Fri 6 Nov19:45Upcoming

⚽ Serie A

Venezia vs Udinese Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Venezia vs Udinese in the Serie A. Kick-off Friday 06 November 2026, 19:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Venezia face Udinese in the Serie A, kicking off Friday 06 November 2026, 19:45 UTC. Recent form: Venezia have 1 win from their last 5, while Udinese have no wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Venezia won 1, Udinese won 4. The bookmaker market makes a Venezia win the most likely result at 42%, implying a 1.5-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Venezia vs Udinese with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Market pick

Udinese +1 @ 1.31

73%Bookmaker odds imply 76%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.52 – 1.27 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.1%	7.8%	4.9%	2.1%	0.7%
1	9.3%	11.8%	7.5%	3.2%	1.0%
2	7.1%	9.0%	5.7%	2.4%	0.8%
3	3.6%	4.6%	2.9%	1.2%	0.4%
4	1.4%	1.7%	1.1%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Venezia winDrawUdinese win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Venezia vs Udinese comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Udinese with a +1 start at odds 1.31, with a 73% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates an Udinese win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 42%. Goals lean under 2.5 (58%), both teams to score points no (54%).

📊 Key numbers

Venezia 28%Draw 29%Udinese 42%

28%29%42%

42%

Udinese Win

58%

Under 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Venezia and Udinese. Wins shown from Venezia’s perspective: Venezia 1 · Udinese 4.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-02	Udinese	2 – 1	Venezia	L
2025-02-01	Udinese	3 – 2	Venezia	L
2024-10-30	Venezia	3 – 2	Udinese	W
2022-04-10	Venezia	1 – 2	Udinese	L
2021-08-27	Udinese	3 – 0	Venezia	L

📈 Recent form

Venezia

Venezia come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 2 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Napoli. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Como.

LComo 1-0 VeneziaSerie A
LVenezia 0-2 InterSerie A
LGenoa 1-0 VeneziaSerie A
WVenezia 1-0 NapoliSerie A
LAtalanta 3-1 VeneziaSerie A

Udinese

Udinese come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 12. Their most recent defeat was 2-5 at home to AS Roma.

LUdinese 2-5 AS RomaSerie A
DParma 0-0 UdineseSerie A
LUdinese 0-2 AC MilanSerie A
LUdinese 0-3 LecceSerie A
LTorino 2-1 UdineseSerie A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Venezia

A. AdoranteHernia
B. FranjicShoulder Injury
M. SverkoHip Injury
T. CorreiaThigh Injury

Udinese

D. AlabaCalf Injury
I. GueyeAnkle Injury
V. BayoThigh Injury
O. SoletMuscle Injury
A. ZanoliMuscle Injury

🧩 Likely line-ups & team news

Udinese 3-4-2-1

40Okoye

14Abankwah

27Kabasele

16Palma

23Vojvoda

8Karlström

38Miller

11Kamara

10Zaniolo

32Ekkelenkamp

9Davis

29Lauberbach

45Adams

70Mazzocchi

6Busio

19Sohm

21Helgason

18Hainaut

15Jesus

2Moreno

25Halhal

1Stanković

Venezia 3-5-2

Udinese

Last starting XI (3-4-2-1) vs AS Roma, 31/10

Coach: K. Runjaic

Bench last match13Bertola30Chakvetadze20Arizala77Ebosse46Gómez91JovanoviÄ4Lovrić41Mrozek93Padelli6Zarraga24Piotrowski45Vinciati

Venezia

Last starting XI (3-5-2) vs Como, 01/11

Coach: D. Nicola

Bench last match20Sagrado3Schingtienne17Bella-Kotchap26Bašić7Rrahmani71Pérez96Montipò16Mohammed56Lisman5Haps77Fernández8Dabo

Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Venezia at 28% to win and Udinese at 42%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes an Udinese win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Udinese Win	42%	30%	@ 3.10
Draw	29%	28%	@ 3.40
Venezia Win	28%	42%	@ 2.25

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Udinese or Draw at 1.62 (70% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Udinese or Draw	70%	58%	@ 1.62
Venezia or Draw	56%	70%	@ 1.36

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.3 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 58% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	79%	68%	@ 1.40
Over 1.5	68%	76%	@ 1.25
Under 2.5	58%	47%	@ 2.00
Over 2.5	42%	53%	@ 1.80
Under 1.5	32%	24%	@ 4.00
Over 3.5	21%	32%	@ 3.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 54%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	54%	42%	@ 2.20
BTTS Yes	46%	58%	@ 1.62

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Venezia or Udinese is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Udinese +1.75	90%	83%	@ 1.14
Udinese +1.5	88%	78%	@ 1.21
Udinese +1.25	83%	76%	@ 1.26
Udinese +1	79%	73%	@ 1.31
Venezia +1.5	79%	85%	1.12
Udinese +0.75	74%	64%	@ 1.49
Venezia +1.25	73%	84%	1.13
Udinese +0.5	70%	58%	@ 1.65
Venezia +1	67%	83%	1.15
Udinese +0.25	63%	51%	@ 1.89
Venezia +0.75	62%	76%	1.26
Udinese 0	57%	42%	@ 2.28
Venezia +0.5	56%	70%	1.37
Udinese -0.25	50%	35%	@ 2.71
Venezia +0.25	50%	65%	1.48
Udinese -0.5	44%	30%	@ 3.12
Venezia 0	43%	58%	1.65
Udinese -0.75	38%	24%	@ 3.90
Venezia -0.25	36%	49%	2.00
Udinese -1	33%	17%	@ 5.50
Venezia -0.5	30%	42%	2.29
Udinese -1.25	27%	16%	@ 5.90
Venezia -0.75	26%	36%	2.68
Udinese -1.5	21%	15%	@ 6.40
Venezia -1	21%	27%	3.53
Venezia -1.25	17%	24%	3.94
Venezia -1.5	12%	22%	4.25
Venezia -1.75	10%	17%	5.75

📈 How the market moved

Venezia 42%Draw 28%Udinese 30%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

🔬 How this pick was selected

🔍 How this pick was selected

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Away	41%
Dixon-Coles	Away	49%
GradientBoosting	Away	41%

Market consensus on Udinese Asian Handicap +1.0: 73%

The table above shows each model’s view of the match winner. This pick is on a different market (goals or handicap) and was selected on the bookmaker market’s probability, not on our model.

The bookmaker market puts this selection at 73% with the margin removed; the odds of 1.31 imply 76% including the margin. In our own testing our model did not beat the market, so we select on the market’s probability.

Expected goals: 1.16 for the home side, 1.45 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 0-1 (14%), 1-1 (12%), 0-2 (10%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Venezia vs Udinese?

Our main pick is Udinese with a +1 start at odds 1.31, with a 73% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.

Who is the favourite for Venezia vs Udinese?

Our model makes an Udinese win the most likely result at 42%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.3 scoreline for Venezia vs Udinese.

What is the predicted score for Venezia vs Udinese?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.52 for Venezia and 1.27 for Udinese. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Venezia and Udinese play?

Kick-off is Friday 06 November 2026, 19:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.