Sat 31 Oct4-0Finished

⚽ Major League Soccer

Charlotte vs Orlando City SC Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Charlotte vs Orlando City SC in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 31 October 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Result: Charlotte 4-0 Orlando City SC

Charlotte vs Orlando City SC finished 4-0. Charlotte won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, over 2.5 goals at 1.25, landed.

Charlotte face Orlando City SC in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Saturday 31 October 2026, 17:00 UTC. Recent form: Charlotte have 1 win from their last 5, while Orlando City SC have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Charlotte won 1, Orlando City SC won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Charlotte win the most likely result at 39%, projecting a 2.0-1.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Charlotte vs Orlando City SC with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Over 2.5 @ 1.25
72%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.98 – 1.72 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 2.5% 4.3% 3.7% 2.1% 0.9%
1 4.9% 8.4% 7.2% 4.2% 1.8%
2 4.8% 8.3% 7.2% 4.1% 1.8%
3 3.2% 5.5% 4.7% 2.7% 1.2%
4 1.6% 2.7% 2.3% 1.3% 0.6%
Projected score: 1-1
Charlotte winDrawOrlando City SC win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Charlotte vs Orlando City SC comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 72% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Charlotte win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean over 2.5 (72%), both teams to score points yes (70%).

📊 Key numbers

Charlotte 39%Draw 26%Orlando City SC 35%
39%26%35%
39%
Charlotte Win
72%
Over 2.5 goals
70%
BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Charlotte and Orlando City SC. Wins shown from Charlotte’s perspective: Charlotte 1 · 1 drawn · Orlando City SC 3.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-10-31 Charlotte 4 – 0 Orlando City SC W
2026-04-22 Orlando City SC 4 – 1 Charlotte L
2024-10-27 Orlando City SC 2 – 0 Charlotte L
2024-09-19 Orlando City SC 2 – 0 Charlotte L
2024-06-19 Charlotte 2 – 2 Orlando City SC D

📈 Recent form

Charlotte

Charlotte come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Orlando City SC. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at Portland Timbers.

  • WCharlotte 4-0 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
  • WCharlotte 4-0 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
  • LPortland Timbers 3-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
  • DPhiladelphia Union 2-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
  • LColumbus Crew 3-1 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
Orlando City SC

Orlando City SC come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to DC United. Their only defeat in that run was 0-4 at Charlotte.

  • LCharlotte 4-0 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
  • DChicago Fire 2-2 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
  • DOrlando City SC 2-2 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
  • WOrlando City SC 4-1 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
  • DToronto FC 3-3 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Charlotte
  • N. BerchimasFoot Injury
  • W. ClearyIllness
  • A. GoodwinFoot Injury
  • A. JohnShoulder Injury
  • T. ReamAchilles Tendon Injury
Orlando City SC
  • D. BrekaloSuspended (cards)
  • G. DorseyBack Injury
  • R. JanssonFoot Injury
  • T. SpicerFoot Injury

🧩 Line-ups

Orlando City SC 4-4-2
71Crépeau
19Taifi
16Cartagena
57Iago
27Nogueira
87Pasalic
8Ojeda
5Otávio
77Angulo
7Griezmann
10Ojeda
10Saint-Maximin
9Toklomati Giorno
11Abada
16Biel
8Westwood
28Diani
15Toffolo
22Kessler
44Agyemang
14Byrne
1Kahlina
Charlotte 4-3-3

Orlando City SC

Official starting XI (4-4-2)

Coach: M. Perelman

Substitutes11Tiago23Sarajian12Otero21Miller35Gerbet22Ellis9Dike20Atuesta3Marín

Charlotte

Official starting XI (4-3-3)

Coach: D. Smith

Substitutes37Aloko13Bronico17de la Torre6Doucouré21Miller4Privett71Richmond23Schnegg25Smalls

Official line-ups as announced by the clubs before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Charlotte at 39% to win and Orlando City SC at 35%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Charlotte win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Charlotte Win 39% 51% @ 1.85
Orlando City SC Win 35% 28% @ 3.40
Draw 26% 21% @ 4.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Charlotte or Draw at 1.30 (65% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Charlotte or Draw 65% 72% @ 1.30
Orlando City SC or Draw 62% 49% @ 1.91

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-1.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 72% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 88% 89% @ 1.07
Over 2.5 72% 76% @ 1.25
Over 3.5 51% 56% @ 1.67
Under 3.5 49% 44% @ 2.10
Under 2.5 28% 24% @ 4.00
Under 1.5 12% 11% @ 9.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 70%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 70% 72% @ 1.30
BTTS No 30% 28% @ 3.40

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Charlotte or Orlando City SC is a clear favourite.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Orlando City SC +2 88% 79% @ 1.20
Orlando City SC +1.75 85% 73% @ 1.30
Charlotte +1.5 85% 85% 1.12
Orlando City SC +1.5 83% 67% @ 1.41
Charlotte +1.25 80% 84% 1.12
Orlando City SC +1.25 77% 64% @ 1.49
Charlotte +1 75% 83% 1.14
Orlando City SC +1 72% 60% @ 1.59
Charlotte +0.75 70% 76% 1.23
Orlando City SC +0.75 67% 53% @ 1.79
Charlotte +0.5 65% 72% 1.32
Orlando City SC +0.5 62% 48% @ 2.00
Charlotte +0.25 58% 69% 1.38
Orlando City SC +0.25 55% 43% @ 2.24
Charlotte 0 52% 65% 1.46
Orlando City SC 0 48% 35% @ 2.72
Charlotte -0.25 45% 57% 1.66
Orlando City SC -0.25 42% 31% @ 3.04
Charlotte -0.5 38% 52% 1.84
Orlando City SC -0.5 35% 28% @ 3.37
Charlotte -0.75 33% 47% 2.04
Orlando City SC -0.75 30% 24% @ 4.00
Charlotte -1 28% 40% 2.37
Orlando City SC -1 25% 17% @ 5.75
Charlotte -1.25 23% 36% 2.63
Orlando City SC -1.25 20% 16% @ 6.00
Charlotte -1.5 17% 33% 2.90
Orlando City SC -1.5 15% 15% 6.40
Charlotte -1.75 15% 27% 3.45
Charlotte -2 12% 21% 4.40

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Charlotte vs Orlando City SC?

Our model's pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 72% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 76%.

Who is the favourite for Charlotte vs Orlando City SC?

Our model makes a Charlotte win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 2.0-1.7 scoreline for Charlotte vs Orlando City SC.

What is the predicted score for Charlotte vs Orlando City SC?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.98 for Charlotte and 1.72 for Orlando City SC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Charlotte and Orlando City SC play?

Kick-off is Saturday 31 October 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.