ScotlandScotland
Fri 13 Nov19:45Upcoming
North MacedoniaNorth Macedonia

⚽ UEFA Nations League

Scotland vs North Macedonia Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Scotland vs North Macedonia in the UEFA Nations League. Kick-off Friday 13 November 2026, 19:45 UTC.

Scotland face North Macedonia in the UEFA Nations League, kicking off Friday 13 November 2026, 19:45 UTC. Recent form: Scotland have 1 win from their last 4, while North Macedonia have no wins from their last 4. The bookmaker market makes a Scotland win the most likely result at 79%, implying a 2.4-0.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Scotland vs North Macedonia with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome Market %
Scotland win 79%
Draw 13%
North Macedonia win 7%
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 36%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 2.40 – 0.55 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 5.2% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.6% 6.9% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0%
2 15.1% 8.3% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 12.1% 6.6% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
4 7.2% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Projected score: 2-0
Scotland winDrawNorth Macedonia win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Scotland vs North Macedonia. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Scotland win is the most likely result at 79%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 56%. Both teams to score: no at 64%.

📊 Key numbers

Scotland 79%Draw 13%North Macedonia 7%
79%13%
79%
Scotland Win
56%
Over 2.5 goals
64%
BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Scotland

Scotland come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Bolivia. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Slovenia.

  • LScotland 1-2 SloveniaUEFA Nations League
  • WNorth Macedonia 0-2 ScotlandUEFA Nations League
  • LScotland 0-3 SwitzerlandUEFA Nations League
  • DSlovenia 0-0 ScotlandUEFA Nations League
  • WBolivia 0-4 ScotlandFriendlies
North Macedonia

North Macedonia come into this game with 5 defeats from their last 5, scoring 0 and conceding 14. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Switzerland.

  • LSwitzerland 3-0 North MacedoniaUEFA Nations League
  • LNorth Macedonia 0-2 ScotlandUEFA Nations League
  • LSlovenia 2-0 North MacedoniaUEFA Nations League
  • LNorth Macedonia 0-3 SwitzerlandUEFA Nations League
  • LTürkiye 4-0 North MacedoniaFriendlies

🧩 Likely line-ups & team news

North Macedonia 4-2-3-1
23Dimitrievski
4Stojchevski
5Zajkov
6Musliu
8Alioski
15Elezi
19Doriev
20Mitrovski
10Bardhi
7Elmas
11Rastoder
9McBurnie
11Christie
3Robertson
8Gilmour
19Ferguson
7 McGinn
17Doak
4Binks
13Hendry
5Welsh
1Gunn
Scotland 3-5-1-1

North Macedonia

Last starting XI (4-2-3-1) vs Switzerland, 06/10

Unavailable: No reported absences

Coach: G. Sedloski

Bench last match3Alomeroviс1Taleski21Stankovski12Shishkovski17Omeragikj9Miovski18Kostadinov2Ilievski14Dzhekov16Gashtarov13Meljichi

Scotland

Last starting XI (3-5-1-1) vs Slovenia, 06/10

Unavailable: No reported absences

Coach: Sébastien Pocognoli

Bench last match20Bowie15McPake23Montgomery14Miller21Bain16Curtis6Doig22Patterson18Graham2Hickey10Ure12Kelly

Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Scotland at 79% to win and North Macedonia at 7%, with the draw at 13%. The bookmaker market makes a Scotland win the most likely outcome.

Selection Market % Odds
Scotland Win 79% @ 1.18
Draw 13% @ 7.00
North Macedonia Win 7% @ 13.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Scotland or Draw at 1.04 (93% market).

Selection Market % Odds
Scotland or Draw 93% @ 1.04
North Macedonia or Draw 21% @ 4.50

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 2.4-0.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection Market % Odds
Over 1.5 78% @ 1.20
Under 3.5 65% @ 1.44
Over 2.5 56% @ 1.67
Under 2.5 44% @ 2.15
Over 3.5 35% @ 2.62
Under 1.5 22% @ 4.33

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams not to score at 64%.

Selection Market % Odds
BTTS No 65% @ 1.44
BTTS Yes 35% @ 2.62

📈 How the market moved

2%43%84%11/0811/0911/1011/1111/12

Scotland 80%Draw 14%North Macedonia 7%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Scotland vs North Macedonia?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Scotland win is the most likely result at 79%.

Who is the favourite for Scotland vs North Macedonia?

Our model makes a Scotland win the most likely result at 79%. It projects an expected 2.4-0.6 scoreline for Scotland vs North Macedonia.

What is the predicted score for Scotland vs North Macedonia?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.40 for Scotland and 0.55 for North Macedonia. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Scotland and North Macedonia play?

Kick-off is Friday 13 November 2026, 19:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.