⚽ Major League Soccer
Charlotte vs Orlando City SC Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Charlotte vs Orlando City SC in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 31 October 2026, 17:00 UTC.
Result: Charlotte 4-0 Orlando City SC
Charlotte vs Orlando City SC finished 4-0. Charlotte won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, over 2.5 goals at 1.25, landed.
Charlotte face Orlando City SC in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Saturday 31 October 2026, 17:00 UTC. Recent form: Charlotte have 1 win from their last 5, while Orlando City SC have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Charlotte won 1, Orlando City SC won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Charlotte win the most likely result at 39%, projecting a 2.0-1.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Charlotte vs Orlando City SC with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 4.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| 2 | 4.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| 3 | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| 4 | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Charlotte vs Orlando City SC comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 72% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Charlotte win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean over 2.5 (72%), both teams to score points yes (70%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Charlotte and Orlando City SC. Wins shown from Charlotte’s perspective: Charlotte 1 · 1 drawn · Orlando City SC 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-31 | Charlotte | 4 – 0 | Orlando City SC | W |
| 2026-04-22 | Orlando City SC | 4 – 1 | Charlotte | L |
| 2024-10-27 | Orlando City SC | 2 – 0 | Charlotte | L |
| 2024-09-19 | Orlando City SC | 2 – 0 | Charlotte | L |
| 2024-06-19 | Charlotte | 2 – 2 | Orlando City SC | D |
📈 Recent form
Charlotte come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Orlando City SC. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at Portland Timbers.
- WCharlotte 4-0 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
- WCharlotte 4-0 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
- LPortland Timbers 3-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
- DPhiladelphia Union 2-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
- LColumbus Crew 3-1 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
Orlando City SC come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to DC United. Their only defeat in that run was 0-4 at Charlotte.
- LCharlotte 4-0 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
- DChicago Fire 2-2 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
- DOrlando City SC 2-2 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
- WOrlando City SC 4-1 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
- DToronto FC 3-3 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- N. BerchimasFoot Injury
- W. ClearyIllness
- A. GoodwinFoot Injury
- A. JohnShoulder Injury
- T. ReamAchilles Tendon Injury
- D. BrekaloSuspended (cards)
- G. DorseyBack Injury
- R. JanssonFoot Injury
- T. SpicerFoot Injury
🧩 Line-ups
Orlando City SC
Coach: M. Perelman
Charlotte
Coach: D. Smith
Official line-ups as announced by the clubs before kick-off.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Charlotte at 39% to win and Orlando City SC at 35%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Charlotte win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Win | 39% | 51% | @ 1.85 |
| Orlando City SC Win | 35% | 28% | @ 3.40 |
| Draw | 26% | 21% | @ 4.50 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Charlotte or Draw at 1.30 (65% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte or Draw | 65% | 72% | @ 1.30 |
| Orlando City SC or Draw | 62% | 49% | @ 1.91 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-1.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 72% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 89% | @ 1.07 |
| Over 2.5 | 72% | 76% | @ 1.25 |
| Over 3.5 | 51% | 56% | @ 1.67 |
| Under 3.5 | 49% | 44% | @ 2.10 |
| Under 2.5 | 28% | 24% | @ 4.00 |
| Under 1.5 | 12% | 11% | @ 9.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 70%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 70% | 72% | @ 1.30 |
| BTTS No | 30% | 28% | @ 3.40 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Charlotte or Orlando City SC is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando City SC +2 | 88% | 79% | @ 1.20 |
| Orlando City SC +1.75 | 85% | 73% | @ 1.30 |
| Charlotte +1.5 | 85% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Orlando City SC +1.5 | 83% | 67% | @ 1.41 |
| Charlotte +1.25 | 80% | 84% | 1.12 |
| Orlando City SC +1.25 | 77% | 64% | @ 1.49 |
| Charlotte +1 | 75% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Orlando City SC +1 | 72% | 60% | @ 1.59 |
| Charlotte +0.75 | 70% | 76% | 1.23 |
| Orlando City SC +0.75 | 67% | 53% | @ 1.79 |
| Charlotte +0.5 | 65% | 72% | 1.32 |
| Orlando City SC +0.5 | 62% | 48% | @ 2.00 |
| Charlotte +0.25 | 58% | 69% | 1.38 |
| Orlando City SC +0.25 | 55% | 43% | @ 2.24 |
| Charlotte 0 | 52% | 65% | 1.46 |
| Orlando City SC 0 | 48% | 35% | @ 2.72 |
| Charlotte -0.25 | 45% | 57% | 1.66 |
| Orlando City SC -0.25 | 42% | 31% | @ 3.04 |
| Charlotte -0.5 | 38% | 52% | 1.84 |
| Orlando City SC -0.5 | 35% | 28% | @ 3.37 |
| Charlotte -0.75 | 33% | 47% | 2.04 |
| Orlando City SC -0.75 | 30% | 24% | @ 4.00 |
| Charlotte -1 | 28% | 40% | 2.37 |
| Orlando City SC -1 | 25% | 17% | @ 5.75 |
| Charlotte -1.25 | 23% | 36% | 2.63 |
| Orlando City SC -1.25 | 20% | 16% | @ 6.00 |
| Charlotte -1.5 | 17% | 33% | 2.90 |
| Orlando City SC -1.5 | 15% | 15% | 6.40 |
| Charlotte -1.75 | 15% | 27% | 3.45 |
| Charlotte -2 | 12% | 21% | 4.40 |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Charlotte vs Orlando City SC?
Our model's pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 72% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 76%.
Who is the favourite for Charlotte vs Orlando City SC?
Our model makes a Charlotte win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 2.0-1.7 scoreline for Charlotte vs Orlando City SC.
What is the predicted score for Charlotte vs Orlando City SC?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.98 for Charlotte and 1.72 for Orlando City SC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Charlotte and Orlando City SC play?
Kick-off is Saturday 31 October 2026, 17:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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