⚽ Brazilian Série A
Chapecoense vs Mirassol Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Chapecoense vs Mirassol in the Brazilian Série A. Kick-off Tuesday 03 November 2026, 22:30 UTC.
Result: Chapecoense 1-2 Mirassol
Chapecoense vs Mirassol finished 1-2. Mirassol won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, over 1.5 goals at 1.25, landed.
Chapecoense face Mirassol in the upcoming Brazilian Série A tips, kicking off Tuesday 03 November 2026, 22:30 UTC. Recent form: Chapecoense have 1 win from their last 5, while Mirassol have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Mirassol won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Mirassol win the most likely result at 39%, projecting a 1.4-1.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Chapecoense vs Mirassol with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 6.3% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| 2 | 4.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| 3 | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Chapecoense vs Mirassol comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 82% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Mirassol win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean over 2.5 (59%), both teams to score points yes (61%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between Chapecoense and Mirassol. Wins shown from Chapecoense’s perspective: 1 drawn · Mirassol 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | Chapecoense | 1 – 2 | Mirassol | L |
| 2026-05-10 | Mirassol | 1 – 1 | Chapecoense | D |
📈 Recent form
Chapecoense come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Fluminense. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Mirassol.
- LChapecoense 1-2 MirassolBrazilian Série A
- LRB Bragantino 3-0 ChapecoenseBrazilian Série A
- WChapecoense 2-1 FluminenseBrazilian Série A
- LBotafogo 1-0 ChapecoenseBrazilian Série A
- LChapecoense 1-4 Athletico ParanaenseBrazilian Série A
Mirassol come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Internacional. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Corinthians.
- WChapecoense 1-2 MirassolBrazilian Série A
- LCorinthians 2-0 MirassolBrazilian Série A
- DMirassol 1-1 São PauloBrazilian Série A
- WMirassol 2-0 InternacionalBrazilian Série A
- LBahia 1-0 MirassolBrazilian Série A
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- Mauricio GarcezLeg Injury
- Robert ConceicaoKnee Injury
- Vinicius BalieiroKnee Injury
- Rafael CarvalheiraKnee Injury
- Bruno SantosSuspended (red card)
- Edson CariocaSuspended (cards)
- NeguebaKnee Injury
🧩 Line-ups
Mirassol
Chapecoense-sc
Official line-ups as announced by the clubs before kick-off.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Chapecoense at 32% to win and Mirassol at 39%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Mirassol win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mirassol Win | 39% | 46% | @ 2.05 |
| Chapecoense Win | 32% | 26% | @ 3.60 |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | @ 3.40 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Mirassol or Draw at 1.28 (67% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mirassol or Draw | 67% | 74% | @ 1.28 |
| Chapecoense or Draw | 60% | 54% | @ 1.73 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 59% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 76% | @ 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 | 63% | 70% | @ 1.36 |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 51% | @ 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 | 41% | 49% | @ 1.95 |
| Over 3.5 | 37% | 30% | @ 3.20 |
| Under 1.5 | 19% | 24% | @ 4.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 61%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 56% | @ 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 39% | 44% | @ 2.10 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Chapecoense or Mirassol is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chapecoense +2 | 87% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Mirassol +1.5 | 86% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Chapecoense +1.75 | 84% | 81% | 1.17 |
| Chapecoense +1.5 | 81% | 75% | @ 1.26 |
| Mirassol +1.25 | 81% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Mirassol +1 | 76% | 86% | 1.11 |
| Chapecoense +1.25 | 76% | 73% | 1.30 |
| Mirassol +0.75 | 71% | 79% | 1.21 |
| Chapecoense +1 | 70% | 69% | 1.38 |
| Mirassol +0.5 | 67% | 73% | 1.31 |
| Chapecoense +0.75 | 65% | 61% | @ 1.55 |
| Mirassol +0.25 | 60% | 68% | 1.40 |
| Chapecoense +0.5 | 60% | 54% | @ 1.75 |
| Mirassol 0 | 53% | 63% | 1.52 |
| Chapecoense +0.25 | 53% | 47% | @ 2.05 |
| Mirassol -0.25 | 47% | 53% | 1.82 |
| Chapecoense 0 | 47% | 37% | @ 2.54 |
| Mirassol -0.5 | 40% | 46% | 2.09 |
| Chapecoense -0.25 | 40% | 32% | @ 3.03 |
| Mirassol -0.75 | 35% | 39% | 2.44 |
| Chapecoense -0.5 | 33% | 27% | @ 3.48 |
| Mirassol -1 | 29% | 31% | 3.12 |
| Chapecoense -0.75 | 29% | 21% | @ 4.47 |
| Mirassol -1.25 | 24% | 27% | 3.56 |
| Chapecoense -1 | 24% | 14% | @ 6.60 |
| Chapecoense -1.25 | 19% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
| Mirassol -1.5 | 19% | 25% | 3.85 |
| Mirassol -1.75 | 16% | 19% | 5.00 |
| Chapecoense -1.5 | 14% | 14% | 7.00 |
| Mirassol -2 | 13% | 14% | 6.80 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Chapecoense vs Mirassol?
Our model's pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 82% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 76%.
Who is the favourite for Chapecoense vs Mirassol?
Our model makes a Mirassol win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.7 scoreline for Chapecoense vs Mirassol.
What is the predicted score for Chapecoense vs Mirassol?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.35 for Chapecoense and 1.72 for Mirassol. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Chapecoense and Mirassol play?
Kick-off is Tuesday 03 November 2026, 22:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
Get free tips, every day
Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.
18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
More predictions
Obolon'-Brovar
Livyi Bereh
Polessya
Veres Rivne
Cruzeiro
Bahia
Eintracht Braunschweig
Energie Cottbus
Montpellier
Metz
Clermont Foot
RodezAnalytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.