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⚽ Major League Soccer

Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 08 November 2026, 00:00 UTC.

Seattle Sounders face Los Angeles FC in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Sunday 08 November 2026, 00:00 UTC. Recent form: Seattle Sounders have no wins from their last 5, while Los Angeles FC have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Los Angeles FC won 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Seattle Sounders win the most likely result at 38%, projecting a 1.3-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Under 3.5 @ 1.53
80%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.27 – 1.04 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 9.9% 10.3% 5.4% 1.9% 0.5%
1 12.6% 13.1% 6.8% 2.4% 0.6%
2 8.0% 8.3% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4%
3 3.4% 3.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.1% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
Projected score: 1-1
Seattle Sounders winDrawLos Angeles FC win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.53, with a 80% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Seattle Sounders win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 38%. Goals lean under 2.5 (59%), both teams to score points no (53%).

📊 Key numbers

Seattle Sounders 38%Draw 31%Los Angeles FC 31%
38%31%31%
38%
Seattle Sounders Win
59%
Under 2.5 goals
53%
BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Seattle Sounders and Los Angeles FC. Wins shown from Seattle Sounders’s perspective: Los Angeles FC 5.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-05-25 Los Angeles FC 1 – 0 Seattle Sounders L
2024-07-21 Seattle Sounders 0 – 3 Los Angeles FC L
2024-02-24 Los Angeles FC 2 – 1 Seattle Sounders L
2023-11-27 Seattle Sounders 0 – 1 Los Angeles FC L
2023-06-22 Los Angeles FC 1 – 0 Seattle Sounders L

📈 Recent form

Seattle Sounders

Seattle Sounders come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 10. Their most recent defeat was 1-5 at Vancouver Whitecaps.

  • LVancouver Whitecaps 5-1 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
  • LSeattle Sounders 0-1 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
  • DSan Diego 2-2 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
  • DSeattle Sounders 1-1 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
  • LFC Dallas 1-0 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
Los Angeles FC

Los Angeles FC come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Austin. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at home to Minnesota United FC.

  • LLos Angeles FC 1-3 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
  • DLos Angeles FC 2-2 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
  • DNew York City FC 1-1 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
  • WLos Angeles FC 3-1 AustinMajor League Soccer
  • DLos Angeles FC 1-1 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer

🧩 Likely line-ups & team news

Los Angeles FC 4-2-3-1
1Lloris
14Palencia
5Porteous
33Long
4Segura
66Choinière
6Jesus
9Sieb
7Heung-Min
81Walta
99Bouanga
9Joveljić
13Morris
11Rusnák
27Ferreira
7Roldan
37Brunell
5Tolo
25Ragen
16Roldan
85Kossa-Rienzi
26Thomas
Seattle Sounders 4-2-3-1

Los Angeles FC

Last starting XI (4-2-3-1) vs Minnesota United FC, 02/11

Unavailable: No reported absences

Coach: Xavi Tamarit

Bench last match19Boyd8Delgado17Ebobisse12Hasal24Hollingshead91Tafari21Raposo18Shaffelburg20Vasquez

Seattle Sounders

Last starting XI (4-2-3-1) vs Vancouver Whitecaps, 01/11

Unavailable: No reported absences

Coach: B. Schmetzer

Bench last match8Clark24Frei90Gomez39Hawkins20Kee-Hee35Lopez4Sailor17Arriola31Dotson

Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Seattle Sounders at 38% to win and Los Angeles FC at 31%, with the draw at 31%. Our model makes a Seattle Sounders win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Seattle Sounders Win 38% 49% @ 1.90
Los Angeles FC Win 31% 26% @ 3.60
Draw 31% 25% @ 3.75

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Seattle Sounders or Draw at 1.28 (67% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Seattle Sounders or Draw 67% 74% @ 1.28
Los Angeles FC or Draw 59% 51% @ 1.91

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.0 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 59% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Under 3.5 80% 61% @ 1.53
Over 1.5 67% 81% @ 1.17
Under 2.5 59% 40% @ 2.35
Over 2.5 41% 60% @ 1.57
Under 1.5 33% 19% @ 5.00
Over 3.5 20% 39% @ 2.38

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 53%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS No 53% 39% @ 2.38
BTTS Yes 47% 61% @ 1.53

📈 How the market moved

21%37%53%11/0311/0411/0511/06

Seattle Sounders 49%Draw 25%Los Angeles FC 26%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC?

Our model's pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.53, with a 80% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 61%.

Who is the favourite for Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC?

Our model makes a Seattle Sounders win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.0 scoreline for Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC.

What is the predicted score for Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.27 for Seattle Sounders and 1.04 for Los Angeles FC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Seattle Sounders and Los Angeles FC play?

Kick-off is Sunday 08 November 2026, 00:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.