⚽ Championship
QPR vs Burnley Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for QPR vs Burnley in the Championship. Kick-off Tuesday 03 November 2026, 19:45 UTC.
Result: QPR 1-1 Burnley
QPR vs Burnley finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.45, landed.
QPR face Burnley in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Tuesday 03 November 2026, 19:45 UTC. Recent form: QPR have 2 wins from their last 5, while Burnley have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 3 meetings, Burnley won 1, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Burnley win the most likely result at 44%, projecting a 1.4-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for QPR vs Burnley with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 8.2% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| 2 | 5.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| 3 | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for QPR vs Burnley comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.45, with a 73% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Burnley win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 44%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (55%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 3 meetings between QPR and Burnley. Wins shown from QPR’s perspective: 2 drawn · Burnley 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | QPR | 1 – 1 | Burnley | D |
| 2025-04-26 | QPR | 0 – 5 | Burnley | L |
| 2024-10-26 | Burnley | 0 – 0 | QPR | D |
📈 Recent form
QPR come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Swansea. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at Southampton.
- DQPR 1-1 BurnleyChampionship
- LSouthampton 4-1 QPRChampionship
- WQPR 5-0 SwanseaChampionship
- LBirmingham 3-0 QPRChampionship
- WQPR 4-1 DerbyChampionship
Burnley come into this game with no wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 9. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at Lincoln.
- DQPR 1-1 BurnleyChampionship
- DBurnley 0-0 PortsmouthChampionship
- LLincoln 4-1 BurnleyChampionship
- LBurnley 1-2 WolvesChampionship
- DBurnley 2-2 CharltonChampionship
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 17 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- R. BurrellNot in squad
- J. Clarke-SalterNot in squad
- T. LampteyNot in squad
- N. MadsenInjury
- A. S. MbengueKnee Injury
- Z. AmdouniAnkle Injury
- B. AmosNot in squad
- A. BarnesNot in squad
- J. BeyerHamstring Injury
- A. BrojaInjury
- J. Bruun LarsenInjury
- B. HumphreysMuscle Injury
- H. MejbriHamstring Injury
🧩 Line-ups
Burnley
Coach: F. Celestini
QPR
Coach: Julien Stéphan
Official line-ups as announced by the clubs before kick-off.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices QPR at 26% to win and Burnley at 44%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a Burnley win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley Win | 44% | 26% | @ 3.60 |
| Draw | 30% | 26% | @ 3.60 |
| QPR Win | 26% | 48% | @ 1.95 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Burnley or Draw at 1.80 (72% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley or Draw | 72% | 52% | @ 1.80 |
| QPR or Draw | 54% | 74% | @ 1.28 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 78% | @ 1.22 |
| Under 3.5 | 69% | 64% | @ 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 55% | @ 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 | 46% | 45% | @ 2.10 |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 36% | @ 2.62 |
| Under 1.5 | 23% | 22% | @ 4.33 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 55%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 58% | @ 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 45% | 42% | @ 2.20 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when QPR or Burnley is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley +2 | 93% | 85% | @ 1.12 |
| Burnley +1.75 | 91% | 78% | @ 1.21 |
| Burnley +1.5 | 89% | 73% | @ 1.30 |
| Burnley +1.25 | 85% | 70% | @ 1.35 |
| Burnley +1 | 80% | 66% | @ 1.44 |
| Burnley +0.75 | 76% | 58% | @ 1.64 |
| Burnley +0.5 | 72% | 52% | @ 1.86 |
| QPR +1.25 | 71% | 86% | 1.10 |
| QPR +1 | 66% | 86% | 1.11 |
| Burnley +0.25 | 65% | 45% | @ 2.12 |
| QPR +0.75 | 60% | 79% | 1.20 |
| Burnley 0 | 59% | 36% | @ 2.68 |
| QPR +0.5 | 54% | 73% | 1.29 |
| Burnley -0.25 | 52% | 31% | @ 3.10 |
| QPR +0.25 | 48% | 69% | 1.37 |
| Burnley -0.5 | 46% | 27% | @ 3.54 |
| QPR 0 | 41% | 64% | 1.48 |
| Burnley -0.75 | 40% | 21% | @ 4.40 |
| QPR -0.25 | 35% | 55% | 1.73 |
| Burnley -1 | 34% | 14% | @ 6.60 |
| Burnley -1.25 | 29% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
| QPR -0.5 | 28% | 48% | 2.02 |
| QPR -0.75 | 24% | 42% | 2.29 |
| QPR -1 | 20% | 34% | 2.83 |
| QPR -1.25 | 15% | 30% | 3.19 |
| QPR -1.5 | 11% | 27% | 3.56 |
| QPR -1.75 | 9% | 22% | 4.25 |
| QPR -2 | 7% | 15% | 6.25 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for QPR vs Burnley?
Our model's pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.45, with a 73% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 64%.
Who is the favourite for QPR vs Burnley?
Our model makes a Burnley win the most likely result at 44%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.4 scoreline for QPR vs Burnley.
What is the predicted score for QPR vs Burnley?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.38 for QPR and 1.44 for Burnley. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do QPR and Burnley play?
Kick-off is Tuesday 03 November 2026, 19:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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