Türkiye

Thu 12 Nov17:00Upcoming

Belgium

⚽ UEFA Nations League

Türkiye vs Belgium Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Türkiye vs Belgium in the UEFA Nations League. Kick-off Thursday 12 November 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Türkiye face Belgium in the UEFA Nations League, kicking off Thursday 12 November 2026, 17:00 UTC. Recent form: Türkiye have no wins from their last 4, while Belgium have 2 wins from their last 4. The bookmaker market makes a Belgium win the most likely result at 52%, implying a 1.3-1.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Türkiye vs Belgium with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Türkiye win	25%
Draw	24%
Belgium win	52%
Over 2.5 goals	62%
Both teams to score	62%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.30 – 1.95 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.9%	7.6%	7.4%	4.8%	2.3%
1	5.0%	9.8%	9.6%	6.2%	3.0%
2	3.3%	6.4%	6.2%	4.0%	2.0%
3	1.4%	2.8%	2.7%	1.8%	0.9%
4	0.5%	0.9%	0.9%	0.6%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-1

Türkiye winDrawBelgium win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Türkiye vs Belgium. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Belgium win is the most likely result at 52%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 62%. Both teams to score: yes at 62%.

📊 Key numbers

Türkiye 25%Draw 24%Belgium 52%

25%24%52%

52%

Belgium Win

62%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Türkiye

Türkiye come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Venezuela. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Italy.

LItaly 3-1 TürkiyeUEFA Nations League
LBelgium 3-0 TürkiyeUEFA Nations League
LTürkiye 1-4 ItalyUEFA Nations League
LTürkiye 0-1 FranceUEFA Nations League
WVenezuela 1-2 TürkiyeFriendlies

Belgium

Belgium come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Tunisia. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at France.

LFrance 4-1 BelgiumUEFA Nations League
WBelgium 3-0 TürkiyeUEFA Nations League
LBelgium 0-1 FranceUEFA Nations League
WItaly 0-2 BelgiumUEFA Nations League
WBelgium 5-0 TunisiaFriendlies

🧩 Likely line-ups & team news

Belgium 4-3-3

12Vandevoordt

21Castagne

15Ngoy

4Mechele

18Seys

23Raskin

6Lavia

20Vanaken

14Lukebakio

9Lukaku

19Moreira

19Akgun

21Simsir

10Kahveci

13Elmali

16Yuksek

5Ozcan

20Kadioglu

14Bardakci

15Kabak

2Celik

1Cakir

Türkiye 3-4-2-1

Belgium

Last starting XI (4-3-3) vs France, 05/10

Unavailable: No reported absences

Coach: Rudi Garcia

Bench last match1Lammens13Penders3Theate16Sabbe5De Cuyper2Debast8Keita17De Ketelaere22Fernandez-Pardo10Trossard11Openda7Godts

Türkiye

Last starting XI (3-4-2-1) vs Italy, 05/10

Unavailable: No reported absences

Coach: Vincenzo Montella

Bench last match12Bayindir23Sengezer3Demiral22Eskihellac4Topcu17Kabasakal6Elmaz8Tiknaz9Gul7Akturkoglu18Aydin11Fakili

Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Türkiye at 25% to win and Belgium at 52%, with the draw at 24%. The bookmaker market makes a Belgium win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Belgium Win	52%	@ 1.83
Türkiye Win	25%	@ 3.80
Draw	24%	@ 4.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Belgium or Draw at 1.25 (75% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Belgium or Draw	75%	@ 1.25
Türkiye or Draw	48%	@ 1.91

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.3-1.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 62% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	83%	@ 1.14
Over 2.5	62%	@ 1.50
Under 3.5	58%	@ 1.62
Over 3.5	42%	@ 2.20
Under 2.5	38%	@ 2.50
Under 1.5	17%	@ 5.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 62%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	62%	@ 1.50
BTTS No	38%	@ 2.50

📈 How the market moved

Türkiye 25%Draw 24%Belgium 52%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Türkiye vs Belgium?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Belgium win is the most likely result at 52%.

Who is the favourite for Türkiye vs Belgium?

Our model makes a Belgium win the most likely result at 52%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.9 scoreline for Türkiye vs Belgium.

What is the predicted score for Türkiye vs Belgium?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.30 for Türkiye and 1.95 for Belgium. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Türkiye and Belgium play?

Kick-off is Thursday 12 November 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.