Sat 19 Sep0-4Finished

⚽ Eredivisie

Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Saturday 19 September 2026, 16:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Sparta Rotterdam 0-4 Heerenveen

Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen finished 0-4. Heerenveen won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, Sparta Rotterdam or Draw at 1.67, did not land.

Sparta Rotterdam face Heerenveen in the upcoming Eredivisie tips, kicking off Saturday 19 September 2026, 16:45 UTC. Recent form: Sparta Rotterdam have 1 win from their last 5, while Heerenveen have 0 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Sparta Rotterdam won 1, Heerenveen won 4. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Heerenveen win the most likely result at 36%, projecting a 1.6-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Heerenveen +1 @ 1.27

74%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.59 – 1.55 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.3%	6.7%	5.2%	2.7%	1.0%
1	6.9%	10.7%	8.3%	4.3%	1.7%
2	5.5%	8.5%	6.6%	3.4%	1.3%
3	2.9%	4.5%	3.5%	1.8%	0.7%
4	1.2%	1.8%	1.4%	0.7%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-1

Sparta Rotterdam winDrawHeerenveen win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Heerenveen with a +1 start at odds 1.27, the selection our model is most confident in at 74%. On the match result, the model rates a Heerenveen win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 36%. Goals lean over 2.5 (61%), both teams to score points yes (63%).

📊 Key numbers

Sparta Rotterdam 36%Draw 28%Heerenveen 36%

36%28%36%

36%

Heerenveen Win

61%

Over 2.5 goals

63%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Sparta Rotterdam and Heerenveen. Wins shown from Sparta Rotterdam’s perspective: Sparta Rotterdam 1 · Heerenveen 4.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-19	Sparta Rotterdam	0 – 4	Heerenveen	L
2026-02-28	Heerenveen	2 – 1	Sparta Rotterdam	L
2025-12-14	Sparta Rotterdam	0 – 3	Heerenveen	L
2025-04-12	Sparta Rotterdam	3 – 1	Heerenveen	W
2024-10-26	Heerenveen	2 – 0	Sparta Rotterdam	L

📈 Recent form

Sparta Rotterdam

Sparta Rotterdam come into this game with 0 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 15. Their most recent defeat was 0-4 at home to Heerenveen.

LSparta Rotterdam 0-4 HeerenveenEredivisie
LPSV Eindhoven 4-1 Sparta RotterdamEredivisie
DSparta Rotterdam 2-2 PEC ZwolleEredivisie
LExcelsior 2-1 Sparta RotterdamEredivisie
DSparta Rotterdam 3-3 UtrechtEredivisie

Heerenveen

Heerenveen come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Sparta Rotterdam. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to AZ Alkmaar.

WSparta Rotterdam 0-4 HeerenveenEredivisie
DHeerenveen 0-0 TelstarEredivisie
LHeerenveen 2-3 AZ AlkmaarEredivisie
DWillem II 2-2 HeerenveenEredivisie
LHeerenveen 0-2 PEC ZwolleEredivisie

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 4 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Sparta Rotterdam

S. MitoNot in squad

Heerenveen

M. EgbringInjury
M. HilgersKnee Injury
D. ProperInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Sparta Rotterdam at 36% to win and Heerenveen at 36%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Heerenveen win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Heerenveen Win	36%	36%	@ 2.62
Sparta Rotterdam Win	36%	39%	@ 2.45
Draw	28%	25%	@ 3.75

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Heerenveen or Draw at 1.53 (64% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Heerenveen or Draw	64%	61%	@ 1.53
Sparta Rotterdam or Draw	63%	64%	@ 1.44

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 61% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	82%	84%	@ 1.12
Under 3.5	62%	56%	@ 1.67
Over 2.5	61%	64%	@ 1.48
Under 2.5	39%	36%	@ 2.60
Over 3.5	38%	44%	@ 2.10
Under 1.5	18%	16%	@ 6.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 63%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	63%	65%	@ 1.44
BTTS No	37%	35%	@ 2.62

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Sparta Rotterdam or Heerenveen is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Sparta Rotterdam +2	89%	86%	1.10
Heerenveen +1.75	86%	83%	1.14
Sparta Rotterdam +1.75	86%	85%	1.12
Heerenveen +1.5	84%	79%	@ 1.20
Sparta Rotterdam +1.5	84%	80%	1.18
Heerenveen +1.25	79%	76%	1.23
Sparta Rotterdam +1.25	78%	79%	1.20
Heerenveen +1	74%	74%	1.27
Sparta Rotterdam +1	73%	77%	1.24
Heerenveen +0.75	69%	67%	1.41
Sparta Rotterdam +0.75	68%	70%	1.36
Heerenveen +0.5	64%	61%	1.55
Sparta Rotterdam +0.5	63%	64%	1.50
Heerenveen +0.25	57%	56%	1.71
Sparta Rotterdam +0.25	56%	58%	1.64
Heerenveen 0	50%	48%	1.99
Sparta Rotterdam 0	50%	52%	1.86
Heerenveen -0.25	44%	42%	2.28
Sparta Rotterdam -0.25	43%	44%	2.15
Heerenveen -0.5	37%	36%	2.62
Sparta Rotterdam -0.5	36%	39%	2.45
Heerenveen -0.75	32%	30%	3.12
Sparta Rotterdam -0.75	31%	33%	2.92
Heerenveen -1	27%	23%	@ 4.08
Sparta Rotterdam -1	26%	26%	3.71
Heerenveen -1.25	22%	21%	4.40
Sparta Rotterdam -1.25	21%	24%	4.00
Heerenveen -1.5	16%	20%	4.65
Sparta Rotterdam -1.5	16%	21%	4.40
Heerenveen -1.75	14%	15%	6.25
Sparta Rotterdam -1.75	14%	17%	5.75
Heerenveen -2	11%	14%	7.00

📈 How the market moved

Sparta Rotterdam 38%Draw 25%Heerenveen 36%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen?

Our model's main pick is Heerenveen with a +1 start at odds 1.27, with a 74% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.

Who is the favourite for Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen?

Our model makes a Heerenveen win the most likely result at 36%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.6 scoreline for Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen.

What is the predicted score for Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.59 for Sparta Rotterdam and 1.55 for Heerenveen. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Sparta Rotterdam and Heerenveen play?

Kick-off is Saturday 19 September 2026, 16:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.