⚽ Major League Soccer
San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 31 October 2026, 21:00 UTC.
Result: San Jose Earthquakes 2-1 Real Salt Lake
San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake finished 2-1. San Jose Earthquakes won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, Real Salt Lake or Draw at 1.57, did not land.
San Jose Earthquakes face Real Salt Lake in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Saturday 31 October 2026, 21:00 UTC. Recent form: San Jose Earthquakes have 1 win from their last 5, while Real Salt Lake have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, San Jose Earthquakes won 3, Real Salt Lake won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Real Salt Lake win the most likely result at 48%, projecting a 1.6-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 6.6% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| 2 | 5.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| 3 | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is Real Salt Lake or Draw at odds 1.57, with a 74% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Real Salt Lake win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 48%. Goals lean over 2.5 (62%), both teams to score points yes (64%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between San Jose Earthquakes and Real Salt Lake. Wins shown from San Jose Earthquakes’s perspective: San Jose Earthquakes 3 · 1 drawn · Real Salt Lake 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-31 | San Jose Earthquakes | 2 – 1 | Real Salt Lake | W |
| 2026-10-15 | Real Salt Lake | 1 – 1 | San Jose Earthquakes | D |
| 2024-10-06 | San Jose Earthquakes | 0 – 1 | Real Salt Lake | L |
| 2024-08-25 | Real Salt Lake | 0 – 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | W |
| 2023-09-17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 2 – 1 | Real Salt Lake | W |
📈 Recent form
San Jose Earthquakes come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Real Salt Lake. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at FC Dallas.
- WSan Jose Earthquakes 2-1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- DSan Jose Earthquakes 2-2 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
- LFC Dallas 3-0 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
- DSan Jose Earthquakes 1-1 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
- DReal Salt Lake 1-1 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
Real Salt Lake come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to St. Louis City. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at San Jose Earthquakes.
- LSan Jose Earthquakes 2-1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- WAustin 1-2 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- WReal Salt Lake 3-0 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
- WSporting Kansas City 1-3 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- DReal Salt Lake 1-1 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 10 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- N. AdimabuaGroin Injury
- J. A. Gonzalez MendozaLower-Body Injury
- D. JohnsonLower-Body Injury
- D. JonesAchilles Tendon Injury
- T. WernerSuspended (red card)
- J. J. AriasHamstring Injury
- G. DillonFoot Injury
- E. EneliKnee Injury
- M. GuilavoguiSuspended (cards)
- D. LunaKnee Injury
🧩 Line-ups
Real Salt Lake
Coach: P. Mastroeni
San Jose Earthquakes
Coach: B. Arena
Official line-ups as announced by the clubs before kick-off.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices San Jose Earthquakes at 24% to win and Real Salt Lake at 48%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Real Salt Lake win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Salt Lake Win | 48% | 35% | @ 2.70 |
| Draw | 29% | 24% | @ 4.00 |
| San Jose Earthquakes Win | 24% | 41% | @ 2.30 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Real Salt Lake or Draw at 1.57 (74% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Salt Lake or Draw | 74% | 59% | @ 1.57 |
| San Jose Earthquakes or Draw | 51% | 65% | @ 1.44 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 62% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 83% | @ 1.14 |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 64% | @ 1.48 |
| Under 3.5 | 60% | 56% | @ 1.67 |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 44% | @ 2.10 |
| Under 2.5 | 38% | 36% | @ 2.60 |
| Under 1.5 | 17% | 17% | @ 5.50 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 64%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 65% | @ 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 36% | 35% | @ 2.62 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when San Jose Earthquakes or Real Salt Lake is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Salt Lake +1.75 | 92% | 83% | @ 1.15 |
| Real Salt Lake +1.5 | 90% | 77% | @ 1.23 |
| Real Salt Lake +1.25 | 86% | 75% | @ 1.26 |
| Real Salt Lake +1 | 82% | 73% | @ 1.31 |
| Real Salt Lake +0.75 | 78% | 65% | @ 1.47 |
| San Jose Earthquakes +1.75 | 78% | 86% | 1.11 |
| Real Salt Lake +0.5 | 74% | 58% | @ 1.63 |
| San Jose Earthquakes +1.5 | 74% | 81% | 1.17 |
| San Jose Earthquakes +1.25 | 68% | 79% | 1.19 |
| Real Salt Lake +0.25 | 68% | 53% | @ 1.80 |
| San Jose Earthquakes +1 | 62% | 77% | 1.23 |
| Real Salt Lake 0 | 62% | 46% | @ 2.08 |
| San Jose Earthquakes +0.75 | 56% | 70% | 1.34 |
| Real Salt Lake -0.25 | 56% | 40% | @ 2.39 |
| San Jose Earthquakes +0.5 | 51% | 64% | 1.48 |
| Real Salt Lake -0.5 | 49% | 36% | @ 2.67 |
| San Jose Earthquakes +0.25 | 44% | 60% | 1.58 |
| Real Salt Lake -0.75 | 44% | 30% | @ 3.21 |
| San Jose Earthquakes 0 | 38% | 54% | 1.76 |
| Real Salt Lake -1 | 38% | 23% | @ 4.14 |
| San Jose Earthquakes -0.25 | 32% | 47% | 2.04 |
| Real Salt Lake -1.25 | 32% | 21% | @ 4.50 |
| Real Salt Lake -1.5 | 26% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
| San Jose Earthquakes -0.5 | 26% | 42% | 2.29 |
| Real Salt Lake -1.75 | 22% | 14% | @ 6.60 |
| San Jose Earthquakes -0.75 | 22% | 35% | 2.71 |
| San Jose Earthquakes -1 | 18% | 27% | 3.46 |
| San Jose Earthquakes -1.25 | 14% | 25% | 3.78 |
| San Jose Earthquakes -1.5 | 10% | 23% | 4.10 |
| San Jose Earthquakes -1.75 | 8% | 17% | 5.50 |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake?
Our model's pick is Real Salt Lake or Draw at odds 1.57, with a 74% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 59%.
Who is the favourite for San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake?
Our model makes a Real Salt Lake win the most likely result at 48%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.6 scoreline for San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake.
What is the predicted score for San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.61 for San Jose Earthquakes and 1.58 for Real Salt Lake. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do San Jose Earthquakes and Real Salt Lake play?
Kick-off is Saturday 31 October 2026, 21:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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