Thu 5 Nov0-2Finished

Dinamo Zagreb

⚽ UEFA Europa League

Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 05 November 2026, 20:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Sunderland 0-2 Dinamo Zagreb

Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb finished 0-2. Dinamo Zagreb won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.53, landed.

Sunderland face Dinamo Zagreb in the upcoming UEFA Europa League tips, kicking off Thursday 05 November 2026, 20:00 UTC. Recent form: Sunderland have 2 wins from their last 3, while Dinamo Zagreb have 1 win from their last 3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Sunderland win the most likely result at 57%, projecting a 1.9-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.53

68%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.90 – 0.94 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.8%	5.5%	2.6%	0.8%	0.2%
1	11.1%	10.4%	4.9%	1.5%	0.4%
2	10.5%	9.9%	4.7%	1.5%	0.3%
3	6.7%	6.3%	3.0%	0.9%	0.2%
4	3.2%	3.0%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-0

Sunderland winDrawDinamo Zagreb win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.53, with a 68% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Sunderland win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 57%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (52%).

📊 Key numbers

Sunderland 57%Draw 24%Dinamo Zagreb 19%

57%24%19%

57%

Sunderland Win

54%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Sunderland

Sunderland come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Brentford. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Dinamo Zagreb.

LSunderland 0-2 Dinamo ZagrebUEFA Europa League
LCoventry 3-1 SunderlandPremier League
WSunderland 3-2 BrentfordLeague Cup
DSunderland 0-0 LeedsPremier League
DLech Poznan 1-1 SunderlandUEFA Europa League

Dinamo Zagreb

Dinamo Zagreb come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at NK Slaven Belupo. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Rudes.

WSunderland 0-2 Dinamo ZagrebUEFA Europa League
LRudes 1-0 Dinamo ZagrebHNL
WDinamo Zagreb 2-1 HNK RijekaHNL
LDinamo Zagreb 2-4 NEC NijmegenUEFA Europa League
WNK Slaven Belupo 1-5 Dinamo ZagrebHNL

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 16 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Sunderland

J. AnguloOff the roster
D. BallardMuscle Injury
A. BrowneOff the roster
H. DiarraMuscle Injury
M. EllborgOff the roster
R. MundleKnee Injury
J. Ta BiOff the roster
C. TalbiOff the roster

Dinamo Zagreb

S. McKennaNot in squad
R. MudrazijaOff the roster
I. NevisticOff the roster
N. NsokiOff the roster
P. TabinasOff the roster
F. TopicOff the roster
S. RadeljicNot in squad

🧩 Line-ups

Dinamo Zagreb 4-3-3

24Kotarski

25Valinčić

15Galešić

36Domínguez

3Goda

21Lisica

27Mišić

10Stojković

80Kačavenda

9Beljo

99Oršić

18Isidor

39Fofana

11Rigg

10Angulo

29Ahoka

34Xhaka

6Methalie

15Alderete

4Danso

12Meunier

22Roefs

Sunderland 4-2-3-1

Dinamo Zagreb

Official starting XI (4-3-3)

Coach: J. Leko

Substitutes8Zajc1Zagorac41Sunta7Rodríguez6Radeljić14Prevljak22Vinlöf35Mikic17Ivanušec11Hoxha23Almena44Filipović

Sunderland

Official starting XI (4-2-3-1)

Coach: R. Le Bris

Substitutes32Hume9Brobbey28Le Fée17Reinildo21Moore13O'Nien77Proctor27Sadiki7Talbi57Tuterov40Whittaker48Jones

Official line-ups as announced by the clubs before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Sunderland at 57% to win and Dinamo Zagreb at 19%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a Sunderland win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Sunderland Win	57%	64%	@ 1.48
Draw	24%	20%	@ 4.75
Dinamo Zagreb Win	19%	16%	@ 6.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Sunderland or Draw at 1.12 (80% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Sunderland or Draw	80%	84%	@ 1.12
Dinamo Zagreb or Draw	43%	36%	@ 2.62

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-0.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	78%	79%	@ 1.20
Under 3.5	68%	64%	@ 1.50
Over 2.5	54%	57%	@ 1.67
Under 2.5	46%	43%	@ 2.20
Over 3.5	32%	36%	@ 2.62
Under 1.5	22%	21%	@ 4.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	52%	52%	@ 1.80
BTTS No	48%	48%	@ 1.95

📈 How the market moved

Sunderland 64%Draw 20%Dinamo Zagreb 15%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Our model's pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.53, with a 68% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 64%.

Who is the favourite for Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Our model makes a Sunderland win the most likely result at 57%. It projects an expected 1.9-0.9 scoreline for Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb.

What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.90 for Sunderland and 0.94 for Dinamo Zagreb. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Sunderland and Dinamo Zagreb play?

Kick-off is Thursday 05 November 2026, 20:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.