Sun 8 Nov14:00Upcoming

⚽ Ligue 1

Rennes vs Lille Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Rennes vs Lille in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Sunday 08 November 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Rennes face Lille in the Ligue 1, kicking off Sunday 08 November 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Rennes have 2 wins from their last 5, while Lille have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Rennes won 1, Lille won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Rennes win the most likely result at 38%, projecting a 1.4-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Rennes vs Lille with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.53

71%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.36 – 1.35 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.7%	9.0%	6.1%	2.7%	0.9%
1	9.0%	12.2%	8.2%	3.7%	1.3%
2	6.2%	8.3%	5.6%	2.5%	0.9%
3	2.8%	3.8%	2.5%	1.1%	0.4%
4	0.9%	1.3%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Rennes winDrawLille win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Rennes vs Lille comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.53, with a 71% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Rennes win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 38%. Goals lean over 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points yes (55%).

📊 Key numbers

Rennes 38%Draw 27%Lille 35%

38%27%35%

38%

Rennes Win

51%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Rennes and Lille. Wins shown from Rennes’s perspective: Rennes 1 · 1 drawn · Lille 3.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-03-15	Rennes	1 – 2	Lille	L
2026-01-03	Lille	0 – 2	Rennes	W
2025-02-16	Rennes	0 – 2	Lille	L
2024-11-24	Lille	1 – 0	Rennes	L
2024-03-10	Lille	2 – 2	Rennes	D

📈 Recent form

Rennes

Rennes come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Strasbourg. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 2-5 at Nice.

LNice 5-2 RennesLigue 1
WRennes 3-0 StrasbourgLigue 1
DJuventus 2-2 RennesUEFA Europa League
LParis FC 4-3 RennesLigue 1
WRennes 2-1 OFIUEFA Europa League

Lille

Lille come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Lens. Their only defeat in that run was 2-4 at home to Galatasaray.

DBodo/Glimt 0-0 LilleUEFA Champions League
WLille 1-0 LensLigue 1
DMonaco 1-1 LilleLigue 1
LLille 2-4 GalatasarayUEFA Champions League
DLille 1-1 BrestLigue 1

🧩 Likely line-ups & team news

Lille 4-3-3

1Özer

38Goffi

3Ngoy

4Ribeiro

15Perraud

17Mukau

6Bentaleb

21André

8Mbappé

10Haraldsson

35Diaoune

22Dia

11Tamari

45Camara

28Thomasson

17Szymański

18Nagida

5Oliveira

4Cresswell

24Rouault

14Reynolds

30Samba

Rennes 5-3-2

Lille

Last starting XI (4-3-3) vs Lens, 30/10

Coach: Davide Ancelotti

Bench last match9Giroud12Gill26Cossier14Kjærgaard28Perrin7Bakwa11Sahraoui24Verdonk19Önal

Rennes

Last starting XI (5-3-2) vs Olympiakos Piraeus, 04/11

Coach: F. Haise

Bench last match60Belazzoug90Soumaré21Rongier70Nordin26Merlin12Mayenda16Lemaître48Ait Boudlal10Blas6Cissé65Do Marcolino35Quiñonez

Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Rennes at 38% to win and Lille at 35%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Rennes win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Rennes Win	38%	45%	@ 2.10
Lille Win	35%	29%	@ 3.30
Draw	27%	26%	@ 3.60

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Rennes or Draw at 1.33 (65% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Rennes or Draw	65%	71%	@ 1.33
Lille or Draw	62%	55%	@ 1.70

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	75%	79%	@ 1.20
Under 3.5	71%	62%	@ 1.53
Over 2.5	51%	59%	@ 1.62
Under 2.5	49%	41%	@ 2.30
Over 3.5	29%	38%	@ 2.50
Under 1.5	25%	21%	@ 4.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 55%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	55%	61%	@ 1.53
BTTS No	45%	39%	@ 2.38

📈 How the market moved

Rennes 45%Draw 26%Lille 29%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rennes vs Lille?

Our model's pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.53, with a 71% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 62%.

Who is the favourite for Rennes vs Lille?

Our model makes a Rennes win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.4 scoreline for Rennes vs Lille.

What is the predicted score for Rennes vs Lille?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.36 for Rennes and 1.35 for Lille. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Rennes and Lille play?

Kick-off is Sunday 08 November 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.