Wed 4 Nov1-2Finished

⚽ UEFA Champions League

PSV Eindhoven vs Club Brugge KV Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for PSV Eindhoven vs Club Brugge KV in the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off Wednesday 04 November 2026, 20:00 UTC.

Result: PSV Eindhoven 1-2 Club Brugge KV

PSV Eindhoven vs Club Brugge KV finished 1-2. Club Brugge KV won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The best bet on this page, over 2.5 goals at 1.36, landed.

PSV Eindhoven face Club Brugge KV in the upcoming UEFA Champions League tips, kicking off Wednesday 04 November 2026, 20:00 UTC. Recent form: PSV Eindhoven have 1 win from their last 3, while Club Brugge KV have 2 wins from their last 3. The bookmaker market makes a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely result at 47%, implying a 2.1-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for PSV Eindhoven vs Club Brugge KV with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Market pick
Over 2.5 @ 1.36
70%Bookmaker odds imply 70%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 2.07 – 1.64 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 2.5% 4.0% 3.3% 1.8% 0.7%
1 5.1% 8.3% 6.8% 3.7% 1.5%
2 5.2% 8.6% 7.1% 3.9% 1.6%
3 3.6% 5.9% 4.9% 2.7% 1.1%
4 1.9% 3.1% 2.5% 1.4% 0.6%
Projected score: 2-1
PSV Eindhoven winDrawClub Brugge KV win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for PSV Eindhoven vs Club Brugge KV comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 70% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean over 2.5 (81%), both teams to score points yes (78%).

📊 Key numbers

PSV Eindhoven 40%Draw 26%Club Brugge KV 35%
40%26%35%
40%
PSV Eindhoven Win
81%
Over 2.5 goals
78%
BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

PSV Eindhoven

PSV Eindhoven come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 7-0 at home to Willem II. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Club Brugge KV.

  • LPSV Eindhoven 1-2 Club Brugge KVUEFA Champions League
  • WPSV Eindhoven 7-0 Willem IIEredivisie
  • DPSV Eindhoven 1-1 FeyenoordEredivisie
  • WFC Porto 0-1 PSV EindhovenUEFA Champions League
  • LADO Den Haag 2-1 PSV EindhovenEredivisie
Club Brugge KV

Club Brugge KV come into this game with 5 wins from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Lens. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

  • WPSV Eindhoven 1-2 Club Brugge KVUEFA Champions League
  • WZulte Waregem 2-4 Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
  • WClub Brugge KV 3-2 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
  • WClub Brugge KV 3-0 LensUEFA Champions League
  • WClub Brugge KV 1-0 Lokeren-TemseCup

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

PSV Eindhoven
  • A. NagaloInjury
  • S. OuaissaMuscle Injury
  • A. PleaSurgery
  • J. SchoutenKnee Injury
  • S. LammersLacking Match Fitness
  • P. WannerFoot Injury
Club Brugge KV
  • J. OrdonezFoot Injury

🧩 Line-ups

Club Brugge KV 4-1-4-1
1Sommer
64Sabbe
58Spileers
44Mechele
65Seys
8Potts
9Forbs
10Vetlesen
20Vanaken
11Virgili
7Tresoldi
7van Bommel
20Til
5Perišić
17Júnior
21Mijnans
24Sano
18Kostić
4Obispo
2Geertruida
8Dest
32Kovář
PSV Eindhoven 4-3-3

Club Brugge KV

Official starting XI (4-1-4-1)

Coach: I. Leko

Substitutes62Audoor32Dams67Diakhon29Jackers3Han-Beom80Lemaréchal39Robberechts41Siquet16Tsawa81Driessche77Vasovic17Vermant

PSV Eindhoven

Official starting XI (4-3-3)

Coach: P. Bosz

Substitutes23Hansen31Fernandez6Flamingo3Gasiorowski27Man1Olij9Pepi35Santos25Sildillia51Smolenaars19Bajraktarevic

Official line-ups as announced by the clubs before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices PSV Eindhoven at 40% to win and Club Brugge KV at 35%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
PSV Eindhoven Win 40% 47% @ 2.00
Club Brugge KV Win 35% 31% @ 3.10
Draw 26% 22% @ 4.33

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is PSV Eindhoven or Draw at 1.36 (66% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
PSV Eindhoven or Draw 66% 69% @ 1.36
Club Brugge KV or Draw 61% 53% @ 1.73

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.1-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 81% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 93% 86% @ 1.10
Over 2.5 81% 72% @ 1.33
Over 3.5 63% 53% @ 1.80
Under 3.5 37% 47% @ 2.00
Under 2.5 19% 28% @ 3.40
Under 1.5 7% 14% @ 7.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 78%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 78% 71% @ 1.33
BTTS No 22% 29% @ 3.25

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when PSV Eindhoven or Club Brugge KV is a clear favourite.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Club Brugge KV +2 88% 83% @ 1.15
PSV Eindhoven +1.75 88% 86% 1.10
PSV Eindhoven +1.5 85% 84% 1.13
Club Brugge KV +1.75 85% 76% @ 1.24
Club Brugge KV +1.5 82% 71% @ 1.33
PSV Eindhoven +1.25 80% 83% 1.14
Club Brugge KV +1.25 77% 67% @ 1.41
PSV Eindhoven +1 75% 82% 1.16
Club Brugge KV +1 71% 64% @ 1.50
PSV Eindhoven +0.75 70% 75% 1.26
Club Brugge KV +0.75 66% 57% @ 1.67
PSV Eindhoven +0.5 66% 70% 1.35
Club Brugge KV +0.5 61% 51% @ 1.89
PSV Eindhoven +0.25 59% 66% 1.43
Club Brugge KV +0.25 54% 46% @ 2.08
PSV Eindhoven 0 52% 62% 1.52
Club Brugge KV 0 48% 38% @ 2.48
PSV Eindhoven -0.25 46% 54% 1.75
Club Brugge KV -0.25 41% 34% @ 2.81
PSV Eindhoven -0.5 39% 49% 2.00
Club Brugge KV -0.5 34% 30% @ 3.15
PSV Eindhoven -0.75 34% 43% 2.19
Club Brugge KV -0.75 30% 25% @ 3.80
PSV Eindhoven -1 29% 36% 2.60
Club Brugge KV -1 25% 18% @ 5.25
PSV Eindhoven -1.25 23% 33% 2.88
Club Brugge KV -1.25 20% 17% @ 5.75
PSV Eindhoven -1.5 18% 29% 3.27
PSV Eindhoven -1.75 15% 24% 3.90
Club Brugge KV -1.5 15% 16% 5.90
Club Brugge KV -1.75 12% 14% 7.00
PSV Eindhoven -2 12% 17% 5.50

📈 How the market moved

18%35%51%10/3010/3111/0111/0211/0311/04

PSV Eindhoven 47%Draw 22%Club Brugge KV 31%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for PSV Eindhoven vs Club Brugge KV?

Our pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 70% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.

Who is the favourite for PSV Eindhoven vs Club Brugge KV?

Our model makes a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 2.1-1.6 scoreline for PSV Eindhoven vs Club Brugge KV.

What is the predicted score for PSV Eindhoven vs Club Brugge KV?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.07 for PSV Eindhoven and 1.64 for Club Brugge KV. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do PSV Eindhoven and Club Brugge KV play?

Kick-off is Wednesday 04 November 2026, 20:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.