⚽ Major League Soccer
Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 20 September 2026, 01:30 UTC.
Result: Nashville SC 3-0 Chicago Fire
Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire finished 3-0. Nashville SC won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, both teams to score at 1.53, did not land.
Nashville SC face Chicago Fire in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Sunday 20 September 2026, 01:30 UTC. Recent form: Nashville SC have 2 wins from their last 5, while Chicago Fire have 0 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Nashville SC won 3, Chicago Fire won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Nashville SC win the most likely result at 47%, projecting a 1.9-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 7.7% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| 2 | 7.4% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| 3 | 4.7% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 4 | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Chicago Fire with a +1.75 start at odds 1.30, the selection our model is most confident in at 80%. On the match result, the model rates a Nashville SC win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 47%. Goals lean over 2.5 (62%), both teams to score points yes (62%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Nashville SC and Chicago Fire. Wins shown from Nashville SC’s perspective: Nashville SC 3 · Chicago Fire 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Nashville SC | 3 – 0 | Chicago Fire | W |
| 2026-04-05 | Chicago Fire | 1 – 0 | Nashville SC | L |
| 2024-10-20 | Chicago Fire | 0 – 3 | Nashville SC | W |
| 2024-09-19 | Nashville SC | 1 – 0 | Chicago Fire | W |
| 2023-07-09 | Chicago Fire | 1 – 0 | Nashville SC | L |
📈 Recent form
Nashville SC come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to FC Cincinnati. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Toronto FC.
- WNashville SC 3-0 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
- DInter Miami 2-2 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
- LToronto FC 2-1 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
- DNew York City FC 0-0 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
- WNashville SC 4-0 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
Chicago Fire come into this game with 0 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 12. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Nashville SC.
- LNashville SC 3-0 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
- LChicago Fire 1-2 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- DChicago Fire 1-1 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
- DToronto FC 4-4 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
- DSeattle Sounders 2-2 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Nashville SC at 47% to win and Chicago Fire at 26%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Nashville SC win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC Win | 47% | 53% | @ 1.80 |
| Draw | 27% | 23% | @ 4.20 |
| Chicago Fire Win | 26% | 24% | @ 3.90 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Nashville SC or Draw at 1.25 (73% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC or Draw | 73% | 76% | @ 1.25 |
| Chicago Fire or Draw | 52% | 47% | @ 1.95 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 62% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 84% | @ 1.12 |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 64% | @ 1.48 |
| Under 3.5 | 60% | 56% | @ 1.67 |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 44% | @ 2.10 |
| Under 2.5 | 38% | 36% | @ 2.60 |
| Under 1.5 | 17% | 16% | @ 6.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 62%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 61% | @ 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 38% | 39% | @ 2.38 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Nashville SC or Chicago Fire is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire +2 | 83% | 79% | 1.19 |
| Nashville SC +1 | 81% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Chicago Fire +1.75 | 80% | 73% | @ 1.30 |
| Nashville SC +0.75 | 77% | 80% | 1.18 |
| Chicago Fire +1.5 | 76% | 67% | @ 1.43 |
| Nashville SC +0.5 | 73% | 75% | 1.26 |
| Chicago Fire +1.25 | 70% | 63% | @ 1.51 |
| Nashville SC +0.25 | 67% | 73% | 1.30 |
| Chicago Fire +1 | 64% | 58% | @ 1.64 |
| Nashville SC 0 | 60% | 69% | 1.38 |
| Chicago Fire +0.75 | 58% | 51% | @ 1.88 |
| Nashville SC -0.25 | 54% | 61% | 1.56 |
| Chicago Fire +0.5 | 52% | 45% | @ 2.10 |
| Nashville SC -0.5 | 48% | 55% | 1.75 |
| Chicago Fire +0.25 | 46% | 39% | @ 2.44 |
| Nashville SC -0.75 | 42% | 49% | 1.98 |
| Chicago Fire 0 | 40% | 31% | @ 3.12 |
| Nashville SC -1 | 36% | 42% | 2.30 |
| Chicago Fire -0.25 | 33% | 27% | @ 3.57 |
| Nashville SC -1.25 | 30% | 37% | 2.59 |
| Chicago Fire -0.5 | 27% | 25% | @ 3.87 |
| Nashville SC -1.5 | 24% | 33% | 2.87 |
| Chicago Fire -0.75 | 23% | 20% | @ 4.80 |
| Nashville SC -1.75 | 20% | 27% | 3.56 |
| Chicago Fire -1 | 19% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
| Nashville SC -2 | 17% | 21% | 4.50 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire?
Our model's main pick is Chicago Fire with a +1.75 start at odds 1.30, with a 80% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 73%.
Who is the favourite for Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire?
Our model makes a Nashville SC win the most likely result at 47%. It projects an expected 1.9-1.3 scoreline for Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire.
What is the predicted score for Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.90 for Nashville SC and 1.30 for Chicago Fire. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Nashville SC and Chicago Fire play?
Kick-off is Sunday 20 September 2026, 01:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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