⚽ Major League Soccer
Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 31 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Result: Sporting Kansas City 1-1 FC Dallas
Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, over 2.5 goals at 1.44, did not land.
Sporting Kansas City face FC Dallas in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Saturday 31 October 2026, 19:00 UTC. Recent form: Sporting Kansas City have no wins from their last 5, while FC Dallas have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Sporting Kansas City won 2, FC Dallas won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FC Dallas win the most likely result at 45%, projecting a 1.7-2.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| 1 | 2.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 3.9% |
| 2 | 2.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.4% |
| 3 | 1.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 78% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a FC Dallas win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 45%. Goals lean over 2.5 (78%), both teams to score points yes (73%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Sporting Kansas City and FC Dallas. Wins shown from Sporting Kansas City’s perspective: Sporting Kansas City 2 · 1 drawn · FC Dallas 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-31 | Sporting Kansas City | 1 – 1 | FC Dallas | D |
| 2026-09-06 | FC Dallas | 4 – 3 | Sporting Kansas City | L |
| 2024-10-20 | FC Dallas | 2 – 1 | Sporting Kansas City | L |
| 2024-07-08 | Sporting Kansas City | 3 – 2 | FC Dallas | W |
| 2023-06-01 | Sporting Kansas City | 2 – 1 | FC Dallas | W |
📈 Recent form
Sporting Kansas City come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 13. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Minnesota United FC.
- DSporting Kansas City 1-1 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
- LMinnesota United FC 3-1 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
- LSporting Kansas City 1-2 AustinMajor League Soccer
- LSporting Kansas City 1-3 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- LNashville SC 4-0 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
FC Dallas come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to San Jose Earthquakes. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at home to Columbus Crew.
- DSporting Kansas City 1-1 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
- LFC Dallas 0-2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
- WFC Dallas 3-0 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
- DHouston Dynamo 2-2 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
- WFC Dallas 1-0 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 11 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- K. AgyabengAnkle Injury
- Z. BassongHamstring Injury
- O. BlorianChest Injury
- Diego BorgesGroin Injury
- M. MosqueraHamstring Injury
- S. ReidHamstring Injury
- J. ReynoldsMuscle Injury
- L. FarringtonLower-Body Injury
- Geovane JesusKnee Injury
- S. MooreSuspended (cards)
- N. NorrisSuspended (cards)
🧩 Line-ups
FC Dallas
Coach: Eric Quill
Sporting Kansas City
Coach: R. Wicky
Official line-ups as announced by the clubs before kick-off.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Sporting Kansas City at 30% to win and FC Dallas at 45%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a FC Dallas win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dallas Win | 45% | 53% | @ 1.80 |
| Sporting Kansas City Win | 30% | 25% | @ 3.80 |
| Draw | 25% | 23% | @ 4.20 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FC Dallas or Draw at 1.25 (70% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dallas or Draw | 70% | 75% | @ 1.25 |
| Sporting Kansas City or Draw | 56% | 47% | @ 1.95 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-2.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 78% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 84% | @ 1.12 |
| Over 2.5 | 78% | 65% | @ 1.44 |
| Over 3.5 | 60% | 44% | @ 2.10 |
| Under 3.5 | 40% | 56% | @ 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 | 22% | 35% | @ 2.70 |
| Under 1.5 | 8% | 16% | @ 6.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 73%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 73% | 65% | @ 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 27% | 35% | @ 2.62 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Sporting Kansas City or FC Dallas is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Kansas City +2 | 85% | 80% | @ 1.18 |
| Sporting Kansas City +1.75 | 82% | 74% | @ 1.28 |
| FC Dallas +1 | 79% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Sporting Kansas City +1.5 | 78% | 68% | @ 1.39 |
| FC Dallas +0.75 | 75% | 79% | 1.19 |
| Sporting Kansas City +1.25 | 73% | 65% | @ 1.47 |
| FC Dallas +0.5 | 70% | 73% | 1.28 |
| Sporting Kansas City +1 | 67% | 60% | @ 1.59 |
| FC Dallas +0.25 | 64% | 72% | 1.32 |
| Sporting Kansas City +0.75 | 61% | 53% | @ 1.81 |
| FC Dallas 0 | 57% | 68% | 1.40 |
| Sporting Kansas City +0.5 | 56% | 47% | @ 2.04 |
| FC Dallas -0.25 | 51% | 60% | 1.60 |
| Sporting Kansas City +0.25 | 49% | 40% | @ 2.35 |
| FC Dallas -0.5 | 44% | 53% | 1.80 |
| Sporting Kansas City 0 | 43% | 32% | @ 2.94 |
| FC Dallas -0.75 | 39% | 47% | 2.02 |
| Sporting Kansas City -0.25 | 36% | 28% | @ 3.38 |
| FC Dallas -1 | 33% | 40% | 2.37 |
| Sporting Kansas City -0.5 | 30% | 27% | @ 3.52 |
| FC Dallas -1.25 | 27% | 35% | 2.70 |
| Sporting Kansas City -0.75 | 25% | 21% | @ 4.50 |
| FC Dallas -1.5 | 22% | 32% | 3.02 |
| Sporting Kansas City -1 | 21% | 14% | @ 6.80 |
| FC Dallas -1.75 | 18% | 26% | 3.63 |
| FC Dallas -2 | 15% | 20% | 4.80 |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas?
Our model's pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 65%.
Who is the favourite for Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas?
Our model makes a FC Dallas win the most likely result at 45%. It projects an expected 1.7-2.4 scoreline for Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas.
What is the predicted score for Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.74 for Sporting Kansas City and 2.42 for FC Dallas. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Sporting Kansas City and FC Dallas play?
Kick-off is Saturday 31 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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