Sun 20 Sep1-0Finished

⚽ Brazilian Série A

São Paulo vs Internacional Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for São Paulo vs Internacional in the Brazilian Série A. Kick-off Sunday 20 September 2026, 00:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: São Paulo 1-0 Internacional

São Paulo vs Internacional finished 1-0. São Paulo won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.25, landed.

São Paulo face Internacional in the upcoming Brazilian Série A tips, kicking off Sunday 20 September 2026, 00:00 UTC. Recent form: São Paulo have 2 wins from their last 5, while Internacional have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, São Paulo won 1, Internacional won 2, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a draw the most likely result at 34%, projecting a 1.4-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for São Paulo vs Internacional with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Internacional +1.5 @ 1.26

84%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.37 – 1.03 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.1%	9.3%	4.8%	1.7%	0.4%
1	12.4%	12.8%	6.6%	2.3%	0.6%
2	8.5%	8.8%	4.5%	1.6%	0.4%
3	3.9%	4.0%	2.1%	0.7%	0.2%
4	1.3%	1.4%	0.7%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

São Paulo winDrawInternacional win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for São Paulo vs Internacional comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Internacional with a +1.5 start at odds 1.26, the selection our model is most confident in at 84%. On the match result, the model rates a draw the most likely 1X2 outcome at 34%. Goals lean under 2.5 (57%), both teams to score points no (52%).

📊 Key numbers

São Paulo 33%Draw 34%Internacional 33%

33%34%33%

34%

Draw

57%

Under 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between São Paulo and Internacional. Wins shown from São Paulo’s perspective: São Paulo 1 · 2 drawn · Internacional 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-20	São Paulo	1 – 0	Internacional	W
2026-04-01	Internacional	1 – 1	São Paulo	D
2024-09-22	São Paulo	1 – 3	Internacional	L
2024-06-13	Internacional	0 – 0	São Paulo	D
2023-09-14	Internacional	2 – 1	São Paulo	L

📈 Recent form

São Paulo

São Paulo come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Atlético Mineiro. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Palmeiras.

WSão Paulo 1-0 InternacionalBrazilian Série A
DSão Paulo 1-1 Boca JuniorsCONMEBOL Sudamericana
LPalmeiras 2-0 São PauloBrazilian Série A
LBoca Juniors 1-0 São PauloCONMEBOL Sudamericana
WSão Paulo 2-0 Atlético MineiroBrazilian Série A

Internacional

Internacional come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Chapecoense. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at São Paulo.

LSão Paulo 1-0 InternacionalBrazilian Série A
WChapecoense 1-2 InternacionalBrazilian Série A
LInternacional 2-3 SantosBrazilian Série A
LGrêmio 3-1 InternacionalCopa Do Brasil
LBahia 3-2 InternacionalBrazilian Série A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 11 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

São Paulo

D. BobadillaNot in squad
Lucas MouraAchilles Tendon Injury
Lucca MarquesJaw injury
Luis OsorioSuspended (red card)
Pablo MaiaSuspended (cards)

Internacional

B. ArhinHamstring Injury
CalebeNot in squad
KaykyAnkle Injury
S. RochetLower Back Injury
Victor GabrielSuspended (red card)
R. VillagraSuspended (cards)

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices São Paulo at 33% to win and Internacional at 33%, with the draw at 34%. Our model makes a draw the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Draw	34%	30%	@ 3.20
Internacional Win	33%	22%	@ 4.33
São Paulo Win	33%	49%	@ 1.95

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Internacional or Draw at 1.83 (64% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Internacional or Draw	64%	51%	@ 1.83
São Paulo or Draw	63%	78%	@ 1.18

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.0 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 57% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	78%	79%	@ 1.20
Over 1.5	69%	66%	@ 1.44
Under 2.5	57%	60%	@ 1.57
Over 2.5	43%	40%	@ 2.35
Under 1.5	31%	34%	@ 2.75
Over 3.5	22%	21%	@ 4.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	52%	55%	@ 1.70
BTTS Yes	48%	45%	@ 2.05

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when São Paulo or Internacional is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Internacional +2	89%	86%	1.10
Internacional +1.75	86%	80%	@ 1.18
Internacional +1.5	84%	–	@ 1.26
Internacional +1.25	79%	72%	@ 1.31
Internacional +1	74%	68%	@ 1.41
Internacional +0.75	69%	58%	@ 1.64
São Paulo +0.75	68%	84%	1.13
Internacional +0.5	64%	52%	@ 1.86
São Paulo +0.5	63%	78%	1.23
Internacional +0.25	57%	43%	@ 2.23
São Paulo +0.25	56%	74%	1.28
Internacional 0	50%	31%	@ 3.06
São Paulo 0	50%	69%	1.39
Internacional -0.25	44%	26%	@ 3.67
São Paulo -0.25	43%	57%	1.67
Internacional -0.5	37%	22%	@ 4.24
São Paulo -0.5	36%	48%	2.01
Internacional -0.75	32%	16%	@ 5.90
São Paulo -0.75	31%	42%	2.29
São Paulo -1	26%	32%	2.94
São Paulo -1.25	21%	28%	3.46
São Paulo -1.75	14%	20%	4.65
São Paulo -2	11%	14%	6.80

📈 How the market moved

São Paulo 48%Draw 30%Internacional 22%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for São Paulo vs Internacional?

Our model's main pick is Internacional with a +1.5 start at odds 1.26, with a 84% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 79%.

Who is the favourite for São Paulo vs Internacional?

Our model makes a draw the most likely result at 34%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.0 scoreline for São Paulo vs Internacional.

What is the predicted score for São Paulo vs Internacional?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.37 for São Paulo and 1.03 for Internacional. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do São Paulo and Internacional play?

Kick-off is Sunday 20 September 2026, 00:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.