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⚽ Bundesliga

RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Saturday 07 November 2026, 14:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

RB Leipzig face FC Augsburg in the Bundesliga, kicking off Saturday 07 November 2026, 14:30 UTC. Recent form: RB Leipzig have 3 wins from their last 5, while FC Augsburg have no wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, RB Leipzig won 3, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a RB Leipzig win the most likely result at 61%, projecting a 2.4-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.28

71%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.42 – 1.28 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.5%	3.2%	2.0%	0.9%	0.3%
1	6.0%	7.7%	4.9%	2.1%	0.7%
2	7.2%	9.3%	5.9%	2.5%	0.8%
3	5.8%	7.5%	4.8%	2.0%	0.7%
4	3.5%	4.5%	2.9%	1.2%	0.4%

Projected score: 2-1

RB Leipzig winDrawFC Augsburg win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.28, with a 71% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a RB Leipzig win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 61%. Goals lean over 2.5 (71%), both teams to score points yes (66%).

📊 Key numbers

RB Leipzig 61%Draw 23%FC Augsburg 16%

61%23%16%

61%

RB Leipzig Win

71%

Over 2.5 goals

66%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between RB Leipzig and FC Augsburg. Wins shown from RB Leipzig’s perspective: RB Leipzig 3 · 2 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-03-07	RB Leipzig	2 – 1	FC Augsburg	W
2025-10-25	FC Augsburg	0 – 6	RB Leipzig	W
2025-02-14	FC Augsburg	0 – 0	RB Leipzig	D
2024-09-28	RB Leipzig	4 – 0	FC Augsburg	W
2024-02-10	FC Augsburg	2 – 2	RB Leipzig	D

📈 Recent form

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to SV Elversberg. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to Manchester City.

LRB Leipzig 2-3 Manchester CityUEFA Champions League
WFC Schalke 04 0-2 RB LeipzigBundesliga
WRot-Weiß Essen 1-2 RB LeipzigDFB Pokal
WRB Leipzig 4-0 SV ElversbergBundesliga
LReal Madrid 4-1 RB LeipzigUEFA Champions League

FC Augsburg

FC Augsburg come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 4-2 at SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to SC Freiburg.

LFC Augsburg 1-2 SC FreiburgBundesliga
WSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 2-4 FC AugsburgDFB Pokal
DFC Augsburg 1-1 Union BerlinBundesliga
LSV Elversberg 4-3 FC AugsburgBundesliga
DFC Augsburg 2-2 Bayern MunichBundesliga

🧩 Likely line-ups & team news

FC Augsburg 3-4-2-1

1Dahmen

14Keitel

6Gouweleeuw

5Matsima

19Fellhauer

4Massengo

32Rieder

16Behrens

30Kade

21Ibrahimović

11Gregoritsch

7Nusa

40Rômulo

10Gruda

6Banzuzi

14Baumgartner

21El Aynaoui

22Raum

23Lukeba

4Orbán

17Baku

26Vandevoordt

RB Leipzig 4-3-3

FC Augsburg

Last starting XI (3-4-2-1) vs SC Freiburg, 31/10

Unavailable: No reported absences

Coach: M. Baum

Bench last match20Claude-Maurice38Husic10Kömür22Labrović39Ogundu9Ribeiro37Schnitzer7Young-Woo27Wolf

RB Leipzig

Last starting XI (4-3-3) vs Manchester City, 04/11

Unavailable: No reported absences

Coach: M. Demichelis

Bench last match11Bakayoko13Seiwald20Reitz1Nyland28Nkunku30MaksimoviÄ3Estève27Gomis39Henrichs16Klostermann2Koné

Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices RB Leipzig at 61% to win and FC Augsburg at 16%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes a RB Leipzig win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
RB Leipzig Win	61%	65%	@ 1.45
Draw	23%	19%	@ 5.00
FC Augsburg Win	16%	16%	@ 6.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is RB Leipzig or Draw at 1.12 (83% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
RB Leipzig or Draw	83%	84%	@ 1.12
FC Augsburg or Draw	39%	35%	@ 2.62

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.4-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 71% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	88%	89%	@ 1.07
Over 2.5	71%	75%	@ 1.28
Over 3.5	51%	57%	@ 1.67
Under 3.5	49%	43%	@ 2.20
Under 2.5	29%	25%	@ 3.75
Under 1.5	12%	11%	@ 9.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 66%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	66%	66%	@ 1.40
BTTS No	34%	34%	@ 2.75

📈 How the market moved

RB Leipzig 65%Draw 19%FC Augsburg 16%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg?

Our model's pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.28, with a 71% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

Who is the favourite for RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg?

Our model makes a RB Leipzig win the most likely result at 61%. It projects an expected 2.4-1.3 scoreline for RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg.

What is the predicted score for RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.42 for RB Leipzig and 1.28 for FC Augsburg. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do RB Leipzig and FC Augsburg play?

Kick-off is Saturday 07 November 2026, 14:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.