⚽ Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden vs KVC Westerlo Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for St. Truiden vs KVC Westerlo in the Jupiler Pro League. Kick-off Sunday 20 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Result: St. Truiden 0-2 KVC Westerlo
St. Truiden vs KVC Westerlo finished 0-2. KVC Westerlo won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, over 2.5 goals at 1.39, did not land.
St. Truiden face KVC Westerlo in the upcoming Jupiler Pro League tips, kicking off Sunday 20 September 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: St. Truiden have 2 wins from their last 5, while KVC Westerlo have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, St. Truiden won 3, KVC Westerlo won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a St. Truiden win the most likely result at 46%, projecting a 2.0-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for St. Truiden vs KVC Westerlo with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 5.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| 2 | 5.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| 3 | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| 4 | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for St. Truiden vs KVC Westerlo comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is KVC Westerlo with a +1.75 start at odds 1.35, the selection our model is most confident in at 82%. On the match result, the model rates a St. Truiden win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean over 2.5 (71%), both teams to score points yes (69%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between St. Truiden and KVC Westerlo. Wins shown from St. Truiden’s perspective: St. Truiden 3 · 1 drawn · KVC Westerlo 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | St. Truiden | 0 – 2 | KVC Westerlo | L |
| 2025-01-11 | KVC Westerlo | 1 – 2 | St. Truiden | W |
| 2024-10-26 | St. Truiden | 2 – 0 | KVC Westerlo | W |
| 2024-05-03 | KVC Westerlo | 2 – 2 | St. Truiden | D |
| 2024-03-31 | St. Truiden | 2 – 0 | KVC Westerlo | W |
📈 Recent form
St. Truiden come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to RAAL La Louvière. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to KVC Westerlo.
- LSt. Truiden 0-2 KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
- LSK Beveren 2-0 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
- WSt. Truiden 4-0 RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League
- LSt. Truiden 0-3 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
- WAntwerp 1-4 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
KVC Westerlo come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 8. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at KV Mechelen. Their only defeat in that run was 0-4 at Lommel United.
- WSt. Truiden 0-2 KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
- WKVC Westerlo 4-2 Standard LiègeJupiler Pro League
- WKV Mechelen 0-4 KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
- DKVC Westerlo 2-2 Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
- LLommel United 4-0 KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices St. Truiden at 46% to win and KVC Westerlo at 32%, with the draw at 22%. Our model makes a St. Truiden win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Truiden Win | 46% | 55% | @ 1.65 |
| KVC Westerlo Win | 32% | 21% | @ 4.33 |
| Draw | 22% | 23% | @ 3.90 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is St. Truiden or Draw at 1.20 (70% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Truiden or Draw | 70% | 79% | @ 1.20 |
| KVC Westerlo or Draw | 56% | 45% | @ 2.20 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 71% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 84% | @ 1.12 |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 65% | @ 1.44 |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 46% | @ 2.00 |
| Under 3.5 | 50% | 54% | @ 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 | 29% | 35% | @ 2.70 |
| Under 1.5 | 12% | 16% | @ 6.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 69%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 69% | 65% | @ 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 31% | 35% | @ 2.62 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when St. Truiden or KVC Westerlo is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| KVC Westerlo +2 | 85% | 77% | @ 1.22 |
| KVC Westerlo +1.75 | 82% | 70% | @ 1.35 |
| KVC Westerlo +1.5 | 78% | 65% | @ 1.46 |
| St. Truiden +0.75 | 75% | 83% | 1.15 |
| KVC Westerlo +1.25 | 73% | 61% | @ 1.56 |
| St. Truiden +0.5 | 70% | 77% | 1.22 |
| KVC Westerlo +1 | 67% | 56% | @ 1.71 |
| St. Truiden +0.25 | 64% | – | 1.25 |
| KVC Westerlo +0.75 | 62% | 49% | @ 1.96 |
| St. Truiden 0 | 57% | 73% | 1.30 |
| KVC Westerlo +0.5 | 56% | 44% | @ 2.17 |
| St. Truiden -0.25 | 51% | 63% | 1.51 |
| KVC Westerlo +0.25 | 49% | 37% | @ 2.58 |
| St. Truiden -0.5 | 44% | 56% | 1.71 |
| KVC Westerlo 0 | 43% | 27% | @ 3.53 |
| St. Truiden -0.75 | 38% | 51% | 1.89 |
| St. Truiden -1 | 33% | 44% | 2.15 |
| KVC Westerlo -0.5 | 30% | 23% | @ 4.15 |
| St. Truiden -1.25 | 27% | 39% | 2.44 |
| KVC Westerlo -0.75 | 25% | 17% | @ 5.50 |
| St. Truiden -1.5 | 22% | 35% | 2.73 |
| St. Truiden -1.75 | 18% | 30% | 3.21 |
| St. Truiden -2 | 15% | 23% | 4.15 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for St. Truiden vs KVC Westerlo?
Our model's main pick is KVC Westerlo with a +1.75 start at odds 1.35, with a 82% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.
Who is the favourite for St. Truiden vs KVC Westerlo?
Our model makes a St. Truiden win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 2.0-1.6 scoreline for St. Truiden vs KVC Westerlo.
What is the predicted score for St. Truiden vs KVC Westerlo?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.03 for St. Truiden and 1.65 for KVC Westerlo. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do St. Truiden and KVC Westerlo play?
Kick-off is Sunday 20 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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