Sat 19 Sep0-2Finished

⚽ Serie A

Venezia vs Lazio Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Venezia vs Lazio in the Serie A. Kick-off Saturday 19 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Venezia 0-2 Lazio

Venezia vs Lazio finished 0-2. Lazio won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, Lazio or Draw at 1.28, landed.

Venezia face Lazio in the upcoming Serie A tips, kicking off Saturday 19 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Venezia have 0 wins from their last 4, while Lazio have 3 wins from their last 4. In their last 3 meetings, Lazio won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Lazio win the most likely result at 58%, projecting a 0.9-1.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Venezia vs Lazio with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Lazio +0.5 @ 1.27

80%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.89 – 1.71 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.4%	12.7%	10.9%	6.2%	2.6%
1	6.6%	11.3%	9.7%	5.5%	2.4%
2	2.9%	5.0%	4.3%	2.5%	1.0%
3	0.9%	1.5%	1.3%	0.7%	0.3%
4	0.2%	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 0-1

Venezia winDrawLazio win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Venezia vs Lazio comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Lazio to win or draw at odds 1.27, the selection our model is most confident in at 80%. On the match result, the model rates a Lazio win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 58%. Goals lean under 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points no (52%).

📊 Key numbers

Venezia 20%Draw 22%Lazio 58%

20%22%58%

58%

Lazio Win

52%

Under 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 3 meetings between Venezia and Lazio. Wins shown from Venezia’s perspective: 1 drawn · Lazio 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-19	Venezia	0 – 2	Lazio	L
2025-02-22	Venezia	0 – 0	Lazio	D
2024-08-18	Lazio	3 – 1	Venezia	L

📈 Recent form

Venezia

Venezia come into this game with 5 defeats from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 13. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Lazio.

LVenezia 0-2 LazioSerie A
LVenezia 2-4 FiorentinaSerie A
LFrosinone 3-2 VeneziaSerie A
LUdinese 2-1 VeneziaCoppa Italia
LAC Milan 2-0 VeneziaSerie A

Lazio

Lazio come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Venezia. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WVenezia 0-2 LazioSerie A
DLazio 2-2 AC MilanSerie A
WUdinese 1-2 LazioSerie A
WLazio 1-0 GenoaSerie A
WBologna 0-1 LazioSerie A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 14 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Venezia

A. AdoranteHernia
T. BasicFoot Injury
A. Bella-KotchapInjury
G. BusioInjury
M. DagassoNot in squad
B. FranjicInjury
R. HapsNot in squad
M. SverkoHip Injury

Lazio

F. Dele-BashiruMuscle Injury
A. FurlanettoKnee Injury
A. MarusicMuscle Injury
PatricAnkle Injury
L. PellegriniInjury
N. RovellaInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Venezia at 20% to win and Lazio at 58%, with the draw at 22%. Our model makes a Lazio win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Lazio Win	58%	49%	@ 1.91
Draw	22%	27%	@ 3.50
Venezia Win	20%	24%	@ 4.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Lazio or Draw at 1.22 (80% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Lazio or Draw	80%	76%	@ 1.22
Venezia or Draw	43%	51%	@ 1.83

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.9-1.7 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 52% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	74%	66%	@ 1.44
Over 1.5	73%	78%	@ 1.22
Under 2.5	52%	45%	@ 2.10
Over 2.5	48%	55%	@ 1.73
Under 1.5	27%	22%	@ 4.33
Over 3.5	26%	34%	@ 2.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	52%	44%	@ 2.10
BTTS Yes	48%	56%	@ 1.67

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Venezia or Lazio is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Lazio +1.5	93%	86%	@ 1.10
Lazio +1.25	90%	86%	1.10
Lazio +1	87%	86%	1.10
Lazio +0.75	84%	80%	1.20
Lazio +0.5	80%	75%	@ 1.27
Venezia +2	76%	84%	1.13
Lazio +0.25	75%	71%	1.33
Venezia +1.75	72%	77%	1.22
Lazio 0	69%	67%	1.43
Venezia +1.5	67%	72%	1.32
Lazio -0.25	63%	57%	@ 1.68
Venezia +1.25	61%	69%	1.39
Lazio -0.5	57%	50%	@ 1.95
Venezia +1	55%	64%	1.49
Lazio -0.75	51%	44%	@ 2.20
Venezia +0.75	49%	56%	1.70
Lazio -1	45%	36%	@ 2.69
Venezia +0.5	43%	50%	1.93
Lazio -1.25	39%	31%	@ 3.08
Venezia +0.25	37%	43%	2.23
Lazio -1.5	33%	28%	@ 3.42
Venezia 0	31%	33%	2.88
Lazio -1.75	28%	23%	@ 4.15
Venezia -0.25	25%	29%	3.35
Lazio -2	24%	16%	@ 5.90
Venezia -0.5	20%	25%	3.79
Venezia -0.75	16%	20%	4.81
Venezia -1	13%	14%	6.80
Venezia -1.25	10%	14%	6.80
Venezia -1.5	7%	14%	7.00

📈 How the market moved

Venezia 24%Draw 26%Lazio 50%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Venezia vs Lazio?

Our model's main pick is Lazio to win or draw at odds 1.27, with a 80% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

Who is the favourite for Venezia vs Lazio?

Our model makes a Lazio win the most likely result at 58%. It projects an expected 0.9-1.7 scoreline for Venezia vs Lazio.

What is the predicted score for Venezia vs Lazio?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.89 for Venezia and 1.71 for Lazio. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Venezia and Lazio play?

Kick-off is Saturday 19 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.