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⚽ Premiership

St Johnstone vs Dundee Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for St Johnstone vs Dundee in the Premiership. Kick-off Saturday 07 November 2026, 15:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

St Johnstone face Dundee in the Premiership, kicking off Saturday 07 November 2026, 15:00 UTC. Recent form: St Johnstone have 1 win from their last 5, while Dundee have 3 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Dundee win the most likely result at 39%, projecting a 1.5-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for St Johnstone vs Dundee with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.44

65%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.48 – 1.51 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.0%	7.6%	5.7%	2.9%	1.1%
1	7.4%	11.2%	8.5%	4.3%	1.6%
2	5.5%	8.3%	6.3%	3.2%	1.2%
3	2.7%	4.1%	3.1%	1.6%	0.6%
4	1.0%	1.5%	1.1%	0.6%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

St Johnstone winDrawDundee win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for St Johnstone vs Dundee comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 65% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Dundee win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean over 2.5 (58%), both teams to score points yes (59%).

📊 Key numbers

St Johnstone 38%Draw 23%Dundee 39%

38%23%39%

39%

Dundee Win

58%

Over 2.5 goals

59%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

St Johnstone

St Johnstone come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Aberdeen. Their only defeat in that run was 0-4 at Rangers.

DKilmarnock 2-2 St JohnstonePremiership
DSt Johnstone 2-2 MotherwellPremiership
LRangers 4-0 St JohnstonePremiership
DSt Johnstone 1-1 Dundee UtdPremiership
WAberdeen 0-1 St JohnstonePremiership

Dundee

Dundee come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Kilmarnock. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at St Mirren.

WDundee 3-1 KilmarnockPremiership
LSt Mirren 2-1 DundeePremiership
DDundee 2-2 RangersPremiership
WFalkirk 1-2 DundeePremiership
WDundee 2-1 MotherwellPremiership

🧩 Likely line-ups & team news

Dundee 4-4-2

1Goodman

7Wright

26Wright

4Astley

12Samuels

27Bevan

28Jones

48Hamilton

14Forrest

11Hay

21Fink

22Schmidt

9Fowler

7Steven

30Cotterill

8Holt

42McAlear

26Todd

2Alıç

6Mikulić

3Diabate

1Steward

ST Johnstone 3-4-2-1

Dundee

Last starting XI (4-4-2) vs Kilmarnock, 28/10

Unavailable: No reported absences

Coach: S. Pressley

Bench last match2Halliday17Bešir77Harrison3Odutayo45Perrie18Reilly30Sharp19Westley6Akinmboni

ST Johnstone

Last starting XI (3-4-2-1) vs Kilmarnock, 31/10

Unavailable: No reported absences

Coach: S. Valakari

Bench last match32Campbell23Chalmers14Foulds10Gullan99Paton20Sinclair25Tait52Brookfield19Finlayson

Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices St Johnstone at 38% to win and Dundee at 39%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes a Dundee win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Dundee Win	39%	34%	@ 2.80
St Johnstone Win	38%	38%	@ 2.50
Draw	23%	29%	@ 3.25

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Dundee or Draw at 1.50 (64% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Dundee or Draw	64%	62%	@ 1.50
St Johnstone or Draw	63%	66%	@ 1.40

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 58% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	80%	78%	@ 1.22
Under 3.5	65%	66%	@ 1.44
Over 2.5	58%	55%	@ 1.73
Under 2.5	42%	45%	@ 2.10
Over 3.5	35%	34%	@ 2.75
Under 1.5	20%	22%	@ 4.33

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 59%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	59%	59%	@ 1.57
BTTS No	41%	41%	@ 2.25

📈 How the market moved

St Johnstone 39%Draw 27%Dundee 34%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for St Johnstone vs Dundee?

Our model's pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 65% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 66%.

Who is the favourite for St Johnstone vs Dundee?

Our model makes a Dundee win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.5 scoreline for St Johnstone vs Dundee.

What is the predicted score for St Johnstone vs Dundee?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.48 for St Johnstone and 1.51 for Dundee. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do St Johnstone and Dundee play?

Kick-off is Saturday 07 November 2026, 15:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.