Sat 7 Nov17:30Upcoming

⚽ Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Saturday 07 November 2026, 17:30 UTC.

VfB Stuttgart face Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga, kicking off Saturday 07 November 2026, 17:30 UTC. Recent form: VfB Stuttgart have 2 wins from their last 5, while Werder Bremen have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, VfB Stuttgart won 1, Werder Bremen won 2, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a VfB Stuttgart win the most likely result at 55%, projecting a 2.2-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Market pick
Over 2.5 @ 1.33
72%Bookmaker odds imply 72%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.23 – 1.38 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 2.7% 3.7% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4%
1 6.0% 8.3% 5.7% 2.6% 0.9%
2 6.7% 9.3% 6.4% 2.9% 1.0%
3 5.0% 6.9% 4.8% 2.2% 0.8%
4 2.8% 3.8% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4%
Projected score: 2-1
VfB Stuttgart winDrawWerder Bremen win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 72% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a VfB Stuttgart win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 55%. Goals lean over 2.5 (70%), both teams to score points yes (67%).

📊 Key numbers

VfB Stuttgart 55%Draw 25%Werder Bremen 20%
55%25%20%
55%
VfB Stuttgart Win
70%
Over 2.5 goals
67%
BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between VfB Stuttgart and Werder Bremen. Wins shown from VfB Stuttgart’s perspective: VfB Stuttgart 1 · 2 drawn · Werder Bremen 2.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-04-26 VfB Stuttgart 1 – 1 Werder Bremen D
2025-12-14 Werder Bremen 0 – 4 VfB Stuttgart W
2025-04-13 VfB Stuttgart 1 – 2 Werder Bremen L
2024-11-30 Werder Bremen 2 – 2 VfB Stuttgart D
2024-04-21 Werder Bremen 2 – 1 VfB Stuttgart L

📈 Recent form

VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 4-2 at Bayer Leverkusen. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Galatasaray.

  • LGalatasaray 2-0 VfB StuttgartUEFA Champions League
  • WBayer Leverkusen 2-4 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
  • WSC Paderborn 07 0-1 VfB StuttgartDFB Pokal
  • LVfB Stuttgart 2-3 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
  • DVfB Stuttgart 1-1 Atlético MadridUEFA Champions League
Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Hoffenheim. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at Borussia Dortmund.

  • WWerder Bremen 2-0 HoffenheimBundesliga
  • LBorussia Dortmund 3-2 Werder BremenDFB Pokal
  • WFSV Mainz 05 2-3 Werder BremenBundesliga
  • DWerder Bremen 2-2 SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga
  • DBorussia Dortmund 2-2 Werder BremenBundesliga

🧩 Likely line-ups & team news

Werder Bremen 4-2-3-1
1Hein
13Arthur
5Pieper
32Friedl
2Deman
15Reis
44Regeer
8Weiser
20José
17Grüll
10Füllkrug
9Demirović
26Undav
11El Khannouss
10Führich
16Karazor
21Prömel
18Leweling
7Mittelstädt
24Chabot
3Hendriks
1Bredlow
VfB Stuttgart 3-4-1-2

Werder Bremen

Last starting XI (4-2-3-1) vs 1899 Hoffenheim, 31/10

Unavailable: No reported absences

Coach: D. Thioune

Bench last match18Dinkçi26Itten14Lynen11Njinmah19Quetant30Schlager33Schmetgens23Stalmach3Wójcik

VfB Stuttgart

Last starting XI (3-4-1-2) vs Galatasaray, 03/11

Unavailable: No reported absences

Coach: S. Hoeneb

Bench last match8Tomás47Spalt41Seimen17Pejčinović28Nartey43Malanga29Jeltsch14Jaquez33Funk22Assignon2Al Dakhil

Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices VfB Stuttgart at 55% to win and Werder Bremen at 20%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a VfB Stuttgart win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
VfB Stuttgart Win 55% 59% @ 1.62
Draw 25% 20% @ 4.75
Werder Bremen Win 20% 20% @ 4.75

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is VfB Stuttgart or Draw at 1.18 (79% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
VfB Stuttgart or Draw 79% 80% @ 1.18
Werder Bremen or Draw 44% 41% @ 2.25

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.2-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 70% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 88% 88% @ 1.08
Over 2.5 70% 72% @ 1.33
Under 3.5 51% 47% @ 2.00
Over 3.5 49% 53% @ 1.80
Under 2.5 30% 28% @ 3.40
Under 1.5 12% 12% @ 8.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 67%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 67% 66% @ 1.40
BTTS No 33% 34% @ 2.75

📈 How the market moved

15%40%66%11/0211/0311/0411/0511/06

VfB Stuttgart 59%Draw 20%Werder Bremen 20%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?

Our pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 72% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.

Who is the favourite for VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?

Our model makes a VfB Stuttgart win the most likely result at 55%. It projects an expected 2.2-1.4 scoreline for VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen.

What is the predicted score for VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.23 for VfB Stuttgart and 1.38 for Werder Bremen. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do VfB Stuttgart and Werder Bremen play?

Kick-off is Saturday 07 November 2026, 17:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

Get free tips, every day

Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.

Or follow us

18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.