⚽ Championship
Wrexham vs Middlesbrough Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Wrexham vs Middlesbrough in the Championship. Kick-off Wednesday 04 November 2026, 19:45 UTC.
Result: Wrexham 2-0 Middlesbrough
Wrexham vs Middlesbrough finished 2-0. Wrexham won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, both teams to score at 1.62, did not land.
Wrexham face Middlesbrough in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Wednesday 04 November 2026, 19:45 UTC. Recent form: Wrexham have 2 wins from their last 5, while Middlesbrough have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 3 meetings, Wrexham won 1, Middlesbrough won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Middlesbrough win the most likely result at 39%, projecting a 1.5-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Wrexham vs Middlesbrough with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| 2 | 4.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| 3 | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Wrexham vs Middlesbrough comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is both teams to score at odds 1.62, with a 64% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Middlesbrough win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean over 2.5 (63%), both teams to score points yes (64%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 3 meetings between Wrexham and Middlesbrough. Wins shown from Wrexham’s perspective: Wrexham 1 · 1 drawn · Middlesbrough 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-04 | Wrexham | 2 – 0 | Middlesbrough | W |
| 2026-08-07 | Middlesbrough | 1 – 0 | Wrexham | L |
| 2026-05-02 | Wrexham | 2 – 2 | Middlesbrough | D |
📈 Recent form
Wrexham come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Preston. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Sheffield Utd.
- WWrexham 2-0 MiddlesbroughChampionship
- LSheffield Utd 1-0 WrexhamChampionship
- LBlackburn 2-0 WrexhamChampionship
- WWrexham 4-1 PrestonChampionship
- LWrexham 1-2 West BromChampionship
Middlesbrough come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at Bolton. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Wrexham.
- LWrexham 2-0 MiddlesbroughChampionship
- WMiddlesbrough 3-0 CharltonChampionship
- WBolton 1-5 MiddlesbroughChampionship
- DMiddlesbrough 2-2 CardiffChampionship
- WStoke City 2-3 MiddlesbroughChampionship
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- N. BroadheadThigh Injury
- L. CacaceCalf Injury
- J. WindassAnkle Injury
- S. RevanHamstring Injury
- A. JonesCalf Injury
- R. PukstasInjury
🧩 Line-ups
Middlesbrough
Coach: K. Hellberg
Wrexham
Coach: P. Parkinson
Official line-ups as announced by the clubs before kick-off.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Wrexham at 36% to win and Middlesbrough at 39%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a Middlesbrough win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough Win | 39% | 54% | @ 1.75 |
| Wrexham Win | 36% | 22% | @ 4.20 |
| Draw | 25% | 24% | @ 3.90 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Middlesbrough or Draw at 1.22 (65% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough or Draw | 65% | 78% | @ 1.22 |
| Wrexham or Draw | 61% | 46% | @ 2.00 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 63% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 79% | @ 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 59% | @ 1.62 |
| Under 3.5 | 59% | 64% | @ 1.50 |
| Over 3.5 | 41% | 36% | @ 2.62 |
| Under 2.5 | 37% | 41% | @ 2.30 |
| Under 1.5 | 16% | 21% | @ 4.50 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 64%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 58% | @ 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 36% | 42% | @ 2.20 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Wrexham or Middlesbrough is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wrexham +2 | 88% | 79% | @ 1.19 |
| Wrexham +1.75 | 85% | 73% | @ 1.30 |
| Wrexham +1.5 | 82% | 68% | @ 1.41 |
| Wrexham +1.25 | 77% | 63% | @ 1.50 |
| Wrexham +1 | 72% | 58% | @ 1.64 |
| Middlesbrough +0.75 | 70% | 83% | 1.15 |
| Wrexham +0.75 | 67% | 50% | @ 1.92 |
| Middlesbrough +0.5 | 65% | 77% | 1.22 |
| Wrexham +0.5 | 61% | 45% | @ 2.13 |
| Middlesbrough +0.25 | 58% | 75% | 1.27 |
| Wrexham +0.25 | 55% | 38% | @ 2.50 |
| Middlesbrough 0 | 52% | 71% | 1.33 |
| Wrexham 0 | 48% | 29% | @ 3.33 |
| Middlesbrough -0.25 | 45% | 62% | 1.53 |
| Wrexham -0.25 | 42% | 25% | @ 3.77 |
| Middlesbrough -0.5 | 39% | 55% | 1.73 |
| Wrexham -0.5 | 35% | 23% | @ 4.15 |
| Middlesbrough -0.75 | 33% | 50% | 1.95 |
| Wrexham -0.75 | 30% | 17% | @ 5.50 |
| Middlesbrough -1 | 28% | 42% | 2.28 |
| Middlesbrough -1.25 | 23% | 37% | 2.58 |
| Middlesbrough -1.5 | 18% | 32% | 2.92 |
| Middlesbrough -1.75 | 15% | 27% | 3.58 |
| Middlesbrough -2 | 12% | 21% | 4.50 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Wrexham vs Middlesbrough?
Our model's pick is both teams to score at odds 1.62, with a 64% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 58%.
Who is the favourite for Wrexham vs Middlesbrough?
Our model makes a Middlesbrough win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.8 scoreline for Wrexham vs Middlesbrough.
What is the predicted score for Wrexham vs Middlesbrough?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.48 for Wrexham and 1.77 for Middlesbrough. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Wrexham and Middlesbrough play?
Kick-off is Wednesday 04 November 2026, 19:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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