Sun 20 Sep3-1Finished

⚽ Bundesliga

SC Paderborn 07 vs Hoffenheim Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for SC Paderborn 07 vs Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Sunday 20 September 2026, 17:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: SC Paderborn 07 3-1 Hoffenheim

SC Paderborn 07 vs Hoffenheim finished 3-1. SC Paderborn 07 won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, over 2.5 goals at 1.44, landed.

SC Paderborn 07 face Hoffenheim in the upcoming Bundesliga tips, kicking off Sunday 20 September 2026, 17:30 UTC. Recent form: SC Paderborn 07 have 0 wins from their last 4, while Hoffenheim have 2 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Hoffenheim win the most likely result at 41%, projecting a 1.9-1.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for SC Paderborn 07 vs Hoffenheim with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

SC Paderborn 07 +1.75 @ 1.36

83%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.94 – 1.72 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.6%	4.4%	3.8%	2.2%	0.9%
1	5.0%	8.6%	7.4%	4.2%	1.8%
2	4.8%	8.3%	7.2%	4.1%	1.8%
3	3.1%	5.4%	4.6%	2.7%	1.1%
4	1.5%	2.6%	2.2%	1.3%	0.6%

Projected score: 1-1

SC Paderborn 07 winDrawHoffenheim win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for SC Paderborn 07 vs Hoffenheim comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is SC Paderborn 07 with a +1.75 start at odds 1.36, the selection our model is most confident in at 83%. On the match result, the model rates a Hoffenheim win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 41%. Goals lean over 2.5 (71%), both teams to score points yes (70%).

📊 Key numbers

SC Paderborn 07 31%Draw 28%Hoffenheim 41%

31%28%41%

41%

Hoffenheim Win

71%

Over 2.5 goals

70%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

SC Paderborn 07

SC Paderborn 07 come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Hoffenheim. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Borussia Dortmund.

WSC Paderborn 07 3-1 HoffenheimBundesliga
LBorussia Dortmund 3-0 SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga
LSC Paderborn 07 0-1 SC FreiburgBundesliga
DFSV Mainz 05 0-0 SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga
WPhönix Lübeck 2-4 SC Paderborn 07DFB Pokal

Hoffenheim

Hoffenheim come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to VfB Stuttgart. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at SC Paderborn 07.

LSC Paderborn 07 3-1 HoffenheimBundesliga
LOFI 2-0 HoffenheimUEFA Europa League
WHoffenheim 2-1 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
LHoffenheim 2-3 Borussia DortmundBundesliga
L1. FC Köln 3-2 HoffenheimBundesliga

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 4 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

SC Paderborn 07

N. Awortwie-GrantKnee Injury
L. EickelBack Injury
T. GayretKnee Injury

Hoffenheim

BernardoAchilles Tendon Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices SC Paderborn 07 at 31% to win and Hoffenheim at 41%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Hoffenheim win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Hoffenheim Win	41%	57%	@ 1.67
SC Paderborn 07 Win	31%	22%	@ 4.33
Draw	28%	21%	@ 4.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Hoffenheim or Draw at 1.20 (68% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Hoffenheim or Draw	68%	78%	@ 1.20
SC Paderborn 07 or Draw	58%	43%	@ 2.15

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 71% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	88%	83%	@ 1.14
Over 2.5	71%	66%	@ 1.44
Under 3.5	50%	55%	@ 1.73
Over 3.5	50%	45%	@ 2.10
Under 2.5	29%	34%	@ 2.75
Under 1.5	12%	17%	@ 5.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 70%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	70%	65%	@ 1.44
BTTS No	30%	35%	@ 2.62

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when SC Paderborn 07 or Hoffenheim is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
SC Paderborn 07 +2	86%	76%	@ 1.23
SC Paderborn 07 +1.75	83%	70%	@ 1.36
SC Paderborn 07 +1.5	80%	64%	@ 1.49
SC Paderborn 07 +1.25	75%	60%	@ 1.60
Hoffenheim +0.75	72%	83%	1.15
SC Paderborn 07 +1	69%	54%	@ 1.76
Hoffenheim +0.5	68%	77%	1.22
SC Paderborn 07 +0.75	64%	47%	@ 2.04
Hoffenheim +0.25	61%	75%	1.26
SC Paderborn 07 +0.5	58%	43%	@ 2.24
Hoffenheim 0	55%	73%	1.31
SC Paderborn 07 +0.25	52%	36%	@ 2.66
Hoffenheim -0.25	48%	64%	1.50
SC Paderborn 07 0	45%	27%	@ 3.51
Hoffenheim -0.5	42%	57%	1.67
SC Paderborn 07 -0.25	39%	25%	@ 3.87
Hoffenheim -0.75	36%	53%	1.84
SC Paderborn 07 -0.5	32%	23%	@ 4.15
Hoffenheim -1	31%	46%	2.08
SC Paderborn 07 -0.75	28%	17%	@ 5.50
Hoffenheim -1.25	25%	40%	2.38
Hoffenheim -1.5	20%	36%	2.65
Hoffenheim -1.75	17%	30%	3.17
Hoffenheim -2	14%	24%	4.00

📈 How the market moved

SC Paderborn 07 22%Draw 21%Hoffenheim 57%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for SC Paderborn 07 vs Hoffenheim?

Our model's main pick is SC Paderborn 07 with a +1.75 start at odds 1.36, with a 83% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.

Who is the favourite for SC Paderborn 07 vs Hoffenheim?

Our model makes a Hoffenheim win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 1.9-1.7 scoreline for SC Paderborn 07 vs Hoffenheim.

What is the predicted score for SC Paderborn 07 vs Hoffenheim?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.94 for SC Paderborn 07 and 1.72 for Hoffenheim. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do SC Paderborn 07 and Hoffenheim play?

Kick-off is Sunday 20 September 2026, 17:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.