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⚽ Serie A

Torino vs Lecce Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Torino vs Lecce in the Serie A. Kick-off Saturday 07 November 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Torino face Lecce in the Serie A, kicking off Saturday 07 November 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Torino have 3 wins from their last 5, while Lecce have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Torino won 2, Lecce won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Torino win the most likely result at 46%, projecting a 1.4-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Torino vs Lecce with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Market pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.36

70%Bookmaker odds imply 70%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.40 – 0.96 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.4%	9.1%	4.4%	1.4%	0.3%
1	13.2%	12.7%	6.1%	1.9%	0.5%
2	9.3%	8.9%	4.3%	1.4%	0.3%
3	4.3%	4.1%	2.0%	0.6%	0.2%
4	1.5%	1.5%	0.7%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-0

Torino winDrawLecce win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Torino vs Lecce comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 70% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Torino win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean under 2.5 (58%), both teams to score points no (54%).

📊 Key numbers

Torino 46%Draw 30%Lecce 24%

46%30%24%

46%

Torino Win

58%

Under 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Torino and Lecce. Wins shown from Torino’s perspective: Torino 2 · 1 drawn · Lecce 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-02-01	Torino	1 – 0	Lecce	W
2025-11-30	Lecce	2 – 1	Torino	L
2025-05-18	Lecce	1 – 0	Torino	L
2024-09-15	Torino	0 – 0	Lecce	D
2024-02-16	Torino	2 – 0	Lecce	W

📈 Recent form

Torino

Torino come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Parma. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Frosinone.

LFrosinone 2-0 TorinoSerie A
LTorino 1-3 ComoSerie A
WTorino 3-2 MonzaSerie A
WParma 0-3 TorinoSerie A
WTorino 2-1 UdineseSerie A

Lecce

Lecce come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Udinese. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Genoa.

LLecce 1-2 GenoaSerie A
LFrosinone 5-1 LecceSerie A
LLecce 0-2 JuventusSerie A
WUdinese 0-3 LecceSerie A
LLecce 1-2 BolognaSerie A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 1 player listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Torino

P. PellegriJumpers Knee

Lecce

No absentees reported.

🧩 Likely line-ups & team news

Lecce 4-3-3

30Falcone

17Veiga

5Siebert

44Gabriel

25Gallo

28Gorter

79Ngom

14Maleh

11N’Dri

9Štulić

99Monteiro

19Adams

18Simeone

7Aboukhlal

66Gineitis

21Bragança

10Vlašić

45Belghali

15Comuzzo

44Ismajli

23Coco

20Perri

Torino 3-5-2

Lecce

Last starting XI (4-3-3) vs Genoa, 01/11

Coach: E. Di Francesco

Bench last match2Dembélé7Ahmed Fatah3Ndaba1Bleve32Borbei22Esteban8Fofana16Gandelman18Jean77Kaba31Scott

Torino

Last starting XI (3-5-2) vs Frosinone, 01/11

Coach: Ignazio Abate

Bench last match91Zapata63Carrascosa22Casadei76Siviero9Pellegri2Patterson11Oristanio26Mascardi17Kulenović6İlkhan28Fitz-Jim5Cömert

Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Torino at 46% to win and Lecce at 24%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a Torino win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Torino Win	46%	53%	@ 1.80
Draw	30%	27%	@ 3.50
Lecce Win	24%	20%	@ 4.75

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Torino or Draw at 1.18 (74% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Torino or Draw	74%	80%	@ 1.18
Lecce or Draw	52%	47%	@ 1.95

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.0 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 58% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	79%	70%	@ 1.36
Over 1.5	68%	75%	@ 1.28
Under 2.5	58%	50%	@ 1.91
Over 2.5	42%	50%	@ 1.91
Under 1.5	32%	25%	@ 3.75
Over 3.5	21%	30%	@ 3.20

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 54%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	54%	48%	@ 1.95
BTTS Yes	46%	52%	@ 1.80

📈 How the market moved

Torino 53%Draw 26%Lecce 21%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Torino vs Lecce?

Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 70% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.

Who is the favourite for Torino vs Lecce?

Our model makes a Torino win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.0 scoreline for Torino vs Lecce.

What is the predicted score for Torino vs Lecce?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.40 for Torino and 0.96 for Lecce. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Torino and Lecce play?

Kick-off is Saturday 07 November 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.