Timbers won 1, Houston Dynamo won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Houston Dynamo win the most likely result at 36%, projecting a 1.5-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 8.1% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| 2 | 6.1% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| 3 | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.53, with a 66% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Houston Dynamo win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 36%. Goals lean over 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points yes (58%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Portland Timbers and Houston Dynamo. Wins shown from Portland Timbers’s perspective: Portland Timbers 1 · 1 drawn · Houston Dynamo 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Portland Timbers | 3 – 1 | Houston Dynamo | W |
| 2024-06-02 | Portland Timbers | 2 – 2 | Houston Dynamo | D |
| 2024-03-17 | Houston Dynamo | 1 – 0 | Portland Timbers | L |
| 2023-10-22 | Portland Timbers | 1 – 3 | Houston Dynamo | L |
| 2023-08-21 | Houston Dynamo | 5 – 0 | Portland Timbers | L |
📈 Recent form
Portland Timbers come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Houston Dynamo. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Los Angeles Galaxy.
- WPortland Timbers 3-1 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
- WSt. Louis City 2-3 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
- WPortland Timbers 3-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
- DPortland Timbers 0-0 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
- LLos Angeles Galaxy 2-0 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
Houston Dynamo come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Seattle Sounders. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at Portland Timbers.
- LPortland Timbers 3-1 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
- WSeattle Sounders 0-1 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
- DHouston Dynamo 0-0 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
- DHouston Dynamo 2-2 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
- DSan Diego 3-3 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 12 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- AntonyKnee Injury
- A. BonetigShoulder Injury
- B. ByeLeg Injury
- J. ForyConcussion
- Z. McGrawBack Injury
- K. MillerSuspended (red card)
- J. MosqueraFoot Injury
- T. MuseConcussion
- GuilhermeLower-Body Injury
- H. HerreraLower-Body Injury
- J. MaurerBack Injury
- M. SaracchiLower-Body Injury
🧩 Line-ups
Houston Dynamo
Coach: Ben Olsen
Portland Timbers
Coach: Martí Cifuentes
Official line-ups as announced by the clubs before kick-off.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Portland Timbers at 35% to win and Houston Dynamo at 36%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Houston Dynamo win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Dynamo Win | 36% | 22% | @ 4.33 |
| Portland Timbers Win | 35% | 55% | @ 1.73 |
| Draw | 29% | 23% | @ 4.20 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Houston Dynamo or Draw at 2.05 (64% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Dynamo or Draw | 64% | 45% | @ 2.05 |
| Portland Timbers or Draw | 63% | 78% | @ 1.20 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 56% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 79% | @ 1.18 |
| Under 3.5 | 66% | 62% | @ 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 59% | @ 1.60 |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 41% | @ 2.30 |
| Over 3.5 | 34% | 38% | @ 2.50 |
| Under 1.5 | 21% | 21% | @ 4.50 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 58%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 58% | @ 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 42% | 42% | @ 2.20 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Portland Timbers or Houston Dynamo is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Dynamo +2 | 89% | 79% | @ 1.19 |
| Houston Dynamo +1.75 | 87% | 73% | @ 1.30 |
| Houston Dynamo +1.5 | 84% | 67% | @ 1.42 |
| Houston Dynamo +1.25 | 79% | 63% | @ 1.51 |
| Houston Dynamo +1 | 74% | 58% | @ 1.66 |
| Portland Timbers +1 | 73% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Houston Dynamo +0.75 | 69% | 50% | @ 1.92 |
| Portland Timbers +0.75 | 68% | 83% | 1.15 |
| Houston Dynamo +0.5 | 64% | 45% | @ 2.14 |
| Portland Timbers +0.5 | 63% | 77% | 1.24 |
| Houston Dynamo +0.25 | 57% | 38% | @ 2.51 |
| Portland Timbers +0.25 | 56% | 75% | 1.26 |
| Houston Dynamo 0 | 50% | 28% | @ 3.40 |
| Portland Timbers 0 | 50% | 72% | 1.32 |
| Houston Dynamo -0.25 | 44% | 25% | @ 3.85 |
| Portland Timbers -0.25 | 43% | 62% | 1.52 |
| Houston Dynamo -0.5 | 37% | 23% | @ 4.06 |
| Portland Timbers -0.5 | 36% | 55% | 1.72 |
| Houston Dynamo -0.75 | 32% | 17% | @ 5.50 |
| Portland Timbers -0.75 | 31% | 50% | 1.93 |
| Houston Dynamo -1 | 27% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
| Portland Timbers -1 | 26% | 42% | 2.25 |
| Portland Timbers -1.25 | 21% | 37% | 2.58 |
| Portland Timbers -1.5 | 16% | 33% | 2.86 |
| Portland Timbers -1.75 | 13% | 27% | 3.56 |
| Portland Timbers -2 | 11% | 21% | 4.50 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo?
Our model's pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.53, with a 66% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 62%.
Who is the favourite for Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo?
Our model makes a Houston Dynamo win the most likely result at 36%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.4 scoreline for Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo.
What is the predicted score for Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.51 for Portland Timbers and 1.41 for Houston Dynamo. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Portland Timbers and Houston Dynamo play?
Kick-off is Monday 02 November 2026, 02:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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