Netherlands

Fri 13 Nov19:45Upcoming

Greece

⚽ UEFA Nations League

Netherlands vs Greece Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Netherlands vs Greece in the UEFA Nations League. Kick-off Friday 13 November 2026, 19:45 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Netherlands face Greece in the UEFA Nations League, kicking off Friday 13 November 2026, 19:45 UTC. Recent form: Netherlands have 2 wins from their last 3, while Greece have 2 wins from their last 4. The bookmaker market makes a Netherlands win the most likely result at 63%, implying a 2.1-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Netherlands vs Greece with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Netherlands win	63%
Draw	21%
Greece win	16%
Over 2.5 goals	59%
Both teams to score	54%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 2.10 – 0.95 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.7%	4.5%	2.1%	0.7%	0.2%
1	9.9%	9.4%	4.5%	1.4%	0.3%
2	10.4%	9.9%	4.7%	1.5%	0.4%
3	7.3%	6.9%	3.3%	1.0%	0.2%
4	3.8%	3.6%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 2-0

Netherlands winDrawGreece win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Netherlands vs Greece. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Netherlands win is the most likely result at 63%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 59%. Both teams to score: yes at 54%.

📊 Key numbers

Netherlands 63%Draw 21%Greece 16%

63%21%16%

63%

Netherlands Win

59%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Netherlands

Netherlands come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Serbia. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WNetherlands 2-1 SerbiaUEFA Nations League
DGreece 2-2 NetherlandsUEFA Nations League
WSerbia 1-2 NetherlandsUEFA Nations League
DNetherlands 1-1 GermanyUEFA Nations League
WNetherlands 2-1 UzbekistanFriendlies

Greece

Greece come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Germany. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to Italy.

DGreece 0-0 GermanyUEFA Nations League
DGreece 2-2 NetherlandsUEFA Nations League
WGermany 0-1 GreeceUEFA Nations League
WSerbia 1-2 GreeceUEFA Nations League
LGreece 0-1 ItalyFriendlies

🧩 Likely line-ups & team news

Greece 4-4-2

12Tzolakis

17Saliakas

4Mavropanos

3Koulierakis

21Tsimikas

7Masouras

6Kourbelis

20Zafeiris

23Kyziridis

14Pavlidis

8Ioannidis

10Lang

17Meerdink

7Summerville

14Reijnders

18Veerman

8Gravenberch

15Ven

20Koopmeiners

4Dijk

22Dumfries

1Verbruggen

Netherlands 4-3-3

Greece

Last starting XI (4-4-2) vs Germany, 04/10

Unavailable: No reported absences

Coach: Ivan Jovanović

Bench last match1Vlachodimos13Mandas2Tsapras5Retsos22Kyriakopoulos18Michailidis15Androutsos16Mouzakitis10Pelkas19Karetsas9Douvikas11Kostoulas

Netherlands

Last starting XI (4-3-3) vs Serbia, 04/10

Unavailable: No reported absences

Coach: Ronald Koeman

Bench last match9Zirkzee3Hato11Bommel21Zechiël6Timber13Roefs23Flekken5Aké2Frimpong12Timber16Til19Taylor

Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Netherlands at 63% to win and Greece at 16%, with the draw at 21%. The bookmaker market makes a Netherlands win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Netherlands Win	63%	@ 1.50
Draw	21%	@ 4.50
Greece Win	16%	@ 6.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Netherlands or Draw at 1.12 (84% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Netherlands or Draw	84%	@ 1.12
Greece or Draw	37%	@ 2.50

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 2.1-0.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 59% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	79%	@ 1.18
Under 3.5	62%	@ 1.50
Over 2.5	59%	@ 1.60
Under 2.5	41%	@ 2.30
Over 3.5	38%	@ 2.50
Under 1.5	21%	@ 4.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 54%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	54%	@ 1.73
BTTS No	46%	@ 2.00

📈 How the market moved

Netherlands 63%Draw 21%Greece 16%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Netherlands vs Greece?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Netherlands win is the most likely result at 63%.

Who is the favourite for Netherlands vs Greece?

Our model makes a Netherlands win the most likely result at 63%. It projects an expected 2.1-0.9 scoreline for Netherlands vs Greece.

What is the predicted score for Netherlands vs Greece?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.10 for Netherlands and 0.95 for Greece. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Netherlands and Greece play?

Kick-off is Friday 13 November 2026, 19:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.