⚽ Eredivisie
Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Sunday 08 November 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Utrecht face NEC Nijmegen in the Eredivisie, kicking off Sunday 08 November 2026, 19:00 UTC. Recent form: Utrecht have 2 wins from their last 5, while NEC Nijmegen have no wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Utrecht won 4, NEC Nijmegen won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Utrecht win the most likely result at 42%, projecting a 1.7-1.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 5.6% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| 2 | 4.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| 3 | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is Utrecht or Draw at odds 1.50, with a 68% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Utrecht win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 42%. Goals lean over 2.5 (66%), both teams to score points yes (67%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Utrecht and NEC Nijmegen. Wins shown from Utrecht’s perspective: Utrecht 4 · NEC Nijmegen 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-11 | NEC Nijmegen | 1 – 3 | Utrecht | W |
| 2025-11-02 | Utrecht | 1 – 0 | NEC Nijmegen | W |
| 2025-03-15 | Utrecht | 0 – 1 | NEC Nijmegen | L |
| 2024-11-24 | NEC Nijmegen | 1 – 2 | Utrecht | W |
| 2024-03-17 | Utrecht | 1 – 0 | NEC Nijmegen | W |
📈 Recent form
Utrecht come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Willem II. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-4 at Telstar.
- LTelstar 4-2 UtrechtEredivisie
- WKozakken Boys 0-1 UtrechtKNVB Beker
- DUtrecht 1-1 PEC ZwolleEredivisie
- WTwente 1-2 UtrechtEredivisie
- WUtrecht 3-1 Willem IIEredivisie
NEC Nijmegen come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 4-2 at Dinamo Zagreb. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Heerenveen.
- LHeerenveen 1-0 NEC NijmegenEredivisie
- DNEC Nijmegen 2-2 GroningenEredivisie
- WDinamo Zagreb 2-4 NEC NijmegenUEFA Europa League
- DNEC Nijmegen 2-2 Fortuna SittardEredivisie
- DNEC Nijmegen 1-1 Levski SofiaUEFA Europa League
🧩 Likely line-ups & team news
Utrecht
Sergio Padt, Niklas Vesterlund, Matisse Didden, Nikolas Panagiotou, Arthur Zagré, Joris van Overeem, Oualid Agougil, Ángel Alarcón, Dani De Wit, Yoann Cathline, Sem van Duijn
Coach: Anthony Correia
NEC Nijmegen
Coach: Dick Schreuder
Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Utrecht at 42% to win and NEC Nijmegen at 33%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes an Utrecht win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Utrecht Win | 42% | 38% | @ 2.50 |
| NEC Nijmegen Win | 33% | 37% | @ 2.60 |
| Draw | 25% | 25% | @ 3.80 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Utrecht or Draw at 1.50 (68% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Utrecht or Draw | 68% | 63% | @ 1.50 |
| NEC Nijmegen or Draw | 59% | 62% | @ 1.50 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 66% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 83% | @ 1.14 |
| Over 2.5 | 66% | 62% | @ 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 | 56% | 58% | @ 1.62 |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 42% | @ 2.20 |
| Under 2.5 | 34% | 38% | @ 2.50 |
| Under 1.5 | 15% | 17% | @ 5.50 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 67%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 67% | 65% | @ 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 33% | 35% | @ 2.62 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen?
Our model's pick is Utrecht or Draw at odds 1.50, with a 68% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 63%.
Who is the favourite for Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen?
Our model makes an Utrecht win the most likely result at 42%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.7 scoreline for Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen.
What is the predicted score for Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.68 for Utrecht and 1.73 for NEC Nijmegen. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Utrecht and NEC Nijmegen play?
Kick-off is Sunday 08 November 2026, 19:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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