SloveniaSlovenia
Fri 13 Nov19:45Upcoming
SwitzerlandSwitzerland

⚽ UEFA Nations League

Slovenia vs Switzerland Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Slovenia vs Switzerland in the UEFA Nations League. Kick-off Friday 13 November 2026, 19:45 UTC.

Slovenia face Switzerland in the UEFA Nations League, kicking off Friday 13 November 2026, 19:45 UTC. Recent form: Slovenia have 2 wins from their last 4, while Switzerland have 4 wins from their last 4. The bookmaker market makes a Switzerland win the most likely result at 56%, implying a 0.8-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Slovenia vs Switzerland with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome Market %
Slovenia win 17%
Draw 27%
Switzerland win 56%
Over 2.5 goals 44%
Both teams to score 44%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 0.80 – 1.60 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 9.1% 14.5% 11.6% 6.2% 2.5%
1 7.3% 11.6% 9.3% 5.0% 2.0%
2 2.9% 4.6% 3.7% 2.0% 0.8%
3 0.8% 1.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Projected score: 0-1
Slovenia winDrawSwitzerland win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Slovenia vs Switzerland. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Switzerland win is the most likely result at 56%. Goals lean under 2.5 at 56%. Both teams to score: no at 56%.

📊 Key numbers

Slovenia 17%Draw 27%Switzerland 56%
17%27%56%
56%
Switzerland Win
56%
Under 2.5 goals
56%
BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Slovenia

Slovenia come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to North Macedonia. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Switzerland.

  • WScotland 1-2 SloveniaUEFA Nations League
  • LSwitzerland 2-1 SloveniaUEFA Nations League
  • WSlovenia 2-0 North MacedoniaUEFA Nations League
  • DSlovenia 0-0 ScotlandUEFA Nations League
  • LCroatia 2-1 SloveniaFriendlies
Switzerland

Switzerland come into this game with 5 wins from their last 5, scoring 15 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to North Macedonia. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

  • WSwitzerland 3-0 North MacedoniaUEFA Nations League
  • WSwitzerland 2-1 SloveniaUEFA Nations League
  • WScotland 0-3 SwitzerlandUEFA Nations League
  • WNorth Macedonia 0-3 SwitzerlandUEFA Nations League
  • WSwitzerland 4-1 JordanFriendlies

🧩 Likely line-ups & team news

Switzerland 4-2-3-1
12Mvogo
2Britschgi
4Elvedi
5Akanji
13Rodríguez
8Freuler
6Sierro
15Sow
22Rieder
11Ndoye
10Amdouni
18Vipotnik
15Šturm
22Čerin
4Zabukovnik
20Matko
13Janža
17Zec
6Bijol
23Brekalo
2Karničnik
1Oblak
Slovenia 5-4-1

Switzerland

Last starting XI (4-2-3-1) vs North Macedonia, 06/10

Unavailable: No reported absences

Coach: M. Yakin

Bench last match20Aebischer23Sanches16Athekame3Bajrami19Mokango18Cömert17Itten14Jashari21Keller9Manzambi7Monteiro1Racioppi

Slovenia

Last starting XI (5-4-1) vs Scotland, 06/10

Unavailable: No reported absences

Coach: B. Cesar

Bench last match11Celar21Drkušić10Elšnik19Horvat5Kuzmić8Lovrić14Svetlin7Urbančič16Vekič12Vidovšek3Balkovec9Begić

Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Slovenia at 17% to win and Switzerland at 56%, with the draw at 27%. The bookmaker market makes a Switzerland win the most likely outcome.

Selection Market % Odds
Switzerland Win 56% @ 1.67
Draw 27% @ 3.50
Slovenia Win 17% @ 5.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Switzerland or Draw at 1.14 (83% market).

Selection Market % Odds
Switzerland or Draw 83% @ 1.14
Slovenia or Draw 44% @ 2.15

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 0.8-1.6 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection Market % Odds
Under 3.5 77% @ 1.22
Over 1.5 69% @ 1.36
Under 2.5 56% @ 1.67
Over 2.5 44% @ 2.15
Under 1.5 31% @ 3.00
Over 3.5 23% @ 4.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams not to score at 56%.

Selection Market % Odds
BTTS No 56% @ 1.67
BTTS Yes 44% @ 2.10

📈 How the market moved

12%37%61%11/0811/0911/1011/1111/12

Slovenia 17%Draw 27%Switzerland 56%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Slovenia vs Switzerland?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Switzerland win is the most likely result at 56%.

Who is the favourite for Slovenia vs Switzerland?

Our model makes a Switzerland win the most likely result at 56%. It projects an expected 0.8-1.6 scoreline for Slovenia vs Switzerland.

What is the predicted score for Slovenia vs Switzerland?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.80 for Slovenia and 1.60 for Switzerland. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Slovenia and Switzerland play?

Kick-off is Friday 13 November 2026, 19:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.