CzechiaCzechia
Thu 12 Nov19:45Upcoming
SpainSpain

⚽ UEFA Nations League

Czechia vs Spain Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Czechia vs Spain in the UEFA Nations League. Kick-off Thursday 12 November 2026, 19:45 UTC.

Czechia face Spain in the UEFA Nations League, kicking off Thursday 12 November 2026, 19:45 UTC. Recent form: Czechia have no wins from their last 4, while Spain have 4 wins from their last 4. The bookmaker market makes a Spain win the most likely result at 81%, implying a 0.7-2.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Czechia vs Spain with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome Market %
Czechia win 7%
Draw 12%
Spain win 81%
Over 2.5 goals 65%
Both teams to score 46%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 0.65 – 2.70 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 3.5% 9.5% 12.8% 11.5% 7.8%
1 2.3% 6.2% 8.3% 7.5% 5.0%
2 0.7% 2.0% 2.7% 2.4% 1.6%
3 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Projected score: 0-2
Czechia winDrawSpain win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Czechia vs Spain. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Spain win is the most likely result at 81%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 65%. Both teams to score: no at 54%.

📊 Key numbers

Czechia 7%Draw 12%Spain 81%
12%81%
81%
Spain Win
65%
Over 2.5 goals
54%
BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Czechia

Czechia come into this game with 5 defeats from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 13. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at England.

  • LEngland 3-0 CzechiaUEFA Nations League
  • LSpain 3-1 CzechiaUEFA Nations League
  • LCzechia 0-2 EnglandUEFA Nations League
  • LCzechia 1-2 CroatiaUEFA Nations League
  • LCzech Republic 3-1 GuatemalaFriendlies
Spain

Spain come into this game with 5 wins from their last 5, scoring 15 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Croatia. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

  • WCroatia 1-2 SpainUEFA Nations League
  • WSpain 3-1 CzechiaUEFA Nations League
  • WSpain 4-1 CroatiaUEFA Nations League
  • WEngland 2-3 SpainUEFA Nations League
  • WPeru 1-3 SpainFriendlies

🧩 Likely line-ups & team news

Spain 4-2-3-1
23Simón
12Pubill
5Paredes
14Laporte
22Cucurella
16Rodri
20Pedri
19Yamal
10Olmo
15Baena
21Oyarzabal
9Naderi
20Lingr
8Sadílek
13Ambros
21Král
7Šulc
7Sláma
14Vitík
4Hranáč
5Coufal
16Horníček
Czechia 4-2-3-1

Spain

Last starting XI (4-2-3-1) vs Croatia, 06/10

Unavailable: No reported absences

Coach: Luis de la Fuente

Bench last match4Fresneda17García2Huijsen3Normand13Martínez6Merino7Muñoz11Pino1Raya18Zubimendi9Fermín8Fernández

Czechia

Last starting XI (4-2-3-1) vs England, 06/10

Unavailable: No reported absences

Coach: Santi

Bench last match18Radosta10Hložek3Zmrzlý19Macek2Kricfalusi1Kovář23Kinský22Sáček12Šubert17Bucha6Vašulín11Sejk

Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Czechia at 7% to win and Spain at 81%, with the draw at 12%. The bookmaker market makes a Spain win the most likely outcome.

Selection Market % Odds
Spain Win 81% @ 1.18
Draw 12% @ 8.00
Czechia Win 7% @ 13.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Spain or Draw at 1.04 (93% market).

Selection Market % Odds
Spain or Draw 93% @ 1.04
Czechia or Draw 19% @ 4.50

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 0.7-2.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 65% probability.

Selection Market % Odds
Over 1.5 84% @ 1.12
Over 2.5 65% @ 1.44
Under 3.5 56% @ 1.67
Over 3.5 44% @ 2.10
Under 2.5 35% @ 2.70
Under 1.5 16% @ 6.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams not to score at 54%.

Selection Market % Odds
BTTS No 54% @ 1.73
BTTS Yes 46% @ 2.00

📈 How the market moved

2%45%87%11/0711/0811/0911/1011/1111/12

Czechia 7%Draw 12%Spain 80%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Czechia vs Spain?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Spain win is the most likely result at 81%.

Who is the favourite for Czechia vs Spain?

Our model makes a Spain win the most likely result at 81%. It projects an expected 0.7-2.7 scoreline for Czechia vs Spain.

What is the predicted score for Czechia vs Spain?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 0-2, based on expected goals of 0.65 for Czechia and 2.70 for Spain. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Czechia and Spain play?

Kick-off is Thursday 12 November 2026, 19:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.