Serbia

Fri 13 Nov19:45Upcoming

Germany

⚽ UEFA Nations League

Serbia vs Germany Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Serbia vs Germany in the UEFA Nations League. Kick-off Friday 13 November 2026, 19:45 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Serbia face Germany in the UEFA Nations League, kicking off Friday 13 November 2026, 19:45 UTC. Recent form: Serbia have no wins from their last 4, while Germany have 1 win from their last 3. The bookmaker market makes a Germany win the most likely result at 74%, implying a 0.9-2.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Serbia vs Germany with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Serbia win	11%
Draw	15%
Germany win	74%
Over 2.5 goals	67%
Both teams to score	54%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 0.90 – 2.60 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.0%	7.9%	10.2%	8.8%	5.7%
1	2.7%	7.1%	9.2%	8.0%	5.2%
2	1.2%	3.2%	4.1%	3.6%	2.3%
3	0.4%	1.0%	1.2%	1.1%	0.7%
4	0.1%	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%	0.2%

Projected score: 0-2

Serbia winDrawGermany win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Serbia vs Germany. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Germany win is the most likely result at 74%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 67%. Both teams to score: yes at 54%.

📊 Key numbers

Serbia 11%Draw 15%Germany 74%

11%15%74%

74%

Germany Win

67%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Serbia

Serbia come into this game with 5 defeats from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 13. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Netherlands.

LNetherlands 2-1 SerbiaUEFA Nations League
LGermany 2-0 SerbiaUEFA Nations League
LSerbia 1-2 NetherlandsUEFA Nations League
LSerbia 1-2 GreeceUEFA Nations League
LMexico 5-1 SerbiaFriendlies

Germany

Germany come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Serbia. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to Greece.

DGreece 0-0 GermanyUEFA Nations League
WGermany 2-0 SerbiaUEFA Nations League
LGermany 0-1 GreeceUEFA Nations League
DNetherlands 1-1 GermanyUEFA Nations League
WUSA 1-2 GermanyFriendlies

🧩 Likely line-ups & team news

Germany 4-4-2

1Urbig

13Treu

2Thiaw

3Anton

22Raum

15Karl

8Bischof

5Pavlovic

9Scherhant

17Wirtz

10Burkardt

10Tadić

18Cvetković

7Stanković

22Lukić

21Samardžić

17Terzić

3Pavlović

15Babić

19Gudelj

2Nedeljković

23Milinković-Savić

Serbia 5-3-2

Germany

Last starting XI (4-4-2) vs Greece, 04/10

Unavailable: No reported absences

Coach: Julian Nagelsmann

Bench last match12Dahmen21Atubolu18Mittelstadt4Jeltsch20Keidel23Janelt16Baku6Engelhardt7El Mala11Woltemade19Conte14Baur

Serbia

Last starting XI (5-3-2) vs Netherlands, 04/10

Unavailable: No reported absences

Coach: Dragan Stojković

Bench last match5Maksimović8Jović11Kostić14Živković6Gudelj1Rosić12Stanković4Mimović13Simić16Eraković20Dragojević9Joveljić

Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Serbia at 11% to win and Germany at 74%, with the draw at 15%. The bookmaker market makes a Germany win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Germany Win	74%	@ 1.28
Draw	15%	@ 6.25
Serbia Win	11%	@ 8.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Germany or Draw at 1.08 (89% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Germany or Draw	89%	@ 1.08
Serbia or Draw	26%	@ 3.50

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 0.9-2.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 67% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	85%	@ 1.11
Over 2.5	67%	@ 1.40
Under 3.5	54%	@ 1.73
Over 3.5	46%	@ 2.00
Under 2.5	33%	@ 2.88
Under 1.5	15%	@ 6.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 54%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	54%	@ 1.73
BTTS No	46%	@ 2.00

📈 How the market moved

Serbia 10%Draw 15%Germany 75%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Serbia vs Germany?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Germany win is the most likely result at 74%.

Who is the favourite for Serbia vs Germany?

Our model makes a Germany win the most likely result at 74%. It projects an expected 0.9-2.6 scoreline for Serbia vs Germany.

What is the predicted score for Serbia vs Germany?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 0-2, based on expected goals of 0.90 for Serbia and 2.60 for Germany. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Serbia and Germany play?

Kick-off is Friday 13 November 2026, 19:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.