Leganes

Fri 13 Nov19:30Upcoming

Burgos

⚽ Segunda División

Leganes vs Burgos Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Leganes vs Burgos in the Segunda División. Kick-off Friday 13 November 2026, 19:30 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Leganes face Burgos in the Segunda División, kicking off Friday 13 November 2026, 19:30 UTC. Recent form: Leganes have no wins from their last 5, while Burgos have 3 wins from their last 5. The bookmaker market makes a Leganes win the most likely result at 43%, implying a 1.3-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Leganes vs Burgos with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Leganes win	43%
Draw	29%
Burgos win	28%
Over 2.5 goals	42%
Both teams to score	48%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.30 – 1.00 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.0%	10.0%	5.0%	1.7%	0.4%
1	13.0%	13.0%	6.5%	2.2%	0.5%
2	8.5%	8.5%	4.2%	1.4%	0.4%
3	3.7%	3.7%	1.8%	0.6%	0.2%
4	1.2%	1.2%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

Leganes winDrawBurgos win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Leganes vs Burgos. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Leganes win is the most likely result at 43%. Goals lean under 2.5 at 58%. Both teams to score: no at 52%.

📊 Key numbers

Leganes 43%Draw 29%Burgos 28%

43%29%28%

43%

Leganes Win

58%

Under 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Leganes

Leganes come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 12. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to Albacete.

LLeganes 1-3 AlbaceteSegunda División
LValladolid 4-3 LeganesSegunda División
DLeganes 1-1 MallorcaSegunda División
LLeganes 0-1 CordobaSegunda División
LAlmeria 3-0 LeganesSegunda División

Burgos

Burgos come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-2 at Laredo. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to Granada CF.

DBurgos 1-1 CastellónSegunda División
WLaredo 2-4 BurgosCopa del Rey
WFC Andorra 2-3 BurgosSegunda División
WBurgos 1-0 SabadellSegunda División
LBurgos 0-1 Granada CFSegunda División

🧩 Likely line-ups & team news

Burgos 4-4-2

13Cantero

2Álex

15Luengo

18Cerro

22Martínez

23Dadie

12Vencedor

4Galdames

11Mollejo

9Forés

16Sánchez

9Millán

22Sancris

14Rodríguez

8Kechta

17Gharbi

24Diawara

15Franquesa

3Montero

4Pulido

7Peña

1Fernández

Leganes 4-2-3-1

Burgos

Last starting XI (4-4-2) vs Celta de Vigo II, 07/11

Unavailable: No reported absences

Coach: Sergio Francisco

Bench last match10Appin17Cantero5Expósito21Garcia3Vilarrasa6González20Gragera1Iribarne19Llabrés36Martinez30Monedero31Ribas

Leganes

Last starting XI (4-2-3-1) vs Valladolid, 02/11

Unavailable: No reported absences

Coach: Luis Carrión

Bench last match2Marvel10Buurmeester18Campos32Mohamed11García38González39Martínez21Morata19Soko40Moreno13Zidane16del Cura

Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Leganes at 43% to win and Burgos at 28%, with the draw at 29%. The bookmaker market makes a Leganes win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Leganes Win	43%	@ 2.20
Draw	29%	@ 3.20
Burgos Win	28%	@ 3.40

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Leganes or Draw at 1.30 (72% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Leganes or Draw	72%	@ 1.30
Burgos or Draw	57%	@ 1.67

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.3-1.0 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 58% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	77%	@ 1.22
Over 1.5	69%	@ 1.36
Under 2.5	58%	@ 1.62
Over 2.5	42%	@ 2.25
Under 1.5	31%	@ 3.00
Over 3.5	23%	@ 4.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	51%	@ 1.80
BTTS Yes	49%	@ 1.91

📈 How the market moved

Leganes 43%Draw 30%Burgos 28%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Leganes vs Burgos?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Leganes win is the most likely result at 43%.

Who is the favourite for Leganes vs Burgos?

Our model makes a Leganes win the most likely result at 43%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.0 scoreline for Leganes vs Burgos.

What is the predicted score for Leganes vs Burgos?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.30 for Leganes and 1.00 for Burgos. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Leganes and Burgos play?

Kick-off is Friday 13 November 2026, 19:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.