⚽ Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Saturday 07 November 2026, 17:30 UTC.
VfB Stuttgart face Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga, kicking off Saturday 07 November 2026, 17:30 UTC. Recent form: VfB Stuttgart have 2 wins from their last 5, while Werder Bremen have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, VfB Stuttgart won 1, Werder Bremen won 2, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a VfB Stuttgart win the most likely result at 55%, projecting a 2.2-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 6.0% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| 2 | 6.7% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| 3 | 5.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| 4 | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 72% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a VfB Stuttgart win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 55%. Goals lean over 2.5 (70%), both teams to score points yes (67%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between VfB Stuttgart and Werder Bremen. Wins shown from VfB Stuttgart’s perspective: VfB Stuttgart 1 · 2 drawn · Werder Bremen 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | VfB Stuttgart | 1 – 1 | Werder Bremen | D |
| 2025-12-14 | Werder Bremen | 0 – 4 | VfB Stuttgart | W |
| 2025-04-13 | VfB Stuttgart | 1 – 2 | Werder Bremen | L |
| 2024-11-30 | Werder Bremen | 2 – 2 | VfB Stuttgart | D |
| 2024-04-21 | Werder Bremen | 2 – 1 | VfB Stuttgart | L |
📈 Recent form
VfB Stuttgart come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 4-2 at Bayer Leverkusen. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Galatasaray.
- LGalatasaray 2-0 VfB StuttgartUEFA Champions League
- WBayer Leverkusen 2-4 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
- WSC Paderborn 07 0-1 VfB StuttgartDFB Pokal
- LVfB Stuttgart 2-3 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
- DVfB Stuttgart 1-1 Atlético MadridUEFA Champions League
Werder Bremen come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Hoffenheim. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at Borussia Dortmund.
- WWerder Bremen 2-0 HoffenheimBundesliga
- LBorussia Dortmund 3-2 Werder BremenDFB Pokal
- WFSV Mainz 05 2-3 Werder BremenBundesliga
- DWerder Bremen 2-2 SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga
- DBorussia Dortmund 2-2 Werder BremenBundesliga
🧩 Likely line-ups & team news
Werder Bremen
Unavailable: No reported absences
Coach: D. Thioune
VfB Stuttgart
Unavailable: No reported absences
Coach: S. Hoeneb
Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices VfB Stuttgart at 55% to win and Werder Bremen at 20%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a VfB Stuttgart win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart Win | 55% | 59% | @ 1.62 |
| Draw | 25% | 20% | @ 4.75 |
| Werder Bremen Win | 20% | 20% | @ 4.75 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is VfB Stuttgart or Draw at 1.18 (79% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart or Draw | 79% | 80% | @ 1.18 |
| Werder Bremen or Draw | 44% | 41% | @ 2.25 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.2-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 70% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 88% | @ 1.08 |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 72% | @ 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 | 51% | 47% | @ 2.00 |
| Over 3.5 | 49% | 53% | @ 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 | 30% | 28% | @ 3.40 |
| Under 1.5 | 12% | 12% | @ 8.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 67%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 67% | 66% | @ 1.40 |
| BTTS No | 33% | 34% | @ 2.75 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?
Our pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 72% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.
Who is the favourite for VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?
Our model makes a VfB Stuttgart win the most likely result at 55%. It projects an expected 2.2-1.4 scoreline for VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen.
What is the predicted score for VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.23 for VfB Stuttgart and 1.38 for Werder Bremen. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do VfB Stuttgart and Werder Bremen play?
Kick-off is Saturday 07 November 2026, 17:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.


