Sun 1 Nov3-2Finished

⚽ Major League Soccer

Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 01 November 2026, 21:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Nashville SC 3-2 New York Red Bulls

Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls finished 3-2. Nashville SC won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.62, did not land.

Nashville SC face New York Red Bulls in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Sunday 01 November 2026, 21:30 UTC. Recent form: Nashville SC have 4 wins from their last 5, while New York Red Bulls have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Nashville SC won 2, New York Red Bulls won 1, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Nashville SC win the most likely result at 42%, projecting a 1.8-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.62

69%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.76 – 0.96 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.6%	6.3%	3.0%	1.0%	0.2%
1	11.6%	11.1%	5.3%	1.7%	0.4%
2	10.2%	9.8%	4.7%	1.5%	0.4%
3	6.0%	5.7%	2.8%	0.9%	0.2%
4	2.6%	2.5%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-0

Nashville SC winDrawNew York Red Bulls win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.62, with a 69% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Nashville SC win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 42%. Goals lean over 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points yes (51%).

📊 Key numbers

Nashville SC 42%Draw 31%New York Red Bulls 27%

42%31%27%

42%

Nashville SC Win

51%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Nashville SC and New York Red Bulls. Wins shown from Nashville SC’s perspective: Nashville SC 2 · 2 drawn · New York Red Bulls 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-11-01	Nashville SC	3 – 2	New York Red Bulls	W
2026-08-19	New York Red Bulls	0 – 1	Nashville SC	W
2024-06-15	New York Red Bulls	0 – 0	Nashville SC	D
2024-02-24	Nashville SC	0 – 0	New York Red Bulls	D
2023-10-22	Nashville SC	0 – 1	New York Red Bulls	L

📈 Recent form

Nashville SC

Nashville SC come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Sporting Kansas City.

WNashville SC 3-2 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
DNashville SC 0-0 Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
WCF Montreal 0-2 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
DSan Jose Earthquakes 1-1 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
WNashville SC 4-0 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer

New York Red Bulls

New York Red Bulls come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Inter Miami. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at Nashville SC.

LNashville SC 3-2 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
LNew England Revolution 3-2 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
WNew York Red Bulls 2-0 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
LNew York Red Bulls 0-2 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
LDC United 2-1 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Nashville SC

F. CamaraLower-Body Injury
O. PresthusLower-Body Injury

New York Red Bulls

J. CheKnee Injury
R. DonkorSuspended (cards)
D. NealisSuspended (cards)

🧩 Line-ups

New York Red Bulls 4-3-3

34Horvath

3Marshall-Rutty

26Parker

14Bazán

59Padelford

15Mehmeti

60Kone

11Ruvalcaba

7Cowell

16Hall

17Harper

9Surridge

10Mukhtar

7Espinoza

11Saad

16Corcoran

8Yazbek

27Baker-Whiting

3Woledzi

4Palacios

31Najar

99Schwake

Nashville SC 4-3-3

New York Red Bulls

Official starting XI (4-3-3)

Coach: Michael Bradley

Substitutes45Faello10Forsberg91Jimenez1Marcucci77McCarthy79Mosquera8Ruíz37Sofo56Dos Santos

Nashville SC

Official starting XI (4-3-3)

Coach: B. Callaghan

Substitutes1Willis20Tagseth19Muyl14Mohammed5Maher41Madrigal2Lovitz22Bauer6Acosta

Official line-ups as announced by the clubs before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Nashville SC at 42% to win and New York Red Bulls at 27%, with the draw at 31%. Our model makes a Nashville SC win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Nashville SC Win	42%	63%	@ 1.53
Draw	31%	19%	@ 5.00
New York Red Bulls Win	27%	18%	@ 5.25

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Nashville SC or Draw at 1.17 (70% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Nashville SC or Draw	70%	82%	@ 1.17
New York Red Bulls or Draw	56%	37%	@ 2.50

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	76%	84%	@ 1.12
Under 3.5	71%	56%	@ 1.67
Over 2.5	51%	65%	@ 1.44
Under 2.5	49%	35%	@ 2.70
Over 3.5	29%	44%	@ 2.10
Under 1.5	24%	16%	@ 6.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 51%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	51%	59%	@ 1.57
BTTS No	49%	41%	@ 2.25

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Nashville SC or New York Red Bulls is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
New York Red Bulls +2	85%	72%	@ 1.32
New York Red Bulls +1.75	82%	64%	@ 1.48
New York Red Bulls +1.5	78%	59%	@ 1.63
Nashville SC +0.75	75%	86%	1.10
New York Red Bulls +1.25	72%	53%	@ 1.78
Nashville SC +0.5	70%	82%	1.16
New York Red Bulls +1	67%	47%	@ 2.04
Nashville SC +0.25	64%	80%	1.18
New York Red Bulls +0.75	61%	41%	@ 2.33
Nashville SC 0	58%	78%	1.22
New York Red Bulls +0.5	56%	36%	@ 2.62
Nashville SC -0.25	51%	70%	1.35
New York Red Bulls +0.25	49%	30%	@ 3.17
Nashville SC -0.5	44%	64%	1.50
New York Red Bulls 0	42%	22%	@ 4.39
Nashville SC -0.75	39%	59%	1.61
New York Red Bulls -0.25	36%	20%	@ 4.65
Nashville SC -1	33%	53%	1.80
New York Red Bulls -0.5	30%	18%	@ 5.25
Nashville SC -1.25	28%	47%	2.05
New York Red Bulls -0.75	25%	14%	@ 6.80
Nashville SC -1.5	22%	41%	2.34
Nashville SC -1.75	18%	36%	2.67
Nashville SC -2	15%	28%	3.38

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls?

Our model's pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.62, with a 69% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 56%.

Who is the favourite for Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls?

Our model makes a Nashville SC win the most likely result at 42%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.0 scoreline for Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls.

What is the predicted score for Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.76 for Nashville SC and 0.96 for New York Red Bulls. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Nashville SC and New York Red Bulls play?

Kick-off is Sunday 01 November 2026, 21:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.