⚽ Major League Soccer
San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 08 November 2026, 00:00 UTC.
San Diego face Sporting Kansas City in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Sunday 08 November 2026, 00:00 UTC. Recent form: San Diego have 1 win from their last 5, while Sporting Kansas City have no wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a San Diego win the most likely result at 47%, projecting a 2.7-2.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 2.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| 2 | 3.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| 3 | 2.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| 4 | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 85% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a San Diego win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 47%. Goals lean over 2.5 (85%), both teams to score points yes (80%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
San Diego come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at St. Louis City. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-4 at Vancouver Whitecaps.
- WSt. Louis City 0-1 San DiegoMajor League Soccer
- LVancouver Whitecaps 4-1 San DiegoMajor League Soccer
- DSan Diego 2-2 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
- DLos Angeles Galaxy 2-2 San DiegoMajor League Soccer
- DSan Diego 3-3 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
Sporting Kansas City come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 13. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Minnesota United FC.
- DSporting Kansas City 1-1 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
- LMinnesota United FC 3-1 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
- LSporting Kansas City 1-2 AustinMajor League Soccer
- LSporting Kansas City 1-3 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- LNashville SC 4-0 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
🧩 Likely line-ups & team news
Sporting Kansas City
Unavailable: No reported absences
Coach: R. Wicky
San Diego
Unavailable: No reported absences
Coach: Mikey Varas
Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices San Diego at 47% to win and Sporting Kansas City at 23%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a San Diego win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego Win | 47% | 66% | @ 1.42 |
| Draw | 29% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
| Sporting Kansas City Win | 23% | 16% | @ 6.00 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is San Diego or Draw at 1.12 (74% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego or Draw | 74% | 84% | @ 1.12 |
| Sporting Kansas City or Draw | 51% | 34% | @ 2.75 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.7-2.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 85% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 95% | 90% | @ 1.06 |
| Over 2.5 | 85% | 76% | @ 1.25 |
| Over 3.5 | 70% | 58% | @ 1.62 |
| Under 3.5 | 30% | 42% | @ 2.20 |
| Under 2.5 | 15% | 24% | @ 4.00 |
| Under 1.5 | 5% | 10% | @ 10.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 80%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 80% | 69% | @ 1.36 |
| BTTS No | 20% | 31% | @ 3.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City?
Our model's pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 85% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 76%.
Who is the favourite for San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City?
Our model makes a San Diego win the most likely result at 47%. It projects an expected 2.7-2.1 scoreline for San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City.
What is the predicted score for San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-2, based on expected goals of 2.68 for San Diego and 2.06 for Sporting Kansas City. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do San Diego and Sporting Kansas City play?
Kick-off is Sunday 08 November 2026, 00:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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RodezAnalytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.