Sat 19 Sep0-1Finished

⚽ Eredivisie

Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Saturday 19 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Willem II 0-1 Fortuna Sittard

Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard finished 0-1. Fortuna Sittard won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, Fortuna Sittard or Draw at 1.44, landed.

Willem II face Fortuna Sittard in the upcoming Eredivisie tips, kicking off Saturday 19 September 2026, 19:00 UTC. Recent form: Willem II have 0 wins from their last 5, while Fortuna Sittard have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 3 meetings, Fortuna Sittard won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Fortuna Sittard win the most likely result at 46%, projecting a 1.4-1.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Fortuna Sittard +0.75 @ 1.38

77%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.37 – 1.69 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.7%	7.9%	6.7%	3.8%	1.6%
1	6.4%	10.9%	9.2%	5.2%	2.2%
2	4.4%	7.4%	6.3%	3.5%	1.5%
3	2.0%	3.4%	2.9%	1.6%	0.7%
4	0.7%	1.2%	1.0%	0.6%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Willem II winDrawFortuna Sittard win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Fortuna Sittard with a +0.75 start at odds 1.38, the selection our model is most confident in at 77%. On the match result, the model rates a Fortuna Sittard win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean over 2.5 (59%), both teams to score points yes (61%).

📊 Key numbers

Willem II 27%Draw 27%Fortuna Sittard 46%

27%27%46%

46%

Fortuna Sittard Win

59%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 3 meetings between Willem II and Fortuna Sittard. Wins shown from Willem II’s perspective: 1 drawn · Fortuna Sittard 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-19	Willem II	0 – 1	Fortuna Sittard	L
2025-04-27	Fortuna Sittard	1 – 0	Willem II	L
2024-10-20	Willem II	0 – 0	Fortuna Sittard	D

📈 Recent form

Willem II

Willem II come into this game with 0 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 12. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Fortuna Sittard.

LWillem II 0-1 Fortuna SittardEredivisie
LAjax 5-1 Willem IIEredivisie
DAZ Alkmaar 1-1 Willem IIEredivisie
LWillem II 0-3 ExcelsiorEredivisie
DWillem II 2-2 HeerenveenEredivisie

Fortuna Sittard

Fortuna Sittard come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Willem II. Their most recent defeat was 1-5 at home to Ajax.

WWillem II 0-1 Fortuna SittardEredivisie
LFortuna Sittard 1-5 AjaxEredivisie
WADO Den Haag 2-3 Fortuna SittardEredivisie
WGroningen 2-3 Fortuna SittardEredivisie
LFortuna Sittard 0-2 AZ AlkmaarEredivisie

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 10 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Willem II

K. BoogaardKnock
A. CulumFoot Injury
T. Didillon HodlHamstring Injury
J. HoogmaKnee Injury
A. LachkarGroin Injury

Fortuna Sittard

R. BayramKnee Injury
I. MarquezInjury
Y. OukiliGroin Injury
S. SimonsHamstring Injury
S. WylinInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Willem II at 27% to win and Fortuna Sittard at 46%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Fortuna Sittard win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Fortuna Sittard Win	46%	38%	@ 2.50
Willem II Win	27%	37%	@ 2.60
Draw	27%	25%	@ 3.75

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Fortuna Sittard or Draw at 1.50 (72% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Fortuna Sittard or Draw	72%	63%	@ 1.50
Willem II or Draw	53%	62%	@ 1.50

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 59% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	81%	83%	@ 1.14
Under 3.5	63%	59%	@ 1.57
Over 2.5	59%	61%	@ 1.53
Under 2.5	41%	39%	@ 2.40
Over 3.5	37%	41%	@ 2.25
Under 1.5	19%	17%	@ 5.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 61%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	61%	65%	@ 1.44
BTTS No	39%	35%	@ 2.62

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Willem II or Fortuna Sittard is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Fortuna Sittard +1.75	91%	85%	@ 1.12
Fortuna Sittard +1.5	89%	80%	@ 1.18
Fortuna Sittard +1.25	85%	79%	@ 1.20
Fortuna Sittard +1	81%	77%	1.24
Willem II +1.75	80%	84%	1.12
Fortuna Sittard +0.75	77%	69%	@ 1.38
Willem II +1.5	76%	79%	1.19
Fortuna Sittard +0.5	72%	63%	@ 1.50
Willem II +1.25	71%	77%	1.22
Fortuna Sittard +0.25	66%	58%	@ 1.64
Willem II +1	65%	75%	1.26
Fortuna Sittard 0	60%	52%	@ 1.86
Willem II +0.75	59%	67%	1.41
Fortuna Sittard -0.25	53%	44%	@ 2.17
Willem II +0.5	53%	61%	1.55
Willem II +0.25	47%	56%	1.71
Fortuna Sittard -0.5	47%	39%	@ 2.45
Fortuna Sittard -0.75	41%	33%	@ 2.90
Willem II 0	40%	48%	1.99
Fortuna Sittard -1	35%	25%	@ 3.84
Willem II -0.25	34%	42%	2.29
Fortuna Sittard -1.25	29%	23%	@ 4.15
Willem II -0.5	28%	37%	2.58
Fortuna Sittard -1.5	24%	21%	@ 4.50
Willem II -0.75	23%	31%	3.10
Fortuna Sittard -1.75	20%	16%	@ 6.00
Willem II -1	19%	23%	4.13
Willem II -1.25	15%	21%	4.40
Willem II -1.5	11%	20%	4.80
Willem II -1.75	9%	15%	6.40

📈 How the market moved

Willem II 36%Draw 25%Fortuna Sittard 38%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard?

Our model's main pick is Fortuna Sittard with a +0.75 start at odds 1.38, with a 77% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 69%.

Who is the favourite for Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard?

Our model makes a Fortuna Sittard win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.7 scoreline for Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard.

What is the predicted score for Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.37 for Willem II and 1.69 for Fortuna Sittard. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Willem II and Fortuna Sittard play?

Kick-off is Saturday 19 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.