Sun 8 Nov16:15Upcoming

⚽ Ligue 1

Brest vs Lyon Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Brest vs Lyon in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Sunday 08 November 2026, 16:15 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Brest face Lyon in the Ligue 1, kicking off Sunday 08 November 2026, 16:15 UTC. Recent form: Brest have 2 wins from their last 5, while Lyon have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Brest won 1, Lyon won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Lyon win the most likely result at 39%, projecting a 1.4-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Brest vs Lyon with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.28

80%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.42 – 1.60 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.9%	7.8%	6.2%	3.3%	1.3%
1	6.9%	11.1%	8.9%	4.7%	1.9%
2	4.9%	7.9%	6.3%	3.4%	1.3%
3	2.3%	3.7%	3.0%	1.6%	0.6%
4	0.8%	1.3%	1.1%	0.6%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Brest winDrawLyon win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Brest vs Lyon comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.28, with a 80% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Lyon win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean over 2.5 (58%), both teams to score points yes (60%).

📊 Key numbers

Brest 31%Draw 30%Lyon 39%

31%30%39%

39%

Lyon Win

58%

Over 2.5 goals

60%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Brest and Lyon. Wins shown from Brest’s perspective: Brest 1 · 1 drawn · Lyon 3.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-01-18	Lyon	2 – 1	Brest	L
2025-11-02	Brest	0 – 0	Lyon	D
2025-03-02	Lyon	2 – 1	Brest	L
2025-01-11	Brest	2 – 1	Lyon	W
2024-04-14	Lyon	4 – 3	Brest	L

📈 Recent form

Brest

Brest come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at home to Angers. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Nice.

WLorient 0-2 BrestLigue 1
LBrest 1-2 NiceLigue 1
DLille 1-1 BrestLigue 1
WBrest 5-1 AngersLigue 1
DBrest 2-2 MonzaFriendlies Clubs

Lyon

Lyon come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Angers. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Paris Saint-Germain.

WLyon 2-0 AngersLigue 1
LParis Saint-Germain 2-0 LyonLigue 1
LHoffenheim 3-0 LyonUEFA Europa League
WLyon 2-1 NiceLigue 1
WLyon 3-2 Crystal PalaceUEFA Europa League

🧩 Likely line-ups & team news

Lyon 4-3-3

1Greif

13Athekame

20Bacher

19Niakhaté

16Abner

2Bidstrup

6Tessmann

8Tolisso

24Duranville

7Nuamah

11Nakamura

19Ajorque

9Mboup

23Doumbia

17Baldé

8Magnetti

13Chotard

2Locko

4Lloris

29Tousart

70Lala

1Selvik

Stade Brestois 29 4-2-3-1

Lyon

Last starting XI (4-3-3) vs Angers, 01/11

Coach: Paulo Fonseca

Bench last match26Boudache40Descamps32Rodriguez21Kluivert22Mata18Merah99Nartey3Tagliafico33Mbungu

Stade Brestois 29

Last starting XI (4-2-3-1) vs Nice, 23/10

Coach: Julien Lachuer

Bench last match18Bourgault39N´Guessan7Nonge Boende30Patouillet20Zogbe21Kante11Edjouma6Diambou32Laine M.

Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Brest at 31% to win and Lyon at 39%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a Lyon win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Lyon Win	39%	39%	@ 2.45
Brest Win	31%	34%	@ 2.80
Draw	30%	27%	@ 3.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Lyon or Draw at 1.40 (67% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Lyon or Draw	67%	66%	@ 1.40
Brest or Draw	59%	61%	@ 1.50

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 58% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	80%	75%	@ 1.28
Under 3.5	64%	70%	@ 1.36
Over 2.5	58%	50%	@ 1.91
Under 2.5	42%	50%	@ 1.91
Over 3.5	36%	30%	@ 3.20
Under 1.5	20%	25%	@ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 60%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	60%	55%	@ 1.70
BTTS No	40%	45%	@ 2.05

📈 How the market moved

Brest 34%Draw 27%Lyon 39%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Brest vs Lyon?

Our model's pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.28, with a 80% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

Who is the favourite for Brest vs Lyon?

Our model makes a Lyon win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.6 scoreline for Brest vs Lyon.

What is the predicted score for Brest vs Lyon?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.42 for Brest and 1.60 for Lyon. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Brest and Lyon play?

Kick-off is Sunday 08 November 2026, 16:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.