Sun 20 Sep3-2Finished

⚽ Eredivisie

Twente vs PSV Eindhoven Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Twente vs PSV Eindhoven in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Sunday 20 September 2026, 12:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Twente 3-2 PSV Eindhoven

Twente vs PSV Eindhoven finished 3-2. Twente won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, PSV Eindhoven or Draw at 1.44, did not land.

Twente face PSV Eindhoven in the upcoming Eredivisie tips, kicking off Sunday 20 September 2026, 12:30 UTC. Recent form: Twente have 4 wins from their last 5, while PSV Eindhoven have 5 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Twente won 1, PSV Eindhoven won 4. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely result at 61%, projecting a 1.5-2.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Twente vs PSV Eindhoven with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

PSV Eindhoven +0.75 @ 1.31

86%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.47 – 2.18 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.6%	5.7%	6.2%	4.5%	2.4%
1	3.8%	8.3%	9.1%	6.6%	3.6%
2	2.8%	6.1%	6.7%	4.8%	2.6%
3	1.4%	3.0%	3.3%	2.4%	1.3%
4	0.5%	1.1%	1.2%	0.9%	0.5%

Projected score: 1-2

Twente winDrawPSV Eindhoven win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Twente vs PSV Eindhoven comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is PSV Eindhoven with a +0.75 start at odds 1.31, the selection our model is most confident in at 86%. On the match result, the model rates a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 61%. Goals lean over 2.5 (71%), both teams to score points yes (69%).

📊 Key numbers

Twente 18%Draw 22%PSV Eindhoven 61%

18%22%61%

61%

PSV Eindhoven Win

71%

Over 2.5 goals

69%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Twente and PSV Eindhoven. Wins shown from Twente’s perspective: Twente 1 · PSV Eindhoven 4.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-20	Twente	3 – 2	PSV Eindhoven	W
2026-05-17	PSV Eindhoven	5 – 1	Twente	L
2025-08-17	Twente	0 – 2	PSV Eindhoven	L
2025-04-24	Twente	1 – 3	PSV Eindhoven	L
2024-12-06	PSV Eindhoven	6 – 1	Twente	L

📈 Recent form

Twente

Twente come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at Cambuur. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WTwente 3-2 PSV EindhovenEredivisie
WTwente 2-0 ADO Den HaagEredivisie
WTwente 1-0 TelstarEredivisie
DGroningen 2-2 TwenteEredivisie
WCambuur 1-4 TwenteEredivisie

PSV Eindhoven

PSV Eindhoven come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 16 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 6-1 at Utrecht. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at Twente.

LTwente 3-2 PSV EindhovenEredivisie
WPSV Eindhoven 4-1 Sparta RotterdamEredivisie
DPSV Eindhoven 1-1 Shakhtar DonetskUEFA Champions League
WAjax 1-3 PSV EindhovenEredivisie
WUtrecht 1-6 PSV EindhovenEredivisie

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Twente

K. HlynssonNot in squad
S. LemkinInjury

PSV Eindhoven

S. LammersLacking Match Fitness
A. NagaloInjury
S. OuaissaMuscle Injury
A. PleaInjury
J. SchoutenKnee Injury
K. SildilliaInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Twente at 18% to win and PSV Eindhoven at 61%, with the draw at 22%. Our model makes a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
PSV Eindhoven Win	61%	44%	@ 2.15
Draw	22%	24%	@ 4.00
Twente Win	18%	33%	@ 2.90

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is PSV Eindhoven or Draw at 1.40 (83% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
PSV Eindhoven or Draw	83%	67%	@ 1.40
Twente or Draw	40%	56%	@ 1.67

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-2.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 71% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	88%	89%	@ 1.07
Over 2.5	71%	74%	@ 1.28
Under 3.5	50%	44%	@ 2.10
Over 3.5	50%	56%	@ 1.67
Under 2.5	29%	26%	@ 3.60
Under 1.5	12%	11%	@ 9.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 69%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	69%	73%	@ 1.28
BTTS No	31%	27%	@ 3.50

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Twente or PSV Eindhoven is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
PSV Eindhoven +1.75	95%	86%	@ 1.11
PSV Eindhoven +1.5	94%	82%	@ 1.16
PSV Eindhoven +1.25	91%	80%	@ 1.18
PSV Eindhoven +1	88%	79%	@ 1.20
PSV Eindhoven +0.75	86%	73%	@ 1.31
PSV Eindhoven +0.5	83%	67%	@ 1.42
PSV Eindhoven +0.25	77%	63%	@ 1.51
Twente +2	74%	84%	1.12
PSV Eindhoven 0	72%	58%	@ 1.67
Twente +1.75	69%	79%	1.20
PSV Eindhoven -0.25	66%	50%	@ 1.92
Twente +1.5	64%	74%	1.27
PSV Eindhoven -0.5	61%	45%	@ 2.14
Twente +1.25	58%	71%	1.33
PSV Eindhoven -0.75	54%	39%	@ 2.44
Twente +1	52%	68%	1.40
PSV Eindhoven -1	48%	32%	@ 3.02
Twente +0.75	46%	61%	1.56
PSV Eindhoven -1.25	42%	29%	@ 3.33
Twente +0.5	40%	55%	1.73
PSV Eindhoven -1.5	36%	26%	@ 3.55
Twente +0.25	34%	50%	1.94
PSV Eindhoven -1.75	31%	21%	@ 4.40
Twente 0	28%	42%	2.25
PSV Eindhoven -2	26%	16%	@ 6.00
Twente -0.25	23%	37%	2.58
Twente -0.5	17%	33%	2.91
Twente -0.75	14%	27%	3.51
Twente -1	12%	21%	4.40
Twente -1.25	9%	20%	4.65
Twente -1.5	6%	18%	5.25
Twente -1.75	5%	14%	6.60

📈 How the market moved

Twente 32%Draw 23%PSV Eindhoven 44%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Twente vs PSV Eindhoven?

Our model's main pick is PSV Eindhoven with a +0.75 start at odds 1.31, with a 86% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 73%.

Who is the favourite for Twente vs PSV Eindhoven?

Our model makes a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely result at 61%. It projects an expected 1.5-2.2 scoreline for Twente vs PSV Eindhoven.

What is the predicted score for Twente vs PSV Eindhoven?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.47 for Twente and 2.18 for PSV Eindhoven. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Twente and PSV Eindhoven play?

Kick-off is Sunday 20 September 2026, 12:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.