⚽ Major League Soccer
St. Louis City vs San Diego Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for St. Louis City vs San Diego in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 31 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Result: St. Louis City 0-1 San Diego
St. Louis City vs San Diego finished 0-1. San Diego won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, over 2.5 goals at 1.36, did not land.
St. Louis City face San Diego in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Saturday 31 October 2026, 19:00 UTC. Recent form: St. Louis City have 2 wins from their last 5, while San Diego have no wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a St. Louis City win the most likely result at 51%, projecting a 2.8-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for St. Louis City vs San Diego with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| 2 | 5.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| 3 | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| 4 | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for St. Louis City vs San Diego comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 80% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a St. Louis City win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 51%. Goals lean over 2.5 (80%), both teams to score points yes (72%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
St. Louis City come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 10. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to San Diego.
- LSt. Louis City 0-1 San DiegoMajor League Soccer
- LSt. Louis City 2-3 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
- LReal Salt Lake 3-0 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
- DColumbus Crew 0-0 St. Louis CityUS Open Cup
- LMinnesota United FC 3-2 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
San Diego come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at St. Louis City. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-4 at Vancouver Whitecaps.
- WSt. Louis City 0-1 San DiegoMajor League Soccer
- LVancouver Whitecaps 4-1 San DiegoMajor League Soccer
- DSan Diego 2-2 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
- DLos Angeles Galaxy 2-2 San DiegoMajor League Soccer
- DSan Diego 3-3 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 4 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- R. BurkiConcussion
- Celio PompeuKnee Injury
- A. MatanLeg Injury
- E. AchouriLower-Body Injury
🧩 Line-ups
San Diego
Coach: Mikey Varas
St. Louis City
Coach: Y. Damet
Official line-ups as announced by the clubs before kick-off.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices St. Louis City at 51% to win and San Diego at 21%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a St. Louis City win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis City Win | 51% | 51% | @ 1.85 |
| Draw | 28% | 22% | @ 4.33 |
| San Diego Win | 21% | 27% | @ 3.50 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is St. Louis City or Draw at 1.28 (77% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis City or Draw | 77% | 73% | @ 1.28 |
| San Diego or Draw | 47% | 49% | @ 1.91 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.8-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 80% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 93% | 86% | @ 1.10 |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 70% | @ 1.36 |
| Over 3.5 | 62% | 50% | @ 1.83 |
| Under 3.5 | 38% | 50% | @ 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 | 20% | 30% | @ 3.10 |
| Under 1.5 | 7% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 72%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 72% | 66% | @ 1.40 |
| BTTS No | 28% | 34% | @ 2.75 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when St. Louis City or San Diego is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis City +1.5 | 92% | 86% | @ 1.10 |
| St. Louis City +1.25 | 88% | 85% | 1.12 |
| St. Louis City +1 | 84% | 84% | 1.13 |
| St. Louis City +0.75 | 81% | 77% | 1.22 |
| San Diego +2 | 80% | 81% | 1.17 |
| St. Louis City +0.5 | 77% | 72% | @ 1.31 |
| San Diego +1.75 | 76% | 74% | 1.27 |
| San Diego +1.5 | 72% | 68% | 1.39 |
| St. Louis City +0.25 | 71% | 69% | 1.39 |
| San Diego +1.25 | 66% | 65% | 1.47 |
| St. Louis City 0 | 65% | 65% | 1.46 |
| San Diego +1 | 60% | 60% | 1.57 |
| St. Louis City -0.25 | 59% | 57% | 1.66 |
| San Diego +0.75 | 54% | 53% | 1.80 |
| St. Louis City -0.5 | 53% | 52% | 1.85 |
| San Diego +0.5 | 47% | 48% | 1.98 |
| St. Louis City -0.75 | 46% | 47% | 2.07 |
| San Diego +0.25 | 41% | 43% | 2.24 |
| St. Louis City -1 | 40% | 40% | 2.40 |
| San Diego 0 | 35% | 35% | 2.72 |
| St. Louis City -1.25 | 34% | 35% | 2.69 |
| San Diego -0.25 | 29% | 31% | 3.04 |
| St. Louis City -1.5 | 28% | 32% | 3.00 |
| St. Louis City -1.75 | 24% | 26% | 3.55 |
| San Diego -0.5 | 23% | 28% | 3.44 |
| St. Louis City -2 | 20% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
| San Diego -0.75 | 19% | 23% | 4.15 |
| San Diego -1 | 16% | 16% | 5.90 |
| San Diego -1.25 | 12% | 15% | 6.40 |
| San Diego -1.5 | 8% | 14% | 6.80 |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for St. Louis City vs San Diego?
Our model's pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 80% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.
Who is the favourite for St. Louis City vs San Diego?
Our model makes a St. Louis City win the most likely result at 51%. It projects an expected 2.8-1.6 scoreline for St. Louis City vs San Diego.
What is the predicted score for St. Louis City vs San Diego?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.75 for St. Louis City and 1.55 for San Diego. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do St. Louis City and San Diego play?
Kick-off is Saturday 31 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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