⚽ Jupiler Pro League
Standard Liège vs SK Beveren Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Standard Liège vs SK Beveren in the Jupiler Pro League. Kick-off Friday 06 November 2026, 19:45 UTC.
Standard Liège face SK Beveren in the Jupiler Pro League, kicking off Friday 06 November 2026, 19:45 UTC. Recent form: Standard Liège have no wins from their last 5, while SK Beveren have 1 win from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Standard Liège win the most likely result at 57%, projecting a 2.0-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Standard Liège vs SK Beveren with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 8.2% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| 2 | 8.3% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| 3 | 5.6% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Standard Liège vs SK Beveren comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.67, with a 62% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Standard Liège win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 57%. Goals lean over 2.5 (62%), both teams to score points yes (60%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Standard Liège come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Dender. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Genk.
- DStandard Liège 1-1 KortrijkJupiler Pro League
- LGenk 2-1 Standard LiègeJupiler Pro League
- WStandard Liège 2-0 DenderCup
- LStandard Liège 0-1 CharleroiJupiler Pro League
- LGent 2-1 Standard LiègeJupiler Pro League
SK Beveren come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Habay-la-Neuve. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Union St. Gilloise.
- LSK Beveren 1-2 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
- DKVC Westerlo 4-4 SK BeverenJupiler Pro League
- WSK Beveren 3-0 Habay-la-NeuveCup
- LSK Beveren 1-3 Lommel UnitedJupiler Pro League
- LKortrijk 1-0 SK BeverenJupiler Pro League
🧩 Likely line-ups & team news
SK Beveren
Unavailable: No reported absences
Coach: Tim Bakens
Standard Liege
Unavailable: No reported absences
Coach: Vincent Euvrard
Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Standard Liège at 57% to win and SK Beveren at 22%, with the draw at 22%. Our model makes a Standard Liège win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liège Win | 57% | 52% | @ 1.75 |
| Draw | 22% | 25% | @ 3.60 |
| SK Beveren Win | 22% | 23% | @ 4.00 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Standard Liège or Draw at 1.20 (79% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liège or Draw | 79% | 77% | @ 1.20 |
| SK Beveren or Draw | 44% | 48% | @ 1.91 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 62% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 78% | @ 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 56% | @ 1.67 |
| Under 3.5 | 60% | 65% | @ 1.44 |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 35% | @ 2.62 |
| Under 2.5 | 38% | 44% | @ 2.15 |
| Under 1.5 | 17% | 22% | @ 4.33 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 60%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 58% | @ 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 40% | 42% | @ 2.20 |
📈 How the market moved
🔬 What our models say about this match
| Model | Match result | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Poisson | Home | 58% |
| Dixon-Coles | Home | 56% |
Both models that could assess this match agree. Our Dixon-Coles model has no reliable team ratings for this competition and was left out, so this rests on two models rather than three.
Expected goals: 1.75 for the home side, 0.96 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (7%).
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Standard Liège vs SK Beveren?
Our model's pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.67, with a 62% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 56%.
Who is the favourite for Standard Liège vs SK Beveren?
Our model makes a Standard Liège win the most likely result at 57%. It projects an expected 2.0-1.2 scoreline for Standard Liège vs SK Beveren.
What is the predicted score for Standard Liège vs SK Beveren?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.02 for Standard Liège and 1.18 for SK Beveren. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Standard Liège and SK Beveren play?
Kick-off is Friday 06 November 2026, 19:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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