⚽ La Liga
Villarreal vs Getafe Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Villarreal vs Getafe in the La Liga. Kick-off Sunday 08 November 2026, 17:30 UTC.
Villarreal face Getafe in the La Liga, kicking off Sunday 08 November 2026, 17:30 UTC. Recent form: Villarreal have 2 wins from their last 5, while Getafe have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Villarreal won 2, Getafe won 1, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Villarreal win the most likely result at 55%, projecting a 1.7-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Villarreal vs Getafe with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.3% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.4% | 11.3% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 10.6% | 9.7% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 6.1% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Villarreal vs Getafe comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 74% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Villarreal win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 55%. Goals lean under 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points no (52%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Villarreal and Getafe. Wins shown from Villarreal’s perspective: Villarreal 2 · 2 drawn · Getafe 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Getafe | 2 – 1 | Villarreal | L |
| 2025-12-06 | Villarreal | 2 – 0 | Getafe | W |
| 2025-03-30 | Getafe | 1 – 2 | Villarreal | W |
| 2024-10-20 | Villarreal | 1 – 1 | Getafe | D |
| 2024-02-16 | Villarreal | 1 – 1 | Getafe | D |
📈 Recent form
Villarreal come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at Manacor. Their most recent defeat was 0-6 at home to Paris Saint-Germain.
- LVillarreal 0-6 Paris Saint-GermainUEFA Champions League
- LVillarreal 0-1 EspanyolLa Liga
- WManacor 0-5 VillarrealCopa del Rey
- WValencia 1-2 VillarrealLa Liga
- LLiverpool 4-3 VillarrealUEFA Champions League
Getafe come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 13. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Sevilla. Their most recent defeat was 0-4 at Athletic Club.
- WGetafe 3-1 SevillaLa Liga
- WLebrijana 2-3 GetafeCopa del Rey
- LAthletic Club 4-0 GetafeLa Liga
- LGetafe 2-5 FC LuganoUEFA Europa Conference
- DGetafe 1-1 Rayo VallecanoLa Liga
🧩 Likely line-ups & team news
Getafe
Coach: Pepe Bordalás
Villarreal
Coach: Iñigo Pérez
Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Villarreal at 55% to win and Getafe at 19%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Villarreal win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal Win | 55% | 66% | @ 1.45 |
| Draw | 26% | 21% | @ 4.50 |
| Getafe Win | 19% | 13% | @ 7.50 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Villarreal or Draw at 1.08 (80% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal or Draw | 80% | 87% | @ 1.08 |
| Getafe or Draw | 44% | 34% | @ 2.75 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-0.9 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 51% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 74% | 76% | @ 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 | 73% | 68% | @ 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 | 51% | 47% | @ 2.00 |
| Over 2.5 | 49% | 53% | @ 1.80 |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 32% | @ 3.00 |
| Under 1.5 | 26% | 24% | @ 4.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 52% | 52% | @ 1.80 |
| BTTS Yes | 48% | 48% | @ 1.95 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Villarreal vs Getafe?
Our model's pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 74% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 76%.
Who is the favourite for Villarreal vs Getafe?
Our model makes a Villarreal win the most likely result at 55%. It projects an expected 1.7-0.9 scoreline for Villarreal vs Getafe.
What is the predicted score for Villarreal vs Getafe?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.71 for Villarreal and 0.91 for Getafe. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Villarreal and Getafe play?
Kick-off is Sunday 08 November 2026, 17:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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RodezAnalytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.