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⚽ Premiership

St Mirren vs Rangers Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for St Mirren vs Rangers in the Premiership. Kick-off Saturday 07 November 2026, 20:00 UTC.

St Mirren face Rangers in the Premiership, kicking off Saturday 07 November 2026, 20:00 UTC. Recent form: St Mirren have 1 win from their last 5, while Rangers have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Rangers won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Rangers win the most likely result at 63%, projecting a 1.1-2.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for St Mirren vs Rangers with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

πŸ”₯ Best Bet

Model pick
Over 2.5 @ 1.57
64%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.09 – 2.21 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 3.7% 8.2% 9.0% 6.6% 3.7%
1 4.0% 8.9% 9.8% 7.2% 4.0%
2 2.2% 4.8% 5.4% 3.9% 2.2%
3 0.8% 1.8% 1.9% 1.4% 0.8%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%
Projected score: 1-2
St Mirren winDrawRangers win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for St Mirren vs Rangers comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.57, with a 64% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Rangers win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 63%. Goals lean over 2.5 (64%), both teams to score points yes (58%).

πŸ“Š Key numbers

St Mirren 18%Draw 19%Rangers 63%
18%19%63%
63%
Rangers Win
64%
Over 2.5 goals
58%
BTTS yes

πŸ” Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between St Mirren and Rangers. Wins shown from St Mirren’s perspective: Rangers 2.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-09-09 Rangers 1 – 0 St Mirren L
2026-08-16 Rangers 5 – 1 St Mirren L

πŸ“ˆ Recent form

St Mirren

St Mirren come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Dundee. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Motherwell.

  • LMotherwell 1-0 St MirrenPremiership
  • DSt Mirren 1-1 HibernianPremiership
  • WSt Mirren 2-1 DundeePremiership
  • LAberdeen 3-1 St MirrenPremiership
  • LHeart Of Midlothian 5-0 St MirrenPremiership
Rangers

Rangers come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to St Johnstone. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

  • WRangers 1-0 AberdeenLeague Cup
  • DHeart Of Midlothian 2-2 RangersPremiership
  • WRangers 4-0 St JohnstonePremiership
  • DDundee 2-2 RangersPremiership
  • WRangers 3-1 KilmarnockPremiership

🧩 Likely line-ups & team news

ST Mirren

Last starting XI (3-4-2-1) vs Motherwell, 31/10

Unavailable: No reported absences

Coach: Craig McLeish

Bench last match4Donnelly6Jackson3John37McEvoy23Mochrie10Samu2Richardson20Young35Tamosevicius

Rangers

Last starting XI (-) vs Aberdeen, 31/10

I. Pandur, D. Sterling, E. Fernandez, O. Makhanya, J. Penrice, T. Rommens, N. Raskin, M. Kim, R. Naderi, B. Bouanani, K. Kelsy

Unavailable: No reported absences

Coach: Derek McInnes

Bench last match31Kelly18Nedeljkovic4Godfrey6Neil22Dragojevic42Chukwuani52Curtis23Gassama28Miovski

Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices St Mirren at 18% to win and Rangers at 63%, with the draw at 19%. Our model makes a Rangers win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Rangers Win 63% 64% @ 1.44
Draw 19% 18% @ 5.00
St Mirren Win 18% 18% @ 5.25

πŸ”€ Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Rangers or Draw at 1.17 (83% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Rangers or Draw 83% 82% @ 1.17
St Mirren or Draw 38% 36% @ 2.62

πŸ“ˆ Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-2.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 64% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 84% 81% @ 1.17
Over 2.5 64% 60% @ 1.57
Under 3.5 58% 60% @ 1.57
Over 3.5 42% 40% @ 2.38
Under 2.5 36% 40% @ 2.38
Under 1.5 16% 19% @ 5.00

πŸ₯… Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 58%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 58% 53% @ 1.75
BTTS No 42% 47% @ 2.00

πŸ“ˆ How the market moved

10%41%72%11/0211/0311/0411/0511/06

St Mirren 15%Draw 19%Rangers 66%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for St Mirren vs Rangers?

Our model's pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.57, with a 64% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 60%.

Who is the favourite for St Mirren vs Rangers?

Our model makes a Rangers win the most likely result at 63%. It projects an expected 1.1-2.2 scoreline for St Mirren vs Rangers.

What is the predicted score for St Mirren vs Rangers?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.09 for St Mirren and 2.21 for Rangers. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do St Mirren and Rangers play?

Kick-off is Saturday 07 November 2026, 20:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.