Sparta Praha

Thu 5 Nov1-3Finished

⚽ UEFA Europa League

Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 05 November 2026, 17:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Sparta Praha 1-3 Bournemouth

Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth finished 1-3. Bournemouth won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, over 2.5 goals at 1.62, landed.

Sparta Praha face Bournemouth in the upcoming UEFA Europa League tips, kicking off Thursday 05 November 2026, 17:45 UTC. Recent form: Sparta Praha have 1 win from their last 3, while Bournemouth have 3 wins from their last 3. The bookmaker market makes a Bournemouth win the most likely result at 63%, implying a 1.0-2.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.62

63%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 0.97 – 2.15 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.4%	9.5%	10.2%	7.3%	3.9%
1	4.3%	9.2%	9.9%	7.1%	3.8%
2	2.1%	4.5%	4.8%	3.5%	1.9%
3	0.7%	1.4%	1.6%	1.1%	0.6%
4	0.2%	0.4%	0.4%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 0-2

Sparta Praha winDrawBournemouth win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.62, with a 63% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Bournemouth win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean over 2.5 (63%), both teams to score points yes (63%).

📊 Key numbers

Sparta Praha 35%Draw 26%Bournemouth 39%

35%26%39%

39%

Bournemouth Win

63%

Over 2.5 goals

63%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Sparta Praha

Sparta Praha come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at home to Slovácko. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to Bournemouth.

LSparta Praha 1-3 BournemouthUEFA Europa League
DBohemians 1905 0-0 Sparta PrahaCzech Liga
LSparta Praha 0-2 Baník OstravaCup
WSparta Praha 5-1 SlováckoCzech Liga
LOlympiakos Piraeus 1-0 Sparta PrahaUEFA Europa League

Bournemouth

Bournemouth come into this game with 5 wins from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 1. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Aston Villa. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WSparta Praha 1-3 BournemouthUEFA Europa League
WBournemouth 2-0 LeedsPremier League
WBournemouth 3-0 Aston VillaLeague Cup
WManchester United 0-3 BournemouthPremier League
WBournemouth 3-0 AC MilanUEFA Europa League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 15 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Sparta Praha

M. AndersenKnee Injury
A. KarabecAnkle Injury
J. MercadoCalf Injury
O. PenxaKnee Injury
M. RynesAnkle Injury
A. SevinskyInjury
E. UchennaGroin Injury

Bournemouth

M. AaronsOff the roster
J. AraujoThigh Injury
F. ForsterOff the roster
D. JebbisonOff the roster
V. MilosavljevicOff the roster
J. SanchezOff the roster
A. ScottThigh Injury
A. TothMuscle Injury

🧩 Line-ups

Bournemouth 4-2-3-1

20Di Gregorio

15Smith

5Hill

18Diakité

6Soler

4Cook

10Christie

21Adli

7Brooks

11Doak

30Rodríguez

7Alcócer

14Braut Brunes

27Singhateh

18Irving

20Mannsverk

28Macek

2Suchomel

6Guddal

22Mbe Soh

25Hoever

44Surovčík

Sparta Praha 4-3-3

Bournemouth

Official starting XI (4-2-3-1)

Coach: M. Rose

Substitutes16Tavernier14Silva37Rayan1Petrović19Kluivert9Evanilson55Allan12Adams3Truffert

Sparta Praha

Official starting XI (4-3-3)

Coach: Brian Priske

Substitutes65Dyntar30Zelený26Vydra5Eneme21Grimaldo47Hegyi31Jurásek3Kadeřábek4Martinec38Sochurek15Vitályos29Vojta

Official line-ups as announced by the clubs before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Sparta Praha at 35% to win and Bournemouth at 39%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Bournemouth win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Bournemouth Win	39%	63%	@ 1.50
Sparta Praha Win	35%	15%	@ 6.50
Draw	26%	22%	@ 4.33

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Bournemouth or Draw at 1.11 (66% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Bournemouth or Draw	66%	85%	@ 1.11
Sparta Praha or Draw	61%	37%	@ 2.50

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.0-2.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 63% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	84%	81%	@ 1.17
Over 2.5	63%	60%	@ 1.57
Under 3.5	59%	60%	@ 1.57
Over 3.5	41%	40%	@ 2.38
Under 2.5	37%	40%	@ 2.38
Under 1.5	16%	19%	@ 5.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 63%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	63%	55%	@ 1.70
BTTS No	37%	45%	@ 2.05

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Sparta Praha or Bournemouth is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Sparta Praha +2	88%	73%	@ 1.30
Sparta Praha +1.75	85%	65%	@ 1.46
Sparta Praha +1.5	82%	59%	@ 1.61
Sparta Praha +1.25	77%	54%	@ 1.76
Sparta Praha +1	72%	47%	@ 2.06
Sparta Praha +0.75	66%	41%	@ 2.33
Bournemouth +0.5	66%	84%	1.13
Sparta Praha +0.5	61%	36%	@ 2.64
Bournemouth +0.25	59%	83%	1.15
Sparta Praha +0.25	54%	29%	@ 3.32
Bournemouth 0	52%	80%	1.19
Sparta Praha 0	48%	20%	@ 4.75
Bournemouth -0.25	46%	71%	1.33
Sparta Praha -0.25	41%	17%	@ 5.50
Bournemouth -0.5	39%	64%	1.49
Sparta Praha -0.5	34%	16%	@ 5.90
Bournemouth -0.75	34%	59%	1.61
Bournemouth -1	28%	53%	1.81
Bournemouth -1.25	23%	46%	2.07
Bournemouth -1.5	18%	41%	2.33
Bournemouth -1.75	15%	35%	2.74
Bournemouth -2	12%	27%	3.54

📈 How the market moved

Sparta Praha 15%Draw 21%Bournemouth 63%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth?

Our model's pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.62, with a 63% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 60%.

Who is the favourite for Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth?

Our model makes a Bournemouth win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 1.0-2.2 scoreline for Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth.

What is the predicted score for Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 0-2, based on expected goals of 0.97 for Sparta Praha and 2.15 for Bournemouth. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Sparta Praha and Bournemouth play?

Kick-off is Thursday 05 November 2026, 17:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.