Sat 31 Oct1-1Finished

⚽ Major League Soccer

New York City FC vs CF Montreal Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for New York City FC vs CF Montreal in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 31 October 2026, 18:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: New York City FC 1-1 CF Montreal

New York City FC vs CF Montreal finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.57, landed.

New York City FC face CF Montreal in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Saturday 31 October 2026, 18:00 UTC. Recent form: New York City FC have no wins from their last 5, while CF Montreal have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, New York City FC won 2, CF Montreal won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a New York City FC win the most likely result at 42%, projecting a 1.8-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for New York City FC vs CF Montreal with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.57

66%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.83 – 1.09 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.4%	5.9%	3.2%	1.2%	0.3%
1	9.9%	10.8%	5.9%	2.1%	0.6%
2	9.0%	9.8%	5.4%	1.9%	0.5%
3	5.5%	6.0%	3.3%	1.2%	0.3%
4	2.5%	2.7%	1.5%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

New York City FC winDrawCF Montreal win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for New York City FC vs CF Montreal comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.57, with a 66% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a New York City FC win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 42%. Goals lean over 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points yes (56%).

📊 Key numbers

New York City FC 42%Draw 31%CF Montreal 27%

42%31%27%

42%

New York City FC Win

56%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between New York City FC and CF Montreal. Wins shown from New York City FC’s perspective: New York City FC 2 · 1 drawn · CF Montreal 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-10-31	New York City FC	1 – 1	CF Montreal	D
2026-04-25	CF Montreal	1 – 0	New York City FC	L
2024-10-20	CF Montreal	2 – 0	New York City FC	L
2024-07-03	New York City FC	2 – 0	CF Montreal	W
2023-08-30	New York City FC	2 – 0	CF Montreal	W

📈 Recent form

New York City FC

New York City FC come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Atlanta United FC. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Inter Miami.

DNew York City FC 1-1 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
WNew York City FC 2-1 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
DOrlando City SC 2-2 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
DNew York City FC 1-1 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
LInter Miami 2-0 New York City FCMajor League Soccer

CF Montreal

CF Montreal come into this game with no wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 9. Their most recent defeat was 0-4 at Charlotte.

DNew York City FC 1-1 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
LCharlotte 4-0 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
LCF Montreal 0-2 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
DCF Montreal 1-1 ForgeCanadian Championship
DSeattle Sounders 1-1 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 11 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

New York City FC

D. BaieraKnee Injury
A. FarnosLeg Injury
A. MartinezThigh Injury
M. MoralezKnee Injury
A. O'NeillInjury
K. TrewinAnkle Injury

CF Montreal

B. CeballosLower-Body Injury
T. GillierUpper-Body Injury
B. HidalgoGroin Injury
J. NealLower-Body Injury
P. OwusuLower-Body Injury

🧩 Line-ups

CF Montreal 4-2-3-1

41Keita

27Bugaj

5Craig

4Vera

28Radojević

6Piette

7Pereira

18Synchuk

29Escobar

16Carmona

10Sánchez

9Traoré

11Magno

26Ojeda

8Perea

7Fernández Mercau

32Shore

22O'Toole

6Sands

13Martins

24Gray

49Freese

New York City FC 4-3-3

CF Montreal

Official starting XI (4-2-3-1)

Coach: Philippe Eullaffroy

Substitutes13Petrasso14Ríos17Sealy23Streit24Morales22Loturi8Longstaff21Herbers1Breza

New York City FC

Official starting XI (4-3-3)

Coach: P. Jansen

Substitutes2Cavallo27Flax88Jones20Hanri3Miazga55Parks34Gustavo30Romero17Wolf

Official line-ups as announced by the clubs before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices New York City FC at 42% to win and CF Montreal at 27%, with the draw at 31%. Our model makes a New York City FC win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
New York City FC Win	42%	68%	@ 1.40
Draw	31%	19%	@ 5.00
CF Montreal Win	27%	14%	@ 7.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is New York City FC or Draw at 1.10 (71% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
New York City FC or Draw	71%	86%	@ 1.10
CF Montreal or Draw	55%	32%	@ 2.75

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	79%	81%	@ 1.17
Under 3.5	66%	59%	@ 1.57
Over 2.5	56%	61%	@ 1.53
Under 2.5	44%	39%	@ 2.40
Over 3.5	34%	41%	@ 2.25
Under 1.5	21%	19%	@ 5.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	56%	53%	@ 1.75
BTTS No	44%	47%	@ 2.00

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when New York City FC or CF Montreal is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
CF Montreal +2	85%	68%	@ 1.39
CF Montreal +1.75	81%	61%	@ 1.56
CF Montreal +1.5	78%	55%	@ 1.74
CF Montreal +1.25	72%	49%	@ 1.97
New York City FC +0.5	71%	85%	1.12
CF Montreal +1	67%	41%	@ 2.34
New York City FC +0.25	64%	84%	1.13
CF Montreal +0.75	61%	36%	@ 2.63
New York City FC 0	58%	–	1.17
CF Montreal +0.5	55%	32%	@ 2.92
New York City FC -0.25	51%	74%	1.27
CF Montreal +0.25	49%	26%	@ 3.67
New York City FC -0.5	45%	68%	1.40
New York City FC -0.75	39%	64%	1.49
CF Montreal -0.25	36%	16%	@ 5.90
New York City FC -1	33%	59%	1.64
CF Montreal -0.5	29%	15%	@ 6.40
New York City FC -1.25	28%	51%	1.86
New York City FC -1.5	22%	45%	2.10
New York City FC -1.75	19%	39%	2.42
New York City FC -2	15%	32%	2.98

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for New York City FC vs CF Montreal?

Our model's pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.57, with a 66% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 59%.

Who is the favourite for New York City FC vs CF Montreal?

Our model makes a New York City FC win the most likely result at 42%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.1 scoreline for New York City FC vs CF Montreal.

What is the predicted score for New York City FC vs CF Montreal?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.83 for New York City FC and 1.09 for CF Montreal. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do New York City FC and CF Montreal play?

Kick-off is Saturday 31 October 2026, 18:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.